Bolívar vs Flamengo: CONMEBOL Libertadores Spread Prediction 8/23
In an exciting matchup in the Round of 16 of the 2024 CONMEBOL Libertadores, Bolívar will take on Flamengo at the Estadio Hernando Siles in La Paz. The match is set to kick off on August 23, 2024, at 00:30 UTC. Both teams have shown significant prowess in their respective leagues, but the altitude of La Paz presents a unique challenge for visiting teams, particularly those from lower altitudes like Flamengo. In this analysis, we will delve into the current standings, recent performances, head-to-head records, and make an informed prediction on the spread for this pivotal clash.
Odds
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Bolívar Spread | -1.5 (+150) |
| Flamengo Spread | +1.5 (-200) |
Bolívar Overview
Bolívar comes into this match in strong form, having leveraged their home advantage at the high altitude of La Paz. Their current record stands impressively at 12 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses in the domestic league, placing them in a competitive position in the standings. Offensively, Bolívar has been potent, scoring an average of 2.5 goals per game, with key players like Bruno Miranda leading the charge with his pace and creativity. Defensively, they have been solid, conceding only 0.8 goals per game, which is a testament to their organized backline.
Recent performances have seen Bolívar win 4 out of their last 5 matches, including a crucial victory against their local rivals. They have also managed to maintain a clean sheet in several of these games, showcasing their defensive capabilities. The team's fitness levels are high, and they are expected to field their strongest lineup for this encounter.
Flamengo Overview
Flamengo, on the other hand, has had a mixed bag of results in recent weeks, with a current record of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses in the Brazilian Serie A. They find themselves in a competitive position, but their away form has been less than stellar, which raises concerns as they travel to La Paz. Offensively, Flamengo boasts a wealth of talent, including their star striker Pedro, who has consistently found the back of the net. However, the team has struggled to convert chances into goals in tight matches, averaging only 1.6 goals per game in their last five outings.
Defensively, Flamengo has also faced challenges, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match, which could be exploited by a high-flying Bolívar side. In their last match, they suffered a disappointing defeat, which will further impact their confidence heading into this tough away fixture. Injuries to key players may also play a role, as Flamengo's depth will be tested in the high altitude.
Head to Head Record
The historical head-to-head record between Bolívar and Flamengo shows a competitive rivalry, with both teams having their share of victories. In their last five meetings, Bolívar holds a slight edge with three wins compared to Flamengo's two. Notably, the matches have often been closely contested, often decided by a single goal. This trend could play a crucial role in how this match unfolds, especially considering the altitude advantage Bolívar enjoys at home.
Betting Trends
- Bolívar is 4-1 against the spread in their last five home games.
- Flamengo has struggled on the road, going 2-3 against the spread in their last five away matches.
- Both teams have seen the total go under in four of their last five encounters.
- Bolívar has scored at least 2 goals in 4 of their last 5 home matches.
- Flamengo has conceded 2 or more goals in 3 of their last 5 away matches.

