Senators vs Red Wings: NHL Preview and Prediction, 02/27/23

Senators vs Red Wings: NHL Preview and Prediction, 02/27/23

 

Odds

Time 7:00 p.m. EST
Senators money line -154
Senators spread -1.5 (+143)
Red Wings money line +123
Red Wings spread +1.5 (-163)
Over / under 6

 

2021-2022 season stats

  Ottawa Senators Detroit Red Wings
Record 28-26-4 28-22-8
Home / road record 16-12-2 13-10-5
Streak W1 L1
Goals per game 3.02 3.05
Goals allowed per game 3.19 3.12
Shots per game 31.5 34.7
Shots allowed per game 30.5 26.2
PP % 20.6% 18.10%
PK % 18.22% 20.80%
Over / under record 24-30-4 26-30-2
 

Preview

On February 27, 2023, the Detroit Red Wings will visit the Ottawa Senators at the Canadian Tire Centre. These teams already faced each other twice so far this season and they are tied 1-1. In the last meeting, Lucas Raymond had a goal and an assist, and the Detroit Red Wings scored three times in the first 3 1/2 minutes of the third period to beat the Ottawa Senators 4-2 on Saturday night. Elmer Soderblom had the go-ahead goal for the Red Wings, who trailed 2-1 entering the final period. Pius Suter and Michael Rasmussen also scored, while Magnus Hellberg made 20 saves.

 

Ottawa Senators

Despite a less successful season, the Ottawa Senators have shown that they are not to be taken lightly, especially as they have been on a hot streak lately. In their last 10 games, the Senators have a record of 6-3-1, with an average of 3.5 goals per game, and they will be looking to continue that momentum against the Red Wings.

The Senators have had a tough road record this season, with only 11 wins in 26 games away from their home arena. This could prove to be a challenge for them in Raleigh, especially against a Carolina Hurricanes team that has been dominant at home. However, the Senators have proven that they can be resilient, as they have been able to pick up crucial points in games that they were not necessarily favored to win.

One of the biggest contributors to the Senators' success this season has been their young star forward, Brady Tkachuk. The 22-year-old has been having a breakout season, with 24 goals and 36 assists, and he will be looking to continue his impressive form against the Hurricanes. Tkachuk has been a leader on and off the ice for the Senators and has been a crucial part of their recent success.

Another player who has been on a hot streak for the Senators lately is Claude Giroux. The 34-year-old center has scored eight goals and added five assists in his last 10 games, and he will be looking to continue that form against the Hurricanes. Giroux has been a key player for the Senators this season, providing leadership and experience to a relatively young team.

While the Senators have struggled with their scoring differential this season, allowing more goals than they have scored, they have shown that they are capable of winning games through their resilience and determination. If they can continue their recent form, they will pose a real threat to the Hurricanes in this matchup.

Injury Concerns

The Senators will be without Josh Norris for the remainder of the season due to a shoulder injury, as well as Anton Forsberg, Jake Sanderson, and Nick Holden.

Detroit Red Wings

The Detroit Red Wings are looking to continue their recent success as they face off against the Senators. With a record of 28-22-8, the Red Wings currently sit in fourth place in the Atlantic Division. However, they have been on an upswing lately, winning seven of their last ten games, and they will be hoping to carry that momentum into their next matchup.

One player who has been key to the Red Wings' success this season is David Perron. With 14 goals and 23 assists, Perron has been the team's top performer. He will need to continue his strong play if the Red Wings hope to come away with a win. Dylan Larkin has also been playing well recently, with seven goals and seven assists over the past ten games. The Red Wings will need both players to step up if they want to overcome the Senators.

Defensively, the Red Wings have been solid this season, giving up an average of just 2.2 goals per game over their last ten games. They have also been penalized 3.9 times per game, spending an average of 10 penalty minutes per game. The team's defensive success has been a key factor in their recent winning streak, and they will need to maintain their strong defensive play to keep the Senators at bay.

One area where the Red Wings will need to be particularly strong is on the penalty kill. The Senators have a potent power play, converting on 23.6% of their opportunities this season. The Red Wings will need to limit their penalties and be effective on the penalty kill if they want to prevent the Senators from taking advantage of their special teams.

In terms of injuries, the Red Wings will be without two key players for the matchup against the Senators. Mark Pysyk is out with an achilles injury, while Lucas Raymond is out with a lower body injury. The Red Wings will need their remaining players to step up and fill the void left by these absences.

Overall, the Red Wings are in good form and will be looking to continue their strong play against the Senators. While they will need to be particularly strong on the penalty kill and in the absence of key players, the team's recent success and defensive solidity should give them confidence going into the game. If Perron and Larkin can continue their strong play and the team's defensive unit can keep the Senators at bay, the Red Wings have a good chance of coming away with a victory.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Detroit are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games.

Detroit are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games against Ottawa.

Detroit are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games on the road.

Detroit are 5-13 SU in their last 18 games when playing on the road against Ottawa.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games.

The total has gone OVER in 8 of Ottawa's last 12 games against Detroit.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 6 games at home.

 

Prediction

Based on the information provided, it seems that the Detroit Red Wings have an advantage in this matchup against the Ottawa Senators. The Red Wings have been playing some solid hockey lately, winning seven of their last ten games and maintaining a strong defensive record, giving up an average of just 2.2 goals per game over their last ten games. Meanwhile, the Senators have struggled defensively, allowing more goals than they have scored this season.

In addition, the Red Wings have key players who have been performing well lately, such as David Perron and Dylan Larkin, who have both been contributing to the team's recent success. On the other hand, while the Senators have had some standout performers, such as Brady Tkachuk and Claude Giroux, the team has struggled with injuries and inconsistency.

Furthermore, the Senators have struggled on the road this season, with only 11 wins in 26 games away from their home arena. This could prove to be a challenge for them in this matchup against the Red Wings, who will have home advantage.

In conclusion, it seems likely that the Detroit Red Wings will come away with a victory against the Ottawa Senators. The Red Wings have been playing solid hockey, have key players who have been performing well, and have a strong defensive record. Meanwhile, the Senators have struggled with injuries and inconsistency, and have struggled on the road this season. Unless the Senators can significantly improve their defensive play, the Red Wings have a good chance of winning this matchup.

 

PICK: Red Wings ML (+123)

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