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Spann vs Saint Preux Prediction UFC 307 Picks and Parlays 10/5

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UFC 307 Picks and Parlays: Ryan Spann vs. Ovince Saint Preux – Fight Preview and Prediction
The UFC 307 Early Prelims feature an exciting light heavyweight clash between **Ryan Spann** (21-10-0) and veteran fighter **Ovince Saint Preux** (27-17-0). The fight will take place on October 5, 2024, at the Delta Center in Salt Lake City, Utah. Spann looks to bounce back from a recent loss, while Saint Preux aims to continue his momentum after a hard-fought win in March.
As the #1 MMA expert at KingPin Pro with a 74% success rate on UFC picks, I’ll break down the fight and provide my expert prediction. Make sure to check out my Picks for all the UFC 307 Card here.
Fighter Analysis
Ryan Spann Overview
Ryan Spann, nicknamed "Superman," is an explosive striker with 6 knockout wins and 12 submission victories in his career. However, he’s been inconsistent lately, with a recent TKO loss to Bogdan Guskov and three losses in his last four fights. Spann’s power and submission game make him a dangerous opponent, but his defense and fight IQ have been questioned. He’ll be looking to get back on track in this fight.
Ovince Saint Preux Overview
Ovince Saint Preux, a veteran of the sport, is known for his unorthodox striking and submission skills. With 13 knockouts and 7 submission wins, he remains a well-rounded threat. In his last bout, Saint Preux secured a split decision victory over Kennedy Nzechukwu, showing resilience and experience. Despite being 41 years old, Saint Preux’s fight IQ and ability to control the pace of the fight make him a tough challenge for any opponent.
Key Fighter Stats
- Ryan Spann:
- Record: 21-10-0
- Knockouts: 6-4
- Submissions: 12-3
- Ovince Saint Preux:
- Record: 27-17-0
- Knockouts: 13-5
- Submissions: 7-3
Odds Table
| Fighter | Moneyline |
|---|---|
| Ryan Spann | -245 |
| Ovince Saint Preux | +200 |
Prediction
Ovince Saint Preux has proven time and time again that he can handle powerful strikers like Spann. While Spann is a dangerous opponent, his inconsistency and tendency to get caught in submissions play into Saint Preux’s strengths. Ovince has shown he can outlast his younger opponents by using his experience and tactical approach. Expect Saint Preux to look for openings to exploit Spann’s mistakes and either score points in a drawn-out fight or possibly finish with a submission.
Given Spann’s recent losses and Saint Preux’s veteran savvy, I’m leaning towards Ovince Saint Preux to secure the win, likely via submission or decision.
Pick: Ovince Saint Preux (+200)
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