Kingpin analysis
TCU vs South Alabama Prediction NCAAB Picks Today 12/16
© Kevin Jairaj-Imagn Images
South Alabama Jaguars vs. TCU Horned Frogs - NCAAB Game Analysis and Prediction
On December 16, 2024, the South Alabama Jaguars (7-3) travel to Fort Worth to face the TCU Horned Frogs (5-4) at Schollmaier Arena. TCU boasts an unbeaten home record this season but faces a feisty South Alabama squad riding a three-game winning streak. The Jaguars are looking to build momentum in non-conference play, while TCU aims to rebound after a loss to Vanderbilt.
Odds Table
| Outcome | Odds |
|---|---|
| South Alabama Jaguars | +12.5 (-110) |
| TCU Horned Frogs | -12.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | South Alabama +600, TCU -1000 |
| Total (Over/Under) | 137.5 (-110) |
TCU is a heavy 12.5-point favorite at home, but the Jaguars have the firepower to make this a competitive contest.
Team Comparison
| Category | South Alabama | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Points Per Game (PPG) | 73.4 | 69.0 |
| Points Allowed Per Game (PAPG) | 66.1 | 68.3 |
| Field Goal Percentage (FG%) | 43.8% | 42.4% |
| Rebounds Per Game (RPG) | 35.3 | 33.8 |
| Assists Per Game (APG) | 15.3 | 13.1 |
Key Players
South Alabama Jaguars
- Michael Corey: The team's leading scorer with 18.4 points per game, Corey is the offensive catalyst, also contributing 4.7 assists per game.
- Johni Broome: A dominant presence in the paint, averaging 6.8 rebounds and providing a strong defensive anchor.
TCU Horned Frogs
- Emmanuel Udeh Jr.: Leads the team in rebounding with 8.0 boards per game, crucial for controlling the glass.
- Frank Collins: The top scorer and playmaker for TCU, averaging 11.2 points and 4.4 assists per game.
Recent Form
South Alabama Jaguars
The Jaguars are 4-1 in their last five games, showing resilience in close matchups and excelling on defense:
- 12/8: Defeated Jacksonville State 76-74
- 11/29: Defeated Alcorn State 74-65 (OT)
- 11/26: Lost to Western Illinois 64-63
- 11/25: Defeated Incarnate Word 84-63
- 11/18: Defeated Spring Hill 95-61
TCU Horned Frogs
The Horned Frogs are 2-3 in their last five games, struggling to maintain consistency:
- 12/8: Lost to Vanderbilt 83-74
- 12/5: Defeated Xavier 76-72
- 11/29: Lost to Colorado State 76-72 (OT)
- 11/28: Lost to Santa Clara 69-52
- 11/19: Defeated Alcorn State 71-48
Key Trends
South Alabama
- 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
- The total has gone under in three of their last five games.
- 7-3 overall this season.
TCU
- 5-0 straight up at home this season.
- 2-3 ATS in their last five games.
- The total has gone over in three of their last five games.
Prediction
South Alabama has the offensive firepower and defensive discipline to compete with TCU, despite being a significant underdog. Michael Corey’s scoring ability and Johni Broome’s presence in the paint provide the Jaguars with a balanced attack. Meanwhile, TCU's home dominance cannot be ignored, but their recent struggles against quality opposition raise questions about their ability to cover the large spread.
Pick: South Alabama +12.5 (-110)
Kingpin PRO
Get ranked cards and line-move alerts in the app
Tracked experts, Edge scores, and alerts on iPhone and Android.
Simulated results. Entertainment only. Gambling involves risk.Methodology and disclosure
Historical Kingpin articles preserve original body copy, authors, and publication dates. Structured pick or odds modules appear only when the source article provides them.
Kingpin PRO
Track this game in the Kingpin app
Transparent simulated records. Entertainment only.
Simulated results. Entertainment only. Gambling involves risk.Simulated results for entertainment. Gambling involves risk. Bet only where legal.
