UFC 315 Fight Preview & Best Bets

UFC 315 hits the Bell Centre in Montreal on May 10, 2025, headlined by welterweight champ Belal Muhammad defending against top contender Jack Della Maddalena. The co-main event features Valentina Shevchenko vs. Manon Fiorot for the women’s flyweight title, and the main card is rounded out by Aldo vs. Zahabi, Grasso vs. Silva and Saint-Denis vs. Álvarez. We break down every fight from early prelims through the main event, giving confident predictions, betting picks, and prop suggestions for bettors.

Early Prelims

Marc-Andre Barriault vs. Bruno Silva (Middleweight)

• Expert Prediction: This clash pits Canadian journeyman Barriault’s durability and wrestling against Brazilian knockout artist Bruno Silva. Barriault’s only path to victory is to rough up Silva on the mat, but Silva’s heavy hands and finishing ability make him the favorite. We lean on Bruno Silva to land a fight-ending shot.

• Best Bet: Bruno Silva moneyline – Silva’s power gives him a clear edge, and we expect him to capitalize on Barriault’s chin.

• Top Fighter Prop: Bruno Silva by KO/TKO – Silva’s 9 KO wins hint at a finish for this bout.

Gavin Tucker vs. JeongYeong Lee (Featherweight)

• Expert Prediction: Canada’s Gavin Tucker is technically sharp and battle-tested against a relatively unknown debutant in JeongYeong Lee. Tucker should control the pace with solid striking and wrestling. We expect Tucker to outpoint Lee over three rounds.

• Best Bet: Gavin Tucker moneyline – Tucker’s experience and all-around game make him a safe pick.

• Top Fighter Prop: Over 2.5 rounds – This fight should go the distance with Tucker dominating.

Brad Katona vs. Bekzat Almakhan (Bantamweight)

• Expert Prediction: Katona is a slick grappler and former TUF winner, while Almakhan is a heavy-handed Kazakh striker. Katona’s wrestling and pressure should neutralize Almakhan’s power. We’re picking Katona to win, likely by decision or late submission.

• Best Bet: Brad Katona moneyline – Katona’s grappling gives him value as underdog control.

• Top Fighter Prop: Katona by Submission – Katona’s grappling pedigree suggests a sub finish is plausible.

Check out these other Best Bet Article 

• NBA Playoff Predictions & Best Bets Today – Knicks vs Pistons, Lakers vs Timberwolves, Celtics vs Magic, Pacers vs Bucks (April 27, 2025)
• NHL Playoff Predictions & Best Bets for Sunday, April 27, 2025
• Sunday Soccer Predictions & Best Bets (April 27, 2025)
• MLB Picks April 27, 2025: Best Bets, Predictions & Player Props for Every Game
• Sunday Cricket Betting Preview (April 28, 2025) – Predictions, Best Bets & Player Props
• Tennis Predictions & Best Bets for Monday, April 28, 2025
• NRL Friday Preview May 2, 2025: Dolphins vs Raiders, Sharks vs Tigers Picks, Predictions & Best Bets
• Ryan Garcia vs Rolando Romero Fight Preview – Expert Predictions & Best Betting Picks
• UFC 315 Preview & Picks – Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena Betting Guide

Prelims

Mike Malott vs. Charles Radtke (Welterweight)

• Expert Prediction: Canada’s Mike Malott is a well-rounded striker with solid finishes, and he’ll be fighting near home. Radtke is a journeyman who tends to leave openings. Expect Malott to pressure and potentially end the fight standing.

• Best Bet: Mike Malott moneyline – Malott’s superior skill set should carry him to victory over Radtke.

• Top Fighter Prop: Malott by KO/TKO – Given Malott’s power and Radtke’s suspect chin, a knockout win by Malott is likely.

Jéssica Andrade vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius (Women’s Flyweight)

• Expert Prediction: Andrade is an explosive former champion moving up in weight with heavy punches, while Jasudavicius is a young Canadian on a win streak with slick boxing and grappling. The crowd and momentum favor Jasudavicius, and we expect her to use movement and volume to frustrate Andrade. We’ll side with the hometown star – Jasudavicius by decision.

• Best Bet: Jasmine Jasudavicius moneyline – Betting the rising Canadian has value, especially at home.

• Top Fighter Prop: Jasudavicius by Decision – Expect a three-round grind where Andrade can’t land the big shot.

Modestas Bukauskas vs. Ion Cutelaba (Light Heavyweight)

• Expert Prediction: Two knockout artists square off. Bukauskas tends to feast on reckless fighters, and Cutelaba often charges ahead, trading heavy blows. Bukauskas’ momentum (and fresher form) gives him the edge. We pick Bukauskas for a violent finish.

• Best Bet: Modestas Bukauskas moneyline – Bukauskas’s recent form and punching power make him the smart pick.

• Top Fighter Prop: Bukauskas by KO/TKO – Both men swing for finishers; Bukauskas’s history suggests he lands the KO.

