Soccer Predictions: AC Milan vs Salernitana, March 13, 2023

Odds

Preview

AC Milan will take on Salernitana at the San Siro Stadium on Monday in Serie A as they aim to bounce back from their recent defeat at Fiorentina. Stefano Pioli's men are in a five-way battle for the remaining three Champions League spots in the league, and a positive result at home will help them strengthen their position in the top four. Meanwhile, Salernitana will be looking to pull off an upset and improve their chances of avoiding relegation.

In this article, we will provide an extended preview of both teams, analyzing their strengths, weaknesses, recent form, and potential lineups. I will also make a final prediction on who will emerge as the winner.

AC Milan

This season, AC Milan will be looking to add to their trophy cabinet and secure a top-four finish in Serie A to ensure they qualify for the Champions League next season. The Rossoneri have had a mixed season so far, with their form in Serie A contrasting with their performances in Europe.

Milan's recent loss to Fiorentina was a setback in their bid to secure a top-four finish, but they will be looking to bounce back and make a statement against Salernitana. The Rossoneri are currently in fifth place in the Serie A table, five points behind fourth-placed Atalanta, but they have a game in hand.

One of the keys to AC Milan's success this season has been their solid defensive record. They have conceded only 25 goals in 25 games, which is the third-best defensive record in the league, behind only Inter Milan and Napoli. This is largely due to the impressive performances of their defensive unit, which has been anchored by the likes of Simon Kjaer, Fikayo Tomori, and Theo Hernandez.

However, while Milan's defense has been solid, their attack has been inconsistent. They have scored only 41 goals in 25 games, which is fewer than their rivals Roma and Lazio. This lack of goals has been a concern for Stefano Pioli, and he will be looking to his attacking players to step up and deliver the goods in the remaining fixtures.

One player who has been in fine form for Milan this season is Rafael Leao. The Portuguese forward has scored nine goals in Serie A this season and has been a key player for Pioli's side. Leao's pace and skill on the ball make him a constant threat in attack, and he will be looking to continue his fine form against Salernitana.

Milan will also be boosted by the potential return of Zlatan Ibrahimovic. The veteran Swedish striker has been sidelined for much of the season with injury, but he has been working hard to regain his fitness and could make his first start of the season against Salernitana. Ibrahimovic's presence in the team would be a huge boost for Milan, as his experience and goalscoring ability could make all the difference in the race for a top-four finish.

In terms of their playing style, AC Milan typically plays with a 4-2-3-1 formation, with a strong focus on possession and pressing. They are a well-organized team, with a solid defensive unit and a midfield that is capable of dominating possession and controlling the tempo of the game. Their attacking players are quick and skillful, with the likes of Leao and Ante Rebic providing pace and trickery in the final third.

Against Salernitana, Milan will be looking to dominate possession and control the tempo of the game. They will be looking to get their attacking players involved early and often, with Leao and Rebic likely to be the key players in their attacking unit. With a solid defensive record and a potent attacking threat, Milan will be confident of securing a victory against their opponents.

Possible starting lineup:

Maignan; Kalulu, Kjaer, Thiaw; Calabria, Bennacer, Tonali, Hernandez; De Ketelaere, Leao; Origi

Salernitana

Salernitana has had a difficult season so far, currently sitting in 16th place in the Serie A table, just two points clear of the relegation zone. However, the appointment of Paulo Sousa as their new manager seems to have given the team a new lease of life. The Portuguese manager has already helped the Granata to four points in his first three games in charge, the same number of points that they managed in the seven games preceding his arrival.

Salernitana's defense has been a major issue this season, conceding 47 goals in 25 games, which is the second-worst defensive record in the league, just behind Venezia. Their attack has not been much better, scoring only 24 goals, which is the third-lowest tally in the league. The team will need to improve in both areas if they hope to avoid relegation at the end of the season.

Krzysztof Piatek will be hoping to end his goal drought against his former club. The Polish striker has struggled to find the net in Serie A this season, with his last goal coming in November 2022. However, he will be eager to prove a point against Milan and help his team secure a positive result.

Salernitana's away form has been particularly concerning, losing six of their last nine games on the road in the league since the start of October. Against a resurgent Milan, who have won their last two home games without conceding a goal, Salernitana may struggle to get a positive result at the San Siro. The team will need to put in a strong defensive performance and take their chances when they come if they hope to come away with anything from this game.

Overall, Salernitana faces a tough test against Milan, who will be eager to bounce back from their recent loss and secure a vital win in the race for a top-four finish. While Salernitana has shown signs of improvement under Sousa, their away form and defensive struggles may prove too much to overcome against a team with Milan's quality.

Possible starting lineup:

Ochoa; Daniliuc, Gyomber, Pirola; Mazzocchi, Crnigoj, Coulibaly, Bradaric; Kastanos, Candreva; Piatek

Prediction

AC Milan have a clear advantage in terms of quality, form and playing at home, where they have won their last two games without conceding. They have also kept a clean sheet in six of their last eight Serie A home matches, which suggests that Salernitana may struggle to break through their defense.

Salernitana's recent record on the road doesn't bode well for them, having lost six of their last nine away games in Serie A. In contrast, Milan have been impressive at the San Siro, where they have lost only once in their last eight league games. The hosts will be looking to secure all three points to maintain their pursuit of a top-four finish in Serie A.

In terms of the teams' current form, Milan has won three of their last five league matches, while Salernitana has managed only one victory in their last five games. Paulo Sousa's side has shown some signs of improvement, but they will need to be at their best to get anything from this game.

AC Milan's attacking options, with the likes of Rafael Leao, Divock Origi, and Ante Rebic, should be able to break through Salernitana's defense. Salernitana's defense has conceded 43 goals so far, which is the second-worst defensive record in the league. Milan will look to exploit this weakness and score goals.

Overall, AC Milan is the clear favorite to win this game, and they should do so convincingly. With their attacking firepower and solid defense, they should win this game by a 2-goal margin, with a final score of 3-1 in their favor. This result should boost Milan's confidence as they continue their push for a top-four finish in Serie A.

PICK: AC Milan -1.5 (+105) 

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