Kingpin analysis

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction, Pick and Preview, Jun 26 (6/26): NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction, Pick and Preview, Jun 26 (6/26): NHL

Credit: photo by Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 8:00 p.m. EST
Lightning money line +100
Lightning spread +1.5 (-245)
Avalanche money line -120
Avalanche spread -1.5 (+205)
Over / under 6
 

2021-2022 season stats

  Tampa Bay Lightning Colorado Avalanche
Record 65-39 71-30
Road  / home record 35-16 32-18
Streak W1 L1
Goals per game 3.48 3.76
Goals allowed per game 2.78 2.83
Shots per game 30.9 35.0
Shots allowed per game 29.8 32.0
PP % 23.9% 24.00%
PK % 18.83% 20.88%
Over / under record 53-49-2 54-42-5

 

Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning and the Colorado Avalanche will meet again at the Ball Arena in Denver, CO to play the Game 5 of the Stanley Cup Finals. The Lightning took the win 3-2 in Game 5 at Denver to stay alive on the series.

Tampa Bay Lightning

The Lightning have lost 3 of their last 5 games and are 35-16 at home with a 65-39 record overall ranking 3rd in the Atlantic Division. The Lightning are 24-10-3 against Western conference rivals. Tampa Bay have a +61 scoring differential, with 296 total goals scored and 235 given up.

Steven Stamkos has scored 43 goals with 65 assists for the Lightning. Corey Perry has 3 goals and 3 assists over the past 10 games.

In their last 10 games the Lightning are 6-4, averaging 2.7 goals, 5.5 assists, 4.8 penalties and 13.1 penalty minutes while giving up 3 goals per game.

Colorado Avalanche

Colorado have won 8 of their last 10 games and are 32-18 on the road. They have 71-30 overall record ranking 1st in the Central Division. The Avalanche are 25-10-2 against Eastern conference rivals. Colorado averages 8.8 penalty minutes per game, the ninth-most in the Western Conference and have gone 59-4-4 when scoring three or more goals.

Mikko Rantanen has 36 goals and 56 assists for the Avalanche. Lehkonen has 4 goals and 5 assists over the last 10 games.

In their last 10 games the Avalanche are 8-2, averaging 4.5 goals, 6.3 assists, four penalties and 10.2 penalty minutes while giving up 3.1 goals per game.

BETTING TRENDS

Colorado are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games against Tampa Bay.

Colorado are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games on the road.

The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 10 games against Colorado.

Tampa Bay are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games at home.

Prediction

The Bolts are still alive on the series but they need to win other 2 games in a row to win the Stanley Cup which is very complicated with the best team of the league in front. The Avs have won 8 of their last 9 games on the road and haven't lost 2 in a row on the playoffs. They already beat the Lightning in Tampa so I expect them to bounce back and win this game. Take the Avalanche.  

PICK: Avalanche ML (-120)

Find more sports picks from the top sports bettors and NHL experts all in one place using our iOS and Google Play apps, as well as our other articles at Kingpin.pro.  We are the home for NHL picks, sports picks and sports betting.

Kingpin PRO

Get ranked cards for this game in the app

Tracked experts, Edge scores, and alerts on iPhone and Android.

Simulated results. Entertainment only. Gambling involves risk.

Methodology and disclosure

Historical Kingpin articles preserve original body copy, authors, and publication dates. Structured pick or odds modules appear only when the source article provides them.

Kingpin PRO

Continue in the Kingpin app

Transparent simulated records. Entertainment only.

Simulated results. Entertainment only. Gambling involves risk.

Simulated results for entertainment. Gambling involves risk. Bet only where legal.

Kingpin analysis · 4.8★Get picks and alerts in the app
Choose app store