Toronto Maple Leafs vs Detroit Red Wings Prediction, Pick and Preview, February 26 (2/26): NHL

Credit: photo by Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time	7:30 p.m. EST
Maple Leafs money line	-220
Maple Leafs spread	-1.5 (+119)
Red Wings money line	+180
Red Wings spread	+1.5 (-132)
Over / under	6.5

 

2021-2022 season stats

	Toronto Maple Leafs	Detroit Red Wings
Record	33-14-4	23-23-6
Road / home record	14-9-3	15-10-3
Streak	W1	L1
Goals per game	3.53	2.81
Goals allowed per game	2.77	3.46
Shots per game	34.7	29.4
Shots allowed per game	30.6	32.7
PP %	30.00%	17.01%
PK %	15.28%	23.78%
Over / under record	27-22-2	28-23-1

 

Preview

The Maple Leafs continue on the road and will visit the Detroit Red Wings on Saturday. These teams already met twice si far this season and the Maple Leafs have won both games.

MAPLE LEAFS

The Maple Leafs have lost 2 games in a row and just lost to the worst team in the league, the Canadiens. The Canadiens scored three times in the second period and beat them 5-2. 

The Maple Leafs are 17-7-1 in Eastern Conference play and rank second in the Eastern Conference averaging 3.6 goals per game, led by Auston Matthews with 33. Alexander Kerfoot leads the Maple Leafs with a plus-13 in 49 games this season. Mitch Marner has seven goals and 10 assists over the last 10 games for Toronto.

In their last 10 games Toronto are 6-4, averaging 4.3 goals, 7.3 assists, 3.7 penalties and 7.7 penalty minutes while allowing 3.3 goals per game with an .892 save percentage.

DETROIT RED WINGS

The Red Wings have won 3 of their last 5 games and are fifth in the Atlantic. Detroit are 15-9-3 at home and are 9th in the Eastern Conference with 29.4 shots per game and is averaging 2.8 goals.

Dylan Larkin leads the Red Wings with 26 goals, adding 26 assists and recording 52 points. Tyler Bertuzzi has four goals and five assists over the last 10 games for Detroit.

In their last 10 games the Red Wings are 5-5, averaging 3.3 goals, 5.6 assists, four penalties and 10.3 penalty minutes while giving up 3.4 goals per game with an .891 save percentage.

BETTING TRENDS

Toronto are 8-4 SU in their last 12 games.

The total has gone OVER in 9 of Toronto's last 11 games.

Detroit are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games.

Detroit are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against Colorado.

Prediction

Both teams are scoring and allowing more than 3 goals per game. With the over cashing big time with these two, I think that's the safest bet here. Take the over.

PICK: Over 6.5 (-110)

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