San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Pick and Preview, May 13 (5/13): MLB

San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Pick and Preview, May 13 (5/13): MLB

Credit: photo by Orlando Ramirez-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 7:20 p.m. EST
Padres money line +131
Padres  run line +1.5 (-160)
Braves money line -157
Braves run line -1.5 (+135)
Over / under 7

 

Key stats

  San Diego Padres  Atlanta Braves
Record 20-12 15-17
Road / home record 10-5 9-9
Last 10 record 6-4 5-5
Streak L1 W1
Over / under record 15-17 17-13-2
Runs / game 4.28 4.09
Runs allowed / game 4.03 4.28

 

Preview

The Atlanta Braves and the San Diego Padres will meet at the Truist Park to play a 3-game series. Last time these 2 teams met they tied the series 2-2 in San Diego.

San Diego Padres

The Padres get here with a 20-12 record and have lost 3 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.28 runs per game with a .227 at bat while allowing 4.03 runs. Manny Machado is leading the team with 7 home runs and 22 RBI and a batting average of .383.

Joe Musgrove pitched seven strong innings allowing 2 runs in 5 hits across 7 innings in his last start.

Probable Pitcher:

Yu Darvish (3-1, 4.05 ERA) will be on the mound for the Padres in the 1st game of the series. Darvish recorded the win during Friday's 3-2 victory over Miami, allowing two runs on five hits with three strikeouts in seven innings. He earned the win the last time he faced the Braves allowing only 1 run across 6.2 innings.

Atlanta Braves

The Braves get here with a 15-17 record and have won 3 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.09 runs per game with a .225 at bat while allowing 4.28 runs. Austin Riley is leading the team with 7 home runs and 14 RBI while Matt Olson has the better batting average with .269. 

Kyle Wright leads the pitching staff with 3 wins and a 3.03 ERA and 41 strikeouts.

Probable Pitcher:

Max Fried (4-2, 2.68 ERA) will be on the mound for the Atlanta in the 1st game of the series. Fried earned the win over Milwaukee on Saturday, hurling seven innings during which he gave up one run on four hits and one walk while striking out eight. He started one game against the Padres last season and threw 9 scoreless innings earning the win.

BETTING TRENDS

San Diego are 10-5 SU in their last 15 games.

San Diego are 3-9 SU in their last 12 games against Atlanta.

The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta's last 10 games against San Diego.

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing at home against San Diego.

Prediction

The Padres have one of the best records in the National League but they lost their last series against the Cubs. They already faced the Braves earlier this season and won 4-0 the one where Yarvish started. The Braves have been up and down this season but they're sending their best pitched for this game. Fried held the Padres to no runs across 9 innings the last time he faced them. The under cashed in 3 of the 4 games they played in San Diego and with these two pitchers I definitely like the Under.

PICK: Under 7 (-110)

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