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Anthony Joshua vs Daniel Dubois Prediction Boxing Picks 9/21

© Aaron E. Martinez/American-Statesman / USA TODAY NETWORK
Boxing Fight Preview: Anthony Joshua vs. Daniel Dubois Prediction - September 21, 2024
On September 21, 2024, two of Britain's top heavyweight fighters will clash in what promises to be an explosive bout. Former two-time world champion Anthony "AJ" Joshua will face off against the dangerous knockout artist Daniel "Dynamite" Dubois in a fight that will have major implications for the heavyweight division. Joshua, looking to continue his winning streak, will take on Dubois, who is hungry for a statement victory after facing some ups and downs in his career. This bout is expected to be a thrilling display of power, skill, and strategy.
Fighter Backgrounds
Anthony Joshua
Anthony Joshua, with a professional record of 28-3, including 22 knockouts, has solidified his place as one of the biggest names in the heavyweight division. Standing 6'6" with an 82-inch reach, Joshua combines his impressive physical attributes with technical skill and devastating power. Over the course of his career, Joshua has claimed multiple heavyweight world titles, defeating some of the division’s biggest names, including Wladimir Klitschko, Joseph Parker, and Alexander Povetkin.
Joshua’s career has seen its fair share of highs and lows. After suffering back-to-back losses to Oleksandr Usyk in 2021 and 2022, Joshua rebounded with a series of impressive victories, including a seventh-round knockout of Robert Helenius in August 2023. Most recently, Joshua defeated Francis Ngannou with a second-round knockout in March 2024, demonstrating that his power and finishing ability remain formidable.
Heading into this fight, Joshua is on a mission to regain his spot at the top of the heavyweight division. His experience against elite-level opponents, combined with his knockout power, makes him a dangerous opponent for anyone. Against Dubois, Joshua will look to use his reach and technical prowess to control the fight and avoid getting caught by Dubois' heavy hands.
Daniel Dubois
Daniel "Dynamite" Dubois, with a record of 21-2, including 20 knockouts, is known for his explosive punching power and aggressive fighting style. Standing 6'5" with a 78-inch reach, Dubois has built a reputation as one of the hardest punchers in the division. Despite his relative youth at 27 years old, Dubois has faced some of the top names in the heavyweight division and has shown that he has the potential to be a future champion.
Dubois’ career took a hit when he suffered a tenth-round knockout loss to Joe Joyce in November 2020, a fight that exposed some of the flaws in his defense. However, Dubois has since bounced back with several knockout victories, including a first-round knockout of Trevor Bryan and a third-round stoppage of Kevin Lerena. Despite a controversial stoppage loss to Oleksandr Usyk in August 2023, Dubois has remained a dangerous force in the heavyweight division.
Dubois will enter this fight against Joshua as the underdog, but his power gives him a puncher’s chance against any opponent. If Dubois can close the distance and land his powerful combinations, he could make things very difficult for Joshua. However, Dubois will need to be wary of Joshua’s experience and ability to pick off aggressive fighters with precise counters.
Fighting Styles
Anthony Joshua's Style
Anthony Joshua is a classic boxer-puncher, combining technical skill with raw power. His ability to control the distance with his jab and use his reach to keep opponents at bay has been key to his success. Joshua is comfortable fighting both on the front foot, pressing the action, and on the back foot, countering when necessary. He possesses excellent timing and can deliver devastating combinations, particularly when he has his opponent hurt.
Defensively, Joshua has improved over the years, becoming more cautious after his stunning knockout loss to Andy Ruiz Jr. in 2019. Joshua now uses his footwork and head movement more effectively to avoid getting caught with big shots. While his chin has been questioned at times, Joshua’s resilience and ability to recover have been on display in multiple fights.
In this fight, Joshua will look to use his jab to control the distance and keep Dubois from getting too close. Joshua’s ability to stay disciplined and avoid Dubois’ power shots will be critical to his success. If he can break Dubois down over the course of the fight, Joshua has the tools to finish the fight with his heavy hands.
Daniel Dubois' Style
Daniel Dubois is an aggressive power puncher who relies heavily on his ability to overwhelm opponents with his strength and knockout power. Dubois is known for pressing forward and looking to land big shots early in the fight. His offense is built around his jab, which he uses to set up powerful right hands and left hooks. Dubois is particularly dangerous when he can force his opponent to trade punches in close quarters, where his power can be devastating.
While Dubois has shown tremendous power, his defense remains a work in progress. He tends to leave himself open to counters when he throws his power punches, and his chin was exposed in his loss to Joe Joyce, where he struggled to deal with Joyce’s jab. However, Dubois is always a threat as long as he can land his punches, and his knockout rate speaks for itself.
Against Joshua, Dubois will need to be aggressive but smart. He cannot afford to recklessly charge in and risk getting countered by Joshua’s accurate punches. Instead, Dubois will need to find a way to close the distance and land his shots without leaving himself too open to counters. If Dubois can hurt Joshua early, he could turn the tide of the fight in his favor.
Matchup Analysis
This fight is a clash of experience versus youth, with Anthony Joshua holding the advantage in terms of experience and technical ability, while Daniel Dubois brings raw power and aggression. Joshua’s ability to control the distance and avoid Dubois’ power will be key to his success. If Joshua can keep Dubois at bay with his jab and force him to make mistakes, he will likely have the upper hand in this fight.
Dubois, however, cannot be underestimated. His knockout power gives him a chance to end the fight at any moment, particularly if Joshua makes any defensive lapses. The question will be whether Dubois can handle the big stage and execute his game plan against a more experienced opponent. If Dubois can close the distance and turn the fight into a brawl, he could give Joshua significant problems.
The longer the fight goes, the more it favors Joshua, who has proven his ability to go the distance and maintain his stamina in later rounds. Dubois will likely need to take risks early in the fight to have the best chance of victory, but this also leaves him vulnerable to Joshua’s counters. Ultimately, Joshua’s experience and ability to adapt to different styles should give him the edge in this matchup.
Odds and Betting Analysis
| Fighter | Moneyline Odds |
|---|---|
| Anthony Joshua | -500 |
| Daniel Dubois | +375 |
As the odds indicate, Anthony Joshua is the favorite at -500, while Daniel Dubois enters the fight as the underdog with +375 odds. These odds reflect Joshua’s experience, skillset, and ability to handle top-level opponents, while Dubois' knockout power gives him a chance, but his inexperience against elite competition makes him the riskier pick.
Prediction
While Daniel Dubois is a dangerous puncher with knockout power, Anthony Joshua’s experience, superior technique, and ability to control the pace of the fight make him the clear favorite. Joshua’s ability to stay disciplined, use his jab, and avoid Dubois’ power shots should allow him to break down Dubois over the course of the fight. The prediction is that Anthony Joshua will win, likely by stoppage in the later rounds, as he wears down Dubois with his precision and power.
Pick: Anthony Joshua to win (-500)
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