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Almeida vs Potieria Prediction UFC 307 Odds and Picks 10/5

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UFC 307 Predictions: Cesar Almeida vs. Ihor Potieria – Fight Preview and Prediction
At UFC 307, the middleweight division will see a thrilling matchup between Brazil's Cesar Almeida (5-1-0) and Ukraine’s Ihor Potieria (20-6-0) on October 5, 2024, at the Delta Center in Salt Lake City, Utah. Almeida, coming off a split decision loss, looks to regain momentum, while Potieria aims to bounce back after a submission loss to Michel Pereira.
As the #1 MMA expert at KingPin Pro, with a 70% success rate on UFC picks, I’ll break down the fight and provide my expert prediction. Be sure to check out our Ryan Spann vs Saint Preux Prediction Article.
Fighter Analysis
Cesar Almeida Overview
Cesar Almeida, a former kickboxer with a powerful striking base, has been making waves in the UFC since transitioning to MMA. With a record of 5-1, Almeida has secured 4 wins via knockout, demonstrating his ability to finish fights with precision and power. His aggressive style and strong defense make him a formidable opponent in the middleweight division.
Ihor Potieria Overview
Ihor Potieria has been a seasoned fighter, with a record of 20-6. He has secured 9 wins via knockout and 6 submission victories, showcasing his versatility as a fighter. However, Potieria has struggled in recent bouts, suffering two knockout losses in 2023 and a quick submission loss in his most recent fight against Michel Pereira in May 2024. Potieria’s chin has been a vulnerability, and he will need to be cautious against Almeida’s striking power.
Key Fighter Stats
- Cesar Almeida:
- Record: 5-1-0
- Knockouts: 4-0
- Submissions: 0-0
- Ihor Potieria:
- Record: 20-6-0
- Knockouts: 9-4
- Submissions: 6-1
Odds Table
| Fighter | Moneyline |
|---|---|
| Cesar Almeida | -400 |
| Ihor Potieria | +300 |
Prediction
Cesar Almeida’s striking is a clear advantage in this fight. With Potieria’s chin having shown weakness in his recent bouts, Almeida’s aggressive, high-volume striking style is likely to exploit this vulnerability. Potieria’s best chance would be to take the fight to the ground, but Almeida’s solid takedown defense should allow him to keep the fight standing, where he excels.
Given Almeida’s knockout power and Potieria’s recent struggles, expect Almeida to push the pace and look for a finish. While Potieria is dangerous in all areas, Almeida's striking should be the deciding factor.
Pick: Cesar Almeida (-400)
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