Newcastle United vs Leicester City Prediction Premier League 4/7
- Kingpin
- Apr 7, 2025, 3:24:54 AM
Leicester City vs Newcastle United Preview and Prediction - April 7, 2025
Kickoff: 12:00 PM (Local Time) | Venue: King Power Stadium | Broadcast: USA Network, Universo
Introduction
On April 7, 2025, the King Power Stadium hosts a Premier League clash between two clubs in vastly different states. Leicester City, battling relegation with only 17 points from 30 games, welcome a surging Newcastle United side eyeing a strong European finish. The contrast couldn’t be more dramatic: Leicester have suffered five straight defeats without scoring a single goal, while Newcastle ride into this match having won three straight across all competitions.
This fixture is critical for both ends of the table. For Newcastle, it’s a chance to climb closer to the top five, and for Leicester, a final cry for survival in what’s been a harrowing campaign.
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Odds Table
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total (2.5) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester City | +500 | +1.5 (-165) | Over -140 |
| Newcastle United | -210 | -1.5 (+120) | Under +110 |
| Draw | +350 | ||
Team Analysis
Leicester City
Leicester’s Premier League return has quickly turned into a relegation nightmare. With just four wins and a staggering 67 goals conceded, they boast the league’s worst defensive record. Their recent form—five consecutive losses without scoring—underscores a complete collapse in both confidence and structure.
Jamie Vardy continues to be the top scorer, but his influence has waned. Creative outlets like Buonanotte have been ineffective due to the team’s inability to retain possession or transition effectively. The midfield, anchored by Ndidi, is often overwhelmed, and their backline is regularly exposed on counters and set pieces.
Newcastle United
Newcastle are proving once again to be one of the league’s most organized and consistent sides. They’ve claimed 50 points from 29 games and are unbeaten in three straight fixtures. The team is powered by Alexander Isak’s 20-goal season and supported by creative play from Gordon and Murphy.
Defensively, they’ve shored things up with just 39 goals conceded. But it’s the midfield engine, led by Bruno Guimarães, that makes them special—balancing aggression, passing control, and ball recovery. Newcastle are tactically versatile, capable of breaking down low blocks and striking quickly in transition.
Top Players
Leicester City
- Jamie Vardy – 7 goals in 28 appearances, still Leicester’s most lethal forward despite age and service issues.
- Facundo Buonanotte – 4 goals and 2 assists in 26 games, but influence has diminished in recent weeks.
- Wilfred Ndidi – The lone midfield enforcer, but often overwhelmed by more dynamic sides.
Newcastle United
- Alexander Isak – 20 goals in 26 matches, one of the Premier League’s most efficient finishers.
- Jacob Murphy – 5 goals and 9 assists, Newcastle’s chief creator in open play.
- Bruno Guimarães – 6 assists from midfield, controlling tempo and breaking lines with precision passing.
Recent Performance
Leicester City (Last 5 Matches)
- Apr 2: Lost 0-2 vs Manchester City (Premier League)
- Mar 16: Lost 0-3 vs Manchester United (Premier League)
- Mar 9: Lost 0-1 vs Chelsea (Premier League)
- Feb 27: Lost 0-2 vs West Ham United (Premier League)
- Feb 21: Lost 0-4 vs Brentford (Premier League)
Goals Scored: 0 | Goals Conceded: 12 | Clean Sheets: 0
Newcastle United (Last 5 Matches)
- Apr 2: Won 2-1 vs Brentford (Premier League)
- Mar 16: Won 2-1 vs Liverpool (Carabao Cup)
- Mar 10: Won 1-0 vs West Ham United (Premier League)
- Mar 2: Lost 1-2 vs Brighton (FA Cup)
- Feb 26: Lost 0-2 vs Liverpool (Premier League)
Goals Scored: 6 | Goals Conceded: 6 | Clean Sheets: 1
Head-to-Head Comparison
- Dec 14, 2024: Newcastle 4-0 Leicester
- May 22, 2023: Newcastle 0-0 Leicester
- Jan 10, 2023: Newcastle 2-0 Leicester (Carabao Cup)
- Dec 26, 2022: Leicester 0-3 Newcastle
- Apr 17, 2022: Newcastle 2-1 Leicester
Aggregate Score (last 5): Newcastle 11 - 1 Leicester
ATS Records
- Leicester: 1-9 ATS last 10, failing to cover in all five recent losses.
- Newcastle: 7-3 ATS last 10, including three consecutive covers.
Betting Trends and Stats
- Newcastle have scored 2+ goals in 4 of their last 5 wins.
- Leicester have lost 7 of their last 8 by two or more goals.
- Leicester have failed to score in 6 of their last 7 EPL games.
- BTTS: “No” has hit in 5 straight Leicester matches.
Advanced Metrics
| Metric | Leicester City | Newcastle United |
|---|---|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.89 | 1.84 |
| Expected Goals Against (xGA) | 2.08 | 1.22 |
| Possession % | 38.4% | 56.1% |
| Pass Accuracy | 74% | 85% |
| Shots per Game | 7.1 | 14.4 |
Prediction
Leicester City are in a freefall. They’ve lost five straight without scoring and conceded 12 goals in the process. Their midfield lacks cohesion, and their defense is leaking goals against every level of opponent. Confidence is at an all-time low, and their statistical profile mirrors a relegation-bound club.
Newcastle, in contrast, are peaking at the right time. Three straight wins, including a Carabao Cup triumph over Liverpool, highlight their growing momentum. Isak is in top form, and Newcastle’s balanced tactical approach should allow them to dominate this fixture on the road.
Pick: Newcastle United ML -210
