Soccer Hot Tips: Atalanta vs Como Prediction - 2024-25 Serie A Match Analysis

Introduction

Atalanta will host Como on September 24, 2024, at the Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo in what promises to be an intriguing Serie A fixture. Atalanta, currently sitting in 9th place, have had a mixed start to the season, with two wins and two losses. Como, meanwhile, remain winless and are looking to turn their fortunes around. This match presents a strong opportunity for both teams to solidify their footing in the standings. Our analysis dives into both teams' recent form, key players, tactical outlooks, and betting trends, with a prediction.

 

Odds Table

Team	Moneyline	Total	Spread
Atalanta (2-0-2)	-190	o2.5 (-140)	-1.5 (+130)
Como (0-2-2)	+450	u2.5 (+110)	+1.5 (-180)
Draw	+340	-	-

Team Analysis

Atalanta

Atalanta has been inconsistent this season, with two wins and two losses in Serie A, and a recent 0-0 draw against Arsenal in the UEFA Champions League. Despite their potent attacking options, they have struggled with consistency at the back, having conceded 8 goals in their last four matches. They will look to improve defensively as they host a weaker Como side.

Matteo Retegui has been the standout performer for Atalanta, with four goals in as many matches. However, with the team struggling to find form and considering their defensive issues, Atalanta may approach this match with caution.

Como

Como enters this fixture winless, having drawn two and lost two of their four matches in Serie A. Their last match, a 2-2 draw with Bologna, showed their resilience, but Como has struggled to keep clean sheets, conceding seven goals thus far. Scoring has also been an issue, with just three goals to their name in four matches.

Patrick Cutrone has been the key player for Como, scoring two of their three goals this season. However, Como's inability to create clear-cut chances consistently could be their downfall against Atalanta.

Tactical Analysis

Atalanta's Setup

Atalanta will likely deploy a 3-4-2-1 formation, looking to dominate possession and press high up the field. Key to their game plan will be Matteo Retegui, who has been their most reliable attacking threat this season. The midfield duo of Marten de Roon and Éderson will look to control the tempo, while Charles De Ketelaere will play a crucial role in linking midfield to attack.

However, defensively, Atalanta has shown vulnerabilities, particularly when dealing with quick transitions. They will need to tighten up at the back, especially against a Como side that could look to play on the counter-attack.

Como's Setup

Como is expected to set up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, with Patrick Cutrone leading the line. Their strategy will likely revolve around sitting deep, absorbing pressure, and hitting Atalanta on the break. Como’s defense has been shaky, but their primary focus will be on limiting the space for Atalanta's attackers and frustrating their hosts.

Midfielders like Gabriel Strefezza will be vital in providing defensive cover, while also supporting the lone striker in transition. Como’s defense will be under immense pressure, and their ability to keep Atalanta’s attacking threats at bay could determine the outcome of the match.

Top Players to Watch

Atalanta: Matteo Retegui

Matteo Retegui has been Atalanta’s main source of goals, with four strikes in four matches. His clinical finishing and movement in the box make him a constant threat. If Atalanta is to secure a victory, Retegui will likely be heavily involved in the action.

Como: Patrick Cutrone

Patrick Cutrone has been one of the few bright spots for Como this season, scoring two of their three goals. Cutrone’s ability to find space and capitalize on defensive mistakes will be crucial if Como is to get a positive result from this match.

Recent Performance

Atalanta

Atalanta’s recent form has been a mixed bag, with two wins and two losses in their last four Serie A matches. They are coming off a 3-2 victory over Fiorentina, but prior to that, they suffered a heavy 4-0 loss to Inter Milan. Their inconsistency has been evident, particularly in defense, and they will need to improve if they are to avoid dropping points against Como.

Como

Como remains winless in Serie A, with two draws and two losses from their opening four matches. Their most recent game saw them draw 2-2 against Bologna, but they have struggled to convert chances into wins. Defensively, Como has been porous, and they will need a much more disciplined performance against Atalanta.

Head-to-Head Comparison

The last time these two teams met was back in 2003, with Atalanta securing a 2-1 victory. However, much has changed since then, and Atalanta is now the clear favorite in this fixture. Como’s struggles in both attack and defense suggest that Atalanta should have the upper hand, though the match could be tighter than expected given Atalanta’s own inconsistencies.

Betting Trends

• Atalanta has seen under 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches across all competitions.
• Como has scored just 3 goals in their first four matches, averaging less than one goal per game.
• 4 of the last 5 matches involving Como have resulted in under 2.5 goals.

Injury Impact

Atalanta is expected to field a full-strength squad, with no significant injury concerns ahead of this match. Their attacking depth, including players like Ademola Lookman and Charles De Ketelaere, provides coach Gian Piero Gasperini with plenty of options.

Como will also be close to full strength, though their squad lacks the depth and quality of their opponents. Any defensive absences could spell trouble for Como as they try to contain Atalanta’s forward line.

Prediction