NHL Experts Picks: Red Wings vs Bruins March 12, 2023

Odds

2021-2022 season stats

Preview

The Boston Bruins will take on the Detroit Red Wings in an exciting NHL matchup on March 12, 2023. The game will take place at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit and will be broadcasted on TNT at 10:30 AM EST. The Bruins are currently sitting comfortably at the top of the NHL standings with a record of 50-9-5, while the Red Wings are fighting to stay in the playoff race with a record of 29-27-9.

In this article, we will provide an in-depth preview of both teams, examining their strengths, weaknesses, and past performances to predict the likely outcome of this exciting matchup. 

Detroit Red Wings

The Detroit Red Wings have had an up-and-down season so far. They are currently fighting to stay in the playoff race in the Eastern Conference, with a record of 29-27-9. The Red Wings have been solid at home this season, with a record of 16-12-4 at Little Caesars Arena.

The Red Wings are led by Dylan Larkin, who has been a consistent scorer for the team this season. Larkin has 24 goals and 37 assists for a total of 61 points this season. He has been a key player for the Red Wings, providing leadership and offensive production.

The Red Wings have also been getting solid goaltending from their netminders Jonathan Bernier and Calvin Pickard. Bernier has been the team's primary starter this season, with a record of 18-10-3, a 2.62 goals against average (GAA), and a .912 save percentage (SV%). Pickard has played in 15 games, with a record of 7-6-2, a 2.89 GAA, and a .902 SV%.

Both goaltenders will be key to the Red Wings' success against the Bruins, as they'll need to shut down Boston's high-scoring offense. The Bruins are averaging 3.75 goals per game this season, which ranks second in the league. They're also averaging 32.8 shots on goal per game, which ranks fourth in the league. The Red Wings will need to limit the Bruins' offensive opportunities and get solid goaltending if they hope to keep the game close.

In terms of special teams, the Red Wings have struggled on both the power play and penalty kill this season. They have the league's 26th-ranked power play, converting on just 20.2% of their opportunities, and the 25th-ranked penalty kill, killing off just 77.5% of their penalties. The Bruins, on the other hand, have the league's seventh-ranked power play, converting on 23.0% of their opportunities, and the league's sixth-ranked penalty kill, killing off 86.7% of their penalties.

Overall, the Red Wings will need to play a solid all-around game to keep up with the Bruins. They'll need to get strong goaltending, limit Boston's offensive opportunities, and capitalize on their own chances. While the Bruins are the favorites, the Red Wings have shown that they can compete with some of the best teams in the league, and they'll look to do so again in this matchup.

Boston Bruins

The Boston Bruins have been one of the most dominant teams in the NHL this season. They currently have the best record in the league, with 105 points in just 64 games played. Their impressive record includes an impressive 23-6-2 away record.

The Bruins are led by their star players, David Pastrnak, Patrice Bergeron, and Brad Marchand. Pastrnak is having another outstanding season, with 45 goals and 41 assists for a total of 86 points. He is currently leading the Bruins in points and goals, and his performance has been a major factor in the team's success this season.

Patrice Bergeron is also having a solid season, with 27 goals and 36 assists for a total of 63 points. Bergeron is a key player for the Bruins, providing a strong two-way game and leadership on and off the ice.

The Bruins have also been getting solid goaltending from their tandem of Linus Ullmark and Jeremy Swayman. Ullmark has been outstanding this season, with a record of 32-4-1, a goals-against average of 1.89, and a save percentage of .938. Swayman has also been impressive, with a record of 16-5-4, a goals-against average of 2.30, and a save percentage of .916.

The Bruins have been dominant on both ends of the ice this season. They currently rank first in the NHL in goals per game, with an average of 3.75. They also have the second-best goals-against average in the league, allowing just 2.10 goals per game. Their power play has been deadly, ranking second in the league with a success rate of 23%. Their penalty kill has also been excellent, ranking first in the league with a success rate of 86.7%.

However, the Bruins have shown some weaknesses this season. They have been prone to defensive lapses and have allowed more shots on goal than they would like. They have also struggled with injuries, with Nick Foligno currently on injured reserve. The Bruins will need to stay focused and disciplined if they hope to maintain their dominant form and secure a win against the Red Wings.

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone OVER in 9 of Detroit's last 13 games.

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games on the road.

Detroit are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston.

Detroit are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games against an opponent in the Eastern Conference conference.

The total has gone OVER in 7 of Detroit's last 10 games against an opponent in the Atlantic Division division..

Boston are 10-0 SU in their last 10 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games against Detroit.

Boston are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games at home.

Boston are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 8 games against an opponent in the Western Conference conference.

Prediction

Despite being heavy underdogs, the Detroit Red Wings have the potential to keep this game close and cover the +1.5 goals puck line. The Red Wings have been a much better team at home this season, with a record of 16-12-4 at Little Caesars Arena. They'll have the home-ice advantage in this matchup, which could give them a boost.

Additionally, the Red Wings have been playing some solid hockey recently, with a record of 6-3-1 in their last ten games. They've been getting contributions from throughout their lineup, and their goaltending has been solid. While they'll be facing a tough test in the Boston Bruins, the Red Wings have shown that they can compete with some of the best teams in the league.

On the other hand, the Bruins have been dominant this season, with a record of 50-9-5. They have one of the best offenses in the league, and they'll be looking to continue their success against a struggling Red Wings team. However, the Red Wings have shown that they can keep games close, even against tough opponents, and they'll be motivated to do so in this matchup.

Ultimately, while the Bruins are the favorites, the Red Wings have the potential to keep this game close and cover the +1.5 goals puck line. With solid goaltending, strong team play, and the home-ice advantage, the Red Wings will look to put up a fight against the Bruins and potentially pull off an upset.

PICK: Bruins ML (-175) 

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