Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Mets – 1:40 PM ET – Citi Field (MLB.TV)

Starting Pitchers: Bowden Francis (TOR) vs David Peterson (NYM)
Moneyline: Mets -135, Blue Jays +114
Over/Under: 7.5

Game Preview:

The Blue Jays and Mets close out their interleague weekend set at Citi Field in a Sunday matinee, with the Mets looking to complete the sweep and extend their dominance over American League opponents. Toronto, meanwhile, hopes to avoid a third straight loss and a momentum dip before heading to Boston.

The Blue Jays send Bowden Francis to the mound, who has looked solid through two starts, entering with a 1-0 record, 3.00 ERA, and solid command. He nearly no-hit the Mets in a previous matchup last season and comes in backed by a lineup that profiles well against left-handed pitching. George Springer, Bo Bichette, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. have all started hot, with Springer batting .379 and Bichette ranking top-5 in MLB in hits (12).

The Mets will counter with David Peterson, also sporting a 3.00 ERA this year but with shaky history against Toronto. He’s 0-2 in his career vs the Jays and has allowed a .295 opponent average over two career starts against them. Peterson has relied heavily on soft contact and grounders, but if his command falters, the Blue Jays' right-handed-heavy lineup could punish him early.

Toronto’s offense has stalled in this series, scoring just five total runs through two games, but they’ve consistently mashed lefties — which could be a turning point here. The Mets, on the other hand, are getting power production from Pete Alonso (3 HR, 10 RBI) and Juan Soto (7 hits), while Brandon Nimmo has quietly produced from the middle of the order. Still, New York ranks near the bottom of MLB in OBP (.291) and batting average (.230), relying more on the long ball than consistency.

Check out these articles for winning picks:

Best Bet: Blue Jays +114 (Moneyline)

Toronto is due to break out offensively and profiles well against Peterson. They’ve won 6 of their last 7 day games vs NL opponents after a loss and are 8-0 RL in that same span. Meanwhile, the Mets have failed to cover in 6 straight day games vs AL teams after a win and are just 2-5 SU in their last 7 Sunday games as a home favorite. This is a great MLB best bet today with bounce-back potential and value on the visiting side.

Top Player Prop: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases (+115)

Guerrero has hit lefties hard throughout his career and is poised for a breakout after a quiet start. He has 3 doubles already on the year and will face Peterson, who’s allowing a .444 SLG to right-handed hitters. Vlad Jr. is due to tag one in this matchup — making this a great value among MLB player props today.

Blue Jays vs Mets Betting Trends:

Blue Jays are 6-1 SU in last 7 day games vs NL opponents after a loss
Mets are 0-5 SU in last 5 Sunday games as home favorites
Blue Jays are 8-0 RL in last 8 day games vs NL opponents after a road loss
Mets are 0-6 RL in last 6 day games vs AL teams after a home win
Under is 7-0 in Jays’ last 7 road games
Under is 5-0 in Mets’ last 5 vs AL opponents

Blue Jays vs Mets FAQ

Who is favored in Blue Jays vs Mets on April 6, 2025?
The New York Mets are -135 home favorites over the Toronto Blue Jays.

What time is Blue Jays vs Mets today?
First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 PM ET from Citi Field in New York, streaming on MLB.TV.

What is the total for today’s game?
The Over/Under is set at 7.5 runs — the lowest on the April 6 MLB board.

Who are the starting pitchers?
Bowden Francis (TOR) vs David Peterson (NYM). Both enter with 3.00 ERAs through their first starts of 2025.

What’s the top MLB player prop in this matchup?
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 total bases is a top value play based on his splits vs left-handed pitching.

Which side has the edge in this game?
Toronto holds the edge with a better track record vs lefties, more lineup depth, and superior run line trends in this spot.

Kingpin PRO

Get ranked cards for this game in the app

Tracked experts, Edge scores, and alerts on iPhone and Android.

Start free trial

Choose app store

Simulated results. Entertainment only. Gambling involves risk.

Methodology and disclosure

Historical Kingpin articles preserve original body copy, authors, and publication dates. Structured pick or odds modules appear only when the source article provides them.

Kingpin PRO

Continue in the Kingpin app

Transparent simulated records. Entertainment only.

Start free trial

Choose app store

Simulated results. Entertainment only. Gambling involves risk.