Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, Pick and Preview, May 12 (5/12): NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, Pick and Preview, May 12 (5/12): NHL

Credit: photo by Nick Turchiaro-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 7:30 p.m. EST
Lightning money line -125
Lightning spread -1.5 (+190)
Maple Leafs money line +105
Maple Leafs spread +1.5 (-230)
Over / under 6.5
 

2021-2022 season stats

  Tampa Bay Lightning Toronto Maple Leafs
Record 53-26-8 57-23-7
Home / Road record 28-9-6 24-14-5
Streak L1 W1
Goals per game 3.48 3.80
Goals allowed per game 2.78 3.07
Shots per game 30.9 34.6
Shots allowed per game 29.8 30.6
PP % 23.9% 27.30%
PK % 19.05% 17.60%
Over / under record 48-37-2 49-32-6

 

Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning and the Toronto Maple Leafs will meet again at the Amalie Arena in Tampa Bay to play the Game 6 of the playoffs 1st round in the East. The Maple Leafs got the win in Game 5 to take the lead in the series 3-2.

Toronto Maple Leafs

The Maple Leafs have won 3 of their last 5 games and are 24-19 on the road this season. They have a 57-23-7 record overall ranking second in the Atlantic division. The Maple Leafs are 19-10-2 against division opponents and 37-14-4 in conference games.

Auston Matthews has 60 goals and 46 assists for the Maple Leafs. William Nylander has scored five goals with four assists over the last 10 games.

In their last 10 games Toronto are 6-4, averaging 3.4 goals, 5.6 assists, 6.4 penalties and 21.1 penalty minutes while giving up 3.1 goals per game.

Tampa Bay Lightning

The Lightning have won 3 of their last 5 games and are 28-15 on the road with a 53-26-8 record overall ranking 3rd in the Atlantic Division. The Lightning are 17-11-3 against division opponents. Tampa Bay is third in the Eastern Conference averaging 3.4 goals per game, led by Steven Stamkos with 42.

Nikita Kucherov has 25 goals and 44 assists for the Lightning. Steven Stamkos has 10 goals and nine assists over the past 10 games.

In their last 10 games the Lightning are 6-4, averaging 4.3 goals, 7.3 assists, 5.9 penalties and 16.2 penalty minutes while giving up 3.3 goals per game.

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games.

Toronto are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games.

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games.

The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games against Toronto.

Prediction

We have cashed the over in the last 4 games of this series and I think we should stick to that. The Maple Leafs are scoring 3.4 gpg while the Lightning are scoring 4.3 gpg in their last 10 games and both teams are allowing more than 3 goals per game.

PICK: Over 6.5 (-110)

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