Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Pick and Preview, May 10 (5/10): NHL
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Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Pick and Preview, May 10 (5/10): NHL

Credit: photo by Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 7:30 p.m. EST
Lightning money line +110
Lightning spread +1.5 (-235)
Maple Leafs money line -130
Maple Leafs spread -1.5 (+195)
Over / under 6.5
 

2021-2022 season stats

  Tampa Bay Lightning Toronto Maple Leafs
Record 53-25-8 56-23-7
Home / Road record 25-16-2 32-9-2
Streak W1 L1
Goals per game 3.48 3.80
Goals allowed per game 2.78 3.07
Shots per game 30.9 34.6
Shots allowed per game 29.8 30.6
PP % 23.9% 27.30%
PK % 19.05% 17.60%
Over / under record 47-37-2 48-32-6

 

Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning and the Toronto Maple Leafs will meet again at the Scotiabank Arena in Toronto to play the Game 5 of the playoffs 1st round in the East. The Lightning got the win 7-3 in Game 4 and the series is tied 2-2.

Tampa Bay Lightning

The Lightning have won 3 of their last 5 games and are 25-16-2 on the road with a 53-25-8 record overall ranking 3rd in the Atlantic Division. The Lightning are 17-10-3 against division opponents. Tampa Bay is third in the Eastern Conference averaging 3.4 goals per game, led by Steven Stamkos with 42.

Victor Hedman has 20 goals and 66 assists for the Lightning. Steven Stamkos has 10 goals and 11 assists over the past 10 games.

In their last 10 games the Lightning are 7-3 averaging 4.8 goals, 8.3 assists, 6.8 penalties and 19.9 penalty minutes while giving up three goals per game..

Toronto Maple Leafs

The Maple Leafs have won 5 of their last 7 games and are 32-11 at home this season. They have a 56-23-7 record overall ranking second in the Atlantic division. The Maple Leafs are 18-10-2 against division opponents and 36-14-4 in conference games.

William Nylander has 34 goals and 46 assists for the Maple Leafs. Ilya Mikheyev has six goals and three assists over the last 10 games

In their last 10 games Toronto are 6-4, averaging 3.5 goals, 5.8 assists, 6.3 penalties and 21.2 penalty minutes while giving up three goals per game

BETTING TRENDS

Tampa Bay are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games on the road.

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games against Tampa Bay.

Toronto are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games at home.

Prediction

These are two of the best offenses in the NHL, the Maple Leafs are scoring 3.5 gpg while the Lightning are scoring 4.8 gpg in their last 10 games. The over continue to cash between these two teams and I think the over hits again.

PICK: Over 6.5 (-110)

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