NBA Finals Game 4: Thunder vs Pacers - Best Bets & Player Props (June 13, 2025)

Matchup: Oklahoma City Thunder (68-14) vs. Indiana Pacers (50-32)

Time: 5:30 PM ET

Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN

TV: ABC

Series: Indiana leads 2-1

 

Introduction

The 2025 NBA Finals continue as the Oklahoma City Thunder look to even the series in Game 4 against the Indiana Pacers. With the Pacers holding a surprising 2-1 series lead, Game 4 becomes a pivotal matchup. The Thunder dropped Game 3 despite another strong effort from Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, while the Pacers fed off their home crowd to take control of the series.

Game Preview

Indiana enters Game 4 full of confidence after a solid 116-107 win in Game 3. Tyrese Haliburton orchestrated the offense masterfully while Pascal Siakam provided physicality and scoring inside. Meanwhile, OKC struggled with turnovers and poor three-point shooting, issues they’ll need to clean up if they hope to even the series before heading back to OKC for Game 5.

Oddsmakers still like the Thunder, favoring them by 5.5 points on the road. The total is set at 225.5, suggesting another high-scoring game is expected between two of the league's fastest-paced offenses.

Best Bets

✅ Thunder -5.5 (-115)

Despite trailing in the series, OKC is still the deeper, more versatile team. Expect a bounce-back performance with tighter perimeter defense and increased efficiency from beyond the arc. Gilgeous-Alexander has been consistent all postseason and should be even more aggressive in Game 4.

✅ Over 225.5 Total Points (-115)

Each of the first three games has exceeded 220 points, with both teams preferring to play in transition. The Pacers lead all playoff teams in pace, while OKC thrives off quick ball movement and early offense. Unless the defenses tighten up significantly, this should fly over again.

Top Player Prop Bets

🔥 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OVER 31.5 Points (-110)

SGA is averaging 32.7 PPG in the playoffs and has topped 30 points in six of his last eight games. With OKC's back against the wall, expect their MVP candidate to take over offensively. He had 32 in Game 3 and will likely surpass that again tonight.

🔥 Tyrese Haliburton OVER 9.5 Assists (-105)

Haliburton has logged double-digit assists in four of his last five games and is averaging 9.2 APG during the postseason. OKC switches well but has had trouble with his pace and vision. If Indiana keeps it close or pulls ahead, Haliburton's playmaking will be crucial.

🔥 Pascal Siakam OVER 19.5 Points (-110)

Siakam has quietly been a rock for Indiana’s offense. With the Thunder focused on Haliburton, Siakam has exploited mismatches to score efficiently. He's averaging just over 20 PPG this series and should stay in that range again tonight.

Injury Report

• Thunder: Nikola Topic (G) – Out for season
• Pacers: Jarace Walker (F) – Out (returns June 16), Isaiah Jackson (F) – Out for season

Prediction

Expect a high-level response from OKC as they look to avoid going down 3-1. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander should carry the load, and improved shooting from role players like Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren will make the difference. The Pacers will compete hard, but the Thunder have the edge in experience and talent.

Final Score Prediction: Thunder 118, Pacers 111

Recommended Bets Summary

• Thunder -5.5
• Over 225.5 Total Points
• SGA Over 31.5 Points
• Haliburton Over 9.5 Assists
• Siakam Over 19.5 Points

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