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MLB Best Bets and Player Props for July 12, 2025

MLB Best Bets and Player Props for Saturday, July 12, 2025
Check out our top MLB picks and player props for all 15 games scheduled on Saturday, July 12, 2025. We’ve analyzed matchups, pitching duels, ballpark factors, and recent performances to bring you the most informed betting predictions of the day.
Cubs vs Yankees
Pick: Yankees ML -165
Explanation: Max Fried has been dominant at home with an 11-2 record and 2.27 ERA. The Yankees are strong at Yankee Stadium, and Matt Boyd has been solid, but he’s unlikely to outduel Fried in the Bronx.
Player Prop: Max Fried Over 6.5 Strikeouts
Mariners vs Tigers
Pick: Tigers ML -130
Explanation: Casey Mize has a 9-2 record and is reliable at home. George Kirby has shown flashes, but inconsistency makes Seattle vulnerable here.
Player Prop: Casey Mize Over 17.5 Outs Recorded
Pirates vs Twins
Pick: Twins ML
Explanation: With the starter undecided for Minnesota, we still favor the Twins at home due to their stronger bullpen and overall performance at Target Field. Pirates continue to struggle on the road.
Player Prop: Bryan Reynolds Over 1.5 Total Bases
Braves vs Cardinals
Pick: Cardinals ML
Explanation: Fedde hasn't had a strong year, but facing a struggling Braves team with an undecided starter gives the Cards an edge at Busch Stadium.
Player Prop: Nolan Arenado Over 0.5 RBIs
Marlins vs Orioles
Pick: Orioles ML -165
Explanation: Tyler Rogers has been nearly untouchable with a 1.57 ERA. Miami’s offense doesn’t have the firepower to match up on the road.
Player Prop: Cedric Mullins Over 0.5 Stolen Bases
Dodgers vs Giants
Pick: Dodgers ML -150
Explanation: Shohei Ohtani takes the mound for LA, and even with limited innings, he’ll likely control this start. Roupp has been decent, but Dodgers' bats are deeper.
Player Prop: Shohei Ohtani Over 7.5 Strikeouts
Rockies vs Reds
Pick: Reds ML -310
Explanation: Bryan Blalock has struggled massively with a 12.94 ERA, while Brady Singer has been serviceable. The Reds should cruise at home against the worst team in MLB.
Player Prop: Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
Rays vs Red Sox
Pick: Red Sox ML -185
Explanation: Crochet has been electric this season with a sub-2.50 ERA. Tampa’s offense has been inconsistent, and Baz is still working back to form.
Player Prop: Garrett Crochet Over 8.5 Strikeouts
Guardians vs White Sox
Pick: Guardians ML -150
Explanation: Tanner Bibee should perform well against a weak White Sox lineup. Cleveland remains a strong road team and continues to push in the division.
Player Prop: José Ramírez Over 1.5 Total Bases
Mets vs Royals
Pick: Mets ML -130
Explanation: Despite Frankie Montas’ struggles, the Mets' offense should capitalize on Lorenzen’s mediocre numbers. NY is also stronger on the road than at home this season.
Player Prop: Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Home Runs
Nationals vs Brewers
Pick: Brewers ML -255
Explanation: Woodruff is back and already looking sharp. With Washington sending out Ogasawara (13.50 ERA), Milwaukee is the easy call.
Player Prop: Christian Yelich Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
Rangers vs Astros
Pick: Rangers ML +105
Explanation: Jacob deGrom has returned to form with a 9-2 record and 2.29 ERA. In a big divisional battle, he’s the better pitcher despite being on the road.
Player Prop: Jacob deGrom Over 9.5 Strikeouts
Phillies vs Padres
Pick: Phillies ML -160
Explanation: Zack Wheeler is having a Cy Young-worthy season and should dominate a Padres team still adjusting its lineup. Darvish hasn’t been effective this year.
Player Prop: Bryce Harper Over 0.5 HRs
Diamondbacks vs Angels
Pick: Angels ML -110
Explanation: Yusei Kikuchi has been a solid arm with a 3.02 ERA. Gallen has been hit around a lot this year, and the Angels have shown some offensive life recently.
Player Prop: Mike Trout Over 1.5 Total Bases
Blue Jays vs Athletics
Pick: Blue Jays ML -155
Explanation: Gausman should bounce back against a weak A’s lineup, and Toronto’s offense has been clicking on the road lately.
Player Prop: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 RBIs
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Simulated results. Entertainment only. Gambling involves risk.Simulated results for entertainment. Gambling involves risk. Bet only where legal.
