Indiana Pacers vs Denver Nuggets – 8:00 PM ET – Ball Arena (FanDuel SN IN)

Spread: Nuggets -6
Over/Under: 239
Moneyline: Nuggets -230, Pacers +185

Game Preview:

The Pacers head to the Mile High City on Sunday night for a marquee showdown against the defending champion Denver Nuggets. While Denver owns an 8-game win streak over Indiana and hasn’t lost to the Pacers since 2020, momentum is on Indiana’s side entering this one. The Pacers have won 11 of their last 14 and sit 4th in the East. Denver, meanwhile, has stumbled, dropping 6 of its last 9 and sliding down the Western standings with just four games to go.

Indiana’s offense has been one of the best in the NBA all season, and that hasn’t changed in April. Even with Pascal Siakam sidelined, the trio of Tyrese Haliburton, Myles Turner, and Benedict Mathurin continues to produce at a high clip. The Pacers average 117.2 points per game, shoot nearly 50% from the field, and rank 2nd in 4th-quarter scoring (29.1 PPG) — an indicator of how well they close. They’ve also been sneaky good as a road underdog, covering 9 of their last 13 in that role.

Denver has been dominant at home historically, but their recent form raises concerns. The Nuggets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 and have failed to cover in six straight home games against winning teams. Nikola Jokic remains a monster (29.3 PPG, 12.8 RPG), but Jamal Murray’s questionable status hurts their rhythm, and the bench has offered limited support. Denver may still have the edge talent-wise, but their lack of depth and poor recent finishes make this a dicey spot to trust them against a confident Pacers team.

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Best Bet: Pacers +6

Indiana has been thriving in the underdog role and could catch the Nuggets at the right time. Denver is reeling, struggling to close games, and potentially down one of its top creators in Murray. The Pacers’ offense is too dynamic to count out, even without Siakam. They’ve covered in six straight Sunday games and have shown serious fight on the road. Take the points with Indiana in what profiles as a close game down the stretch.

Top Player Prop: Tyrese Haliburton Over 9.5 Assists

Haliburton has returned to form in recent weeks and faces a Denver defense that allows the 8th-most assists per game to point guards. With Siakam out, Haliburton’s usage ticks up, and he’ll be the primary playmaker all night. He’s logged double-digit dimes in 3 of his last 4 and should thrive in a fast-paced game with a 239 total. This is one of the top NBA player props today for high-assist upside.

Pacers vs Nuggets Betting Trends:

Nuggets are 8-0 SU in their last 8 vs Indiana
Pacers are 6-0 ATS in their last six Sunday games
Nuggets are 0-6 ATS in their last six home games vs teams with winning records
Pacers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 as road underdogs
Under is 5-2 in Denver’s last 7 games when favored by 5+ points

Pacers vs Nuggets FAQ

Who is favored in Pacers vs Nuggets tonight?
The Denver Nuggets are 6-point home favorites over the Indiana Pacers.

What time does Pacers vs Nuggets start?
Tip-off is set for 8:00 PM ET on Sunday, April 6, 2025, airing on FanDuel SN IN.

What is the total for Pacers vs Nuggets?
The Over/Under is 239 points — one of the highest totals on the Sunday NBA slate.

Are Jamal Murray and Pascal Siakam playing tonight?
Jamal Murray is questionable for Denver, while Pascal Siakam is out for Indiana with a hip injury.

What are the best NBA player props for this matchup?
Top props include Tyrese Haliburton Over 9.5 assists and Nikola Jokic Over 12.5 rebounds.

What’s the ATS edge for this game?
Indiana is 9-4 ATS as a road dog and 6-0 ATS on Sundays. Denver is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games and trending down.

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