Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, Pick and Preview, May 6 (5/6): NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, Pick and Preview, May 6 (5/6): NHL

Credit: photo by John E. Sokolowski-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 7:30 p.m. EST
Lightning money line -115
Lightning spread -1.5 (+210)
Maple Leafs money line -105
Maple Leafs spread +1.5 (-250)
Over / under 6.5
 

2021-2022 season stats

  Tampa Bay Lightning Toronto Maple Leafs
Record 52-24-8 55-22-7
Home / Road record 27-8-6 23-13-5
Streak W1 L1
Goals per game 3.48 3.80
Goals allowed per game 2.78 3.07
Shots per game 30.9 34.6
Shots allowed per game 29.8 30.6
PP % 23.9% 27.30%
PK % 19.05% 17.60%
Over / under record 45-37-2 46-32-6

 

Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning and the Toronto Maple Leafs will meet again at the Amalie Arena in Tampa Bay to play the Game 3 of the playoffs 1st round in the East. The Lightning bounced back in Game 2 beating the Maple Leafs 5-3.

Tampa Bay Lightning

The Lightning have won 3 of their last 5 games and are 27-14 at home with a 52-24-8 record overall ranking 3rd in the Atlantic Division. The Lightning are 16-9-3 against division opponents. Tampa Bay is third in the Eastern Conference averaging 3.4 goals per game, led by Steven Stamkos with 42.

Victor Hedman has 20 goals and 66 assists for the Lightning. Steven Stamkos has 10 goals and 15 assists over the last 10 game

In their last 10 games the Lightning are 7-3, averaging 4.9 goals, 8.7 assists, 6.3 penalties and 18.7 penalty minutes while giving up 3.2 goals per game.

Toronto Maple Leafs

The Maple Leafs have won 4 of their last 5 games and are 23-18 on the road this season. They have a 55-22-7 record overall ranking second in the Atlantic division. The Maple Leafs are 17-9-2 against division opponents and 35-13-4 in conference games.

Mitchell Marner has 35 goals and 62 assists for the Maple Leafs. Auston Matthews has four goals and six assists over the past 10 games.

In their last 10 games Toronto are 7-3, averaging 3.6 goals, 6.2 assists, 5.4 penalties and 18.7 penalty minutes while giving up 2.9 goals per game.

BETTING TRENDS

Tampa Bay are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games against Toronto.

Toronto are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.

The total has gone OVER in 12 of Toronto's last 15 games on the road.

Prediction

The Lightning offense woke up in Game 2 and scored 5 goals. They've won 6 of their last 7 games at home and are 1-1 at home against the Maple Leafs. With these two power offenses I have to lean for the over. 

PICK: Over 6.5 (-110)

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