Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Pick and Preview, May 4 (5/4): NHL

Credit: photo by Dan Hamilton-USA TODAY Sports

Odds

2021-2022 season stats

Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning and the Toronto Maple Leafs will meet again at the Scotiabank Arena in Toronto to play the Game 2 of the playoffs 1st round in the East. The Maple Leafs destroyed the Lightning in Game 1 beating them 5-0.

Tampa Bay Lightning

The Lightning have lost 2 of their last 3 games and are 24-18 on the road with a 51-24-8 record overall ranking 3rd in the Atlantic Division. The Lightning are 15-9-3 against division opponents. Tampa Bay is third in the Eastern Conference averaging 3.4 goals per game, led by Steven Stamkos with 42.

Stamkos leads the Lightning with 64 total assists and has 106 points. Nikita Kucherov has ten goals over the last 10 games for Tampa Bay.

In their last 10 games the Lightning are 7-3, averaging 4.8 goals, 6.6 assists, 4.7 penalties and 13.3 penalty minutes while allowing 3.3 goals per game with a .908 save percentage.

Toronto Maple Leafs

The Maple Leafs have won 4 games in a row and are 32-10 at home this season. They have a 55-21-7 record overall ranking second in the Atlantic division. The Maple Leafs are 17-8-2 against division opponents and 35-12-4 in conference games.

Matthews leads the Maple Leafs with 106 points, scoring 60 goals and collecting 46 assists. Mitchell Marner has 62 assists for Toronto.

In their last 10 games Toronto are 8-2, averaging 4 goals, 7.1 assists, 5.2 penalties and 14.8 penalty minutes while allowing 2.7 goals per game with an .879 save percentage.

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 10 games.

Tampa Bay are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games.

Toronto are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games.

Toronto are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games at home.

Prediction

The Lightning offense werer on fire and scoring almost 5 goals per game before getting outscored by the Maple Leafs in Game 1. The Maple Leafs are winning the 76% of the time at home this season and have won 6 straight games in home ice. Tampa Bay should play better this time but the Maple Leafs are on fire and playing great at home. Take Toronto to win in a high scoring game.

PICK: Maple Leafs ML (-135) Over 6 (-125)

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