Jets vs Oilers: Expert NHL Picks and Predictions 03/04/23

Jets vs Oilers: Expert NHL Picks and Predictions 03/04/23

 

Odds

Time 7:00 p.m. EST
Oilers money line -137
Oilers spread -1.5 (+167)
Jets  money line +112
Jets spread -1.5 (-200)
Over / under 6.5

 

2021-2022 season stats

  Edmonton Oilers Winnipeg Jets
Record 34-21-8 35-25-2
Road / home record 18-9-3 20-10-1
Streak W1 W5
Goals per game 3.83 3.72
Goals allowed per game 3.28 2.07
Shots per game 31.3 34.7
Shots allowed per game 31.2 30.2
PP % 25.6% 29.10%
PK % 25.22% 20.80%
Over / under record 41-18-3 17-39-6
 

Preview

The Winnipeg Jets are set to host the Edmonton Oilers in an exciting match-up at the Canada Life Centre on March 4th, 2023. Both teams are fighting for position in their respective divisions, and a win in this game could be a significant boost for their playoff chances. The Jets have been a tough team to beat at home, and the Oilers will have to bring their A-game if they want to come away with a victory.

 

Edmonton Oilers

The Oilers have been a strong team this season, with a record of 34-21-8, placing them fourth in the Pacific Division. They have been a solid road team, posting a record of 18-9-3 away from home. The Oilers have been led by their star player, Connor McDavid, who has been one of the best in the league this season. McDavid has posted an impressive 121 points on the season, with 52 goals and 69 assists.

Despite the disappointing losses, Edmonton's offensive prowess has been nothing short of exceptional, with their dynamic duo of Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl leading the charge. McDavid has been putting up otherworldly numbers, with a staggering 99 points, including 42 goals and 57 assists. Draisaitl has been no slouch either, boasting 80 points, with 31 goals and 49 assists. Even with a lack of depth behind these two, Edmonton has managed to become the highest-scoring team in the league, averaging 3.7 goals per game with an impressive 33.3 shots per game. They also rank second in expected goals per 60 minutes, with 3.65, and sixth in high-danger shots, making them a force to be reckoned with.

On the defensive side, the Oilers have had some struggles, allowing an average of 3.2 goals per game on 31.7 shots allowed per game. While they've given up the 13th-fewest expected goals per 60 minutes at 3, they rank fifth in fewest high-danger shots allowed. They have a major weakness in their penalty kill, which ranks sixth-worst in the league at just 74.6%. This has been a major Achilles heel for the Oilers, and something they will need to address if they want to go deep in the playoffs.

In goal, Stuart Skinner is projected to start tonight. Skinner has had an up-and-down season with a 13-11-4 record, a 2.95 GAA, and a .913 save percentage. While he's shown flashes of brilliance, consistency has been an issue, and his performance will be key to the Oilers' success.

The Oilers have been an exciting team to watch this season, with an explosive offense and a solid defense. With McDavid and Draisaitl leading the charge, they have the potential to make a deep playoff run. However, they will need to shore up their penalty kill and get more consistent performances from their goaltending if they want to make it happen.

Winnipeg Jets

The Jets have been a solid team this season, with a record of 35-25-2, placing them fourth in the Central Division. They have been a force to be reckoned with at home, posting a record of 20-10-1 at the Canada Life Centre. The Jets have been led by their star goaltender, Connor Hellebuyck, who has been one of the best in the league this season. Hellebuyck has posted a record of 26-18-2, with a goals-against average of 2.52 and a save percentage of .922.

The Jets have been having a great season so far, with their offense stepping up and scoring an impressive 3.14 goals per game. Kyle Connor, Pierre-Luc Dubois, and Mark Scheifele have been the driving force behind the team's success, scoring a combined total of 84 goals and 88 assists to lead the top two lines. However, it's not just the top two lines that have been producing results; the rest of the offense has also stepped up, with Blake Wheeler, Cole Perfetti, and Adam Lowry combining for 30 goals and 67 assists.

On the defensive side, the Jets have been carrying the load, allowing only 2.60 goals per game. The team has only conceded 11 goals in their last five games, a testament to the strength and consistency of their defensive unit. Josh Morrissey and Brenden Dillon have been key to the team's success, combining for 7.5 defensive point shares and 168 blocked shots. Meanwhile, Neal Pionk, Dylan DeMelo, and Nate Schmidt have added depth to the defensive unit, with a combined 9.1 defensive point shares. In addition, goaltender Connor Hellebuyck has been outstanding this season, boasting a .926 save percentage and a 2.39 goals-against average on 1372 shots, with 27.6 goals saved above average.

 

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 7 games.

Winnipeg are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games.

Winnipeg are 4-9 SU in their last 13 games against Edmonton.

Winnipeg are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games on the road.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing on the road against Edmonton.

The total has gone OVER in 7 of Edmonton's last 8 games.

Edmonton are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Edmonton's last 7 games against Winnipeg.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 7 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Jets have been a tough team to beat at home this season, and they have a solid record of 20-10-1 at the Canada Life Centre. They have been playing well lately, winning four of their last five games. The Oilers have been a solid team as well, but they have struggled a bit lately, winning just two of their last five games.

In this game, I expect the Jets to come out strong and take control early on. They have a solid offense and a strong defense, and they will be able to shut down the Oilers' high-powered offense.

 

PICK: Jets ML (-136) 

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