Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, Pick and Preview, April 4 (4/4): NHL

Credit: photo by Dan Hamilton-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds:

Time	7:30 p.m. EST
Maple Leafs money line	+110
Maple Leafs spread	+1.5 (-150)
Lightning money line	-130
Lightning spread	-1.5 (+130)
Over / under	5.5

 

2021-2022 season stats

	Toronto Maple Leafs	Tampa Bay Lightning
Record	44-19-5	43-18-7
Road / home record	19-12-2	21-6-5
Streak	W4	L1
Goals per game	3.76	3.32
Goals allowed per game	3.03	2.75
Shots per game	34.5	30.6
Shots allowed per game	30.6	29.6
PP %	29.8%	22.2%
PK %	16.15%	18.40%
Over / under record	38-27-3	34-32-2

Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs continue on the road and will the Tampa Bay Lightning on Monday night. This is the third time these teams face off this season and they're tied 1-1.

TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS

The Maple Leafs have won 4 of their last 5 games and are 19-14 on the road this season. They have a 44-19-5 record overall ranking 2nd in the Atlantic division. The Maple Leafs are 11-6 against the rest of their division. Toronto is second in the NHL averaging 6.5 assists per game, led by Mitch Marner with 0.9.

Marner leads the Maple Leafs with 53 total assists and has 81 points. Matthews has seven goals and five assists over the last 10 games for Toronto.

In their last 10 games Toronto are 7-3, averaging 4.1 goals, 6.6 assists, 4.2 penalties and 11.6 penalty minutes while allowing 2.8 goals per game with a .907 save percentage.

TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING

Tampa Bay have also won 4 of their last 5 games and are 21-11 at home so far this season. They have a 43-18-7 record overall ranking 3rd in the Atlantic division and are tied with 93 points with the Maple Leafs. The Lightning are 12-6-2 against Atlantic teams. Tampa Bay averages 4.3 penalties per game, the most in the Eastern Conference. Alex Killorn leads the team with 28 total penalties.

Victor Hedman leads the Lightning with 47 assists and has 66 points this season. Brayden Point has five goals and seven assists over the last 10 games for Tampa Bay.

In their last 10 games Lightning are 6-4, averaging 3 goals, 5.3 assists, 4.9 penalties and 10.6 penalty minutes while giving up 2.1 goals per game with a .928 save percentage.

BETTING TRENDS

Toronto are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.

The total has gone OVER in 7 of Toronto's last 8 games on the road.

Tampa Bay are 14-6 SU in their last 20 games at home.

The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Tampa Bay's last 12 games.

Prediction

The Maple Leafs get here with a 4 game winning streak and they beat tough teams like the Panthers, Bruins, Jets and Flyers. The Lightning are coming from a terrible upstet against the Canadiens. You can make an argument for each side to win but I see the Maple Leafs in better shape at this moment so I'm rolling with them as dogs.

PICK: Maple Leafs ML (+110)

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