Kingpin analysis
Profit on Tarik Skubal Prop vs Royals 9/18

Profit on Tarik Skubal Prop vs Royals 9/18
The upcoming matchup features Tarik Skubal of the Detroit Tigers facing off against the Kansas City Royals on September 18, 2023. With Skubal's impressive season and the Tigers' recent performances, this prop bet looks promising.
Game Summary
The Detroit Tigers will take on the Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium on September 18, 2023. This matchup is crucial as both teams are vying for position in the playoff race. The Tigers, with a record of 82-70, have been strong this season, especially on the road with a record of 37-38. Meanwhile, the Royals sit at 79-73, showing resilience at home with a record of 39-36.
Recently, the Tigers have demonstrated their ability to score, ranking 8th in runs with 715. Their batting average of .253 ranks them 7th in the league, while their pitching staff holds a solid ERA of 3.87, placing them 10th. The Royals, on the other hand, have struggled offensively, sitting 16th in runs with 642 and 23rd in batting average at .235. However, their pitching staff has been surprisingly effective, sporting a 3.65 ERA, ranking 3rd in the league.
Historically, the Tigers and Royals have had a competitive rivalry, often resulting in close games. In their last encounters, the Tigers edged out the Royals, showcasing their depth in both hitting and pitching. The atmosphere at Kauffman Stadium is expected to be electric, with both teams looking to capitalize on their strengths.
Player Prop Odds
For Tarik Skubal, the prop odds are as follows:
- Pitcher Record a Win: Yes at +130.0, No at -175.0
Player Analysis
Tarik Skubal has been a standout pitcher for the Tigers this season, boasting a record of 16-4 with a stellar ERA of 2.50. His WHIP of 0.94 indicates that he has been efficient in limiting base runners. Over 180 innings pitched, Skubal has recorded 214 strikeouts, showcasing his ability to overpower hitters. Additionally, he has allowed only 15 home runs, reflecting his ability to keep the ball in the park.
Recently, Skubal has maintained his form, consistently delivering quality starts. His ability to pitch deep into games has been a significant asset for the Tigers, allowing the bullpen to rest and remain effective. Skubal’s strikeout rate of 10.67 K/9 innings places him among the elite pitchers in the league.
Opposing Analysis
The Kansas City Royals will present a challenging lineup for Skubal. Despite their struggles, they have some key hitters, such as Bobby Witt Jr., who leads the team with 32 home runs and 108 RBIs. However, as a team, their collective batting average against left-handed pitchers is only .235, which bodes well for Skubal's chances of success.
The Royals have a tendency to strike out against quality pitching, and Skubal's ability to generate swings and misses could play a crucial role in determining the game's outcome. The matchup favors Skubal, especially considering his recent form and the Royals' inconsistent offense.
Prop Analysis
When analyzing the prop bet for Skubal to record a win, several factors come into play. With odds of +130 for a win, the potential payout is attractive, especially given Skubal's performance this season. His ability to pitch deep into games and limit runs makes this a viable option for bettors.
Considering the Royals' recent struggles offensively, Skubal's chances to secure the win are high. If he can maintain his current form and avoid any significant mistakes, the odds favor Skubal to record a win against Kansas City.
Starting Pitching Summary - Tigers
Tarik Skubal will be taking the mound for the Detroit Tigers. His overall record stands at 16-4 with a 2.50 ERA, placing him among the top pitchers in the league. His last outing was against the Boston Red Sox, where he pitched 7 innings, allowing just 2 runs while striking out 8. Skubal’s effectiveness and consistency are critical to the Tigers' success.
Starting Pitching Summary - Royals
The Royals have yet to announce their starting pitcher for this matchup, which could impact the game significantly. However, the Tigers have historically performed well against various pitchers, and their strategy will likely focus on capitalizing on any weaknesses shown by the Royals' starter.
Bullpen Summary - Tigers
The Tigers' bullpen has been solid this season, ranking 14th in saves with 37. With Skubal expected to pitch deep into the game, the bullpen's role may be limited, but they must remain efficient in closing out games. Their recent performances have been reliable, which should provide additional confidence.
Bullpen Summary - Royals
The Royals’ bullpen has also been a strength, ranking 10th in saves with 39. However, their effectiveness can vary, particularly under pressure situations. If Skubal can keep the game competitive, it may force the Royals to rely heavily on their bullpen, which could be an advantage for the Tigers.
Team Previews
The Detroit Tigers have had a successful season, highlighted by their strong offense and solid pitching rotation. With a .253 batting average and a team ERA of 3.87, they are well-positioned for a playoff run. Key players like Bobby Witt Jr. have been instrumental in their success, contributing significantly to their offensive output.
The Kansas City Royals have shown flashes of brilliance, particularly in their pitching. However, their offensive struggles have often put pressure on their pitchers. With a .235 batting average and 642 runs this season, they will need to find ways to produce offensively to compete with the Tigers.
Team Injuries
Here are the current injury statuses for both teams:
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Keith | 2B | Tue, Sep 17 | Shoulder | Probable for Sep 18 |
| J. McArthur | RP | Tue, Sep 17 | Elbow | Out for the season |
| V. Pasquantino | 1B | Tue, Sep 17 | Thumb | Out for the season |
Recent Games
Here are the last five games for both teams:
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| Boston | W4-1 | W |
| Boston | W2-1 | W |
| Houston | L7-2 | L |
| Houston | L5-2 | L |
| Houston | L3-2 | L |
Kingpin PRO
Get ranked cards and line-move alerts in the app
Tracked experts, Edge scores, and alerts on iPhone and Android.
Simulated results. Entertainment only. Gambling involves risk.Methodology and disclosure
Historical Kingpin articles preserve original body copy, authors, and publication dates. Structured pick or odds modules appear only when the source article provides them.
Kingpin PRO
Track this game in the Kingpin app
Transparent simulated records. Entertainment only.
Simulated results. Entertainment only. Gambling involves risk.Simulated results for entertainment. Gambling involves risk. Bet only where legal.