Navajo Stirling vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight)

• Expert Prediction: Stirling (6-0) is making his UFC debut opposite Erslan (14-4), a tall and powerful newcomer. There’s little tape on Stirling, but Erslan’s size and experience suggest he’ll control the fight. We favor Erslan to use his jab and pace to win a decision.

• Best Bet: Ivan Erslan moneyline – Erslan’s strength advantage and gameplan give him value.

• Top Fighter Prop: Over 2.5 rounds – Both fighters should be there to fight it out for all three rounds.

Main Card

José Aldo vs. Aiemann Zahabi (Bantamweight)

• Expert Prediction: Aldo is a living legend but on the decline, while Zahabi is a young striker on a win streak in his hometown. Age and ring rust hurt Aldo. Zahabi’s momentum and home support should carry him to victory. We expect Zahabi to outwork Aldo for three rounds.

• Best Bet: Aiemann Zahabi moneyline – Betting on the rising local contender over aging Aldo is the value play.

• Top Fighter Prop: Zahabi by Decision – Zahabi looks to pick apart Aldo rather than gamble on one punch.

Alexa Grasso vs. Natália Silva (Women’s Flyweight)

• Expert Prediction: Grasso is a seasoned contender with excellent kicks and cardio, while Silva is a lesser-known Brazilian fighter. Grasso’s striking accuracy and experience should be too much for Silva. We pick Grasso to control the fight and win by decision.

• Best Bet: Alexa Grasso moneyline – Grasso’s all-around skills make her a solid favorite here.

• Top Fighter Prop: Grasso by Decision – Look for Grasso to win a three-round striking battle on points.

Valentina Shevchenko vs. Manon Fiorot (Women’s Flyweight, Title Fight)

• Expert Prediction: Reigning champ Shevchenko is a masterful striker and grappler with a history of dominant performances. Fiorot is fast, powerful, and undefeated, earning favorite status in some markets. This will be a chess match. We trust Shevchenko’s experience; she’ll weather Fiorot’s attack and win a late stoppage or decision.

• Best Bet: Valentina Shevchenko moneyline – Betting the veteran champ who has beaten top contenders.

• Top Fighter Prop: Over 3.5 Rounds – Expect a back-and-forth title fight that goes deep into the championship rounds.

Benoît Saint-Denis vs. Joel Álvarez (Lightweight)

• Expert Prediction: Saint-Denis is a powerful French striker on a breakout run, but Álvarez is a savvy veteran with a well-rounded game. Álvarez’s experience and technique should earn him respect and control on the feet and ground. We give Álvarez a decision win, though Saint-Denis will test him early.

• Best Bet: Joel Álvarez moneyline – Alvarez’s older UFC tenure and technical edge make him the safer pick.

• Top Fighter Prop: Álvarez by Decision – We see no quick finish; Alvarez will grind out a points victory.

Main Event: Belal Muhammad vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Title Fight)

• Expert Prediction: Champion Muhammad is a relentless wrestler-smotherer who grinds opponents down over five rounds. Della Maddalena is a lethal knockout artist with heavy hands, a high-danger challenger. This stylistic clash is fascinating. We trust Muhammad’s gas tank, takedowns and volume to neutralize Della’s power, so Belal should keep the belt via decision.

• Best Bet: Belal Muhammad moneyline – Muhammad’s fight control and championship composure make him the pick.

• Top Fighter Prop: Jack Della Maddalena by KO/TKO – For those chasing bigger odds, Della is a massive underdog with a puncher’s chance at a late KO.

FAQ

• What are the best UFC bets today? For UFC 315 on May 10, lean on the strong favorites with upside. We like Muhammad on the moneyline in the main event and Shevchenko in the co-main. Smart underdog plays include Aiemann Zahabi to upset Aldo and Jasmine Jasudavicius to shock Andrade at home. In general, focus on fights we’ve dissected above – these are the top bets we identified for today’s card.

• Who are the best fighter props for UFC 315? Top prop picks include Jack Della Maddalena by KO (he has the power to end Muhammad), Bruno Silva by KO (Silva’s KO finishing rate is high), and Alexa Grasso over 1.5 rounds (she’s methodical and likely to go deep). Other props: Jasudavicius by decision, Bukauskas by KO, and Katona by submission – these matchups favor a finish or full-distance outcome that bettors can leverage.

• What are the top UFC 315 predictions? Our main picks are Belal Muhammad to outlast Jack Della Maddalena, Valentina Shevchenko to outpoint Manon Fiorot, Aiemann Zahabi to defeat José Aldo, Alexa Grasso to beat Natália Silva, and Joel Álvarez to outwork Benoît Saint-Denis. On the prelims, bet on Bruno Silva, Mike Malott, Jasmine Jasudavicius, Modestas Bukauskas and Ivan Erslan as winners. These confident predictions form the core of our UFC 315 preview.