Buffalo Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Pick and Preview, March 2 (3/2): NHL

Buffalo Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Pick and Preview, March 2 (3/2): NHL

Credit: photo by Timothy T. Ludwi-USA TODAY Sports

 
Odds
Time 7:30 p.m. EST
Sabres money line +310
Sabres spread +1.5 (+135)
Maple money line -415
Maple spread -1.5 (-160)
Over / under 6.5

 

2021-2022 season stats
  Buffalo Sabres Toronto Maple
Record 16-30-8 35-14-4
Road / home record 8-16-4 19-5-1
Streak L6 W3
Goals per game 2.61 3.68
Goals allowed per game 3.59 2.85
Shots per game 29.7 34.6
Shots allowed per game 34.3 30.7
PP % 19.18% 29.17%
PK % 23.45% 15.33%
Over / under record 28-25-1 29-22-2

 

Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs will host the Buffalo Sabres on Wednesday night. These teams met in November and the Maple Leafs beat the Sabres 5-4 in Buffalo.

BUFFALO SABRES 

The Sabres have lost 6 straight games and are 7th in the Atlantic. The Sabres are 8-20 in road games and rank 24th in the Eastern Conference with 29.7 shots per game and is averaging 2.6 goals.

Tage Thompson leads the Sabres with 22 goals and has 40 points. Alex Tuch has seven assists over the last 10 games for Buffalo.

In their last 10 games the Sabres are 2-7-1, averaging 2.8 goals, 4.5 assists, 3.1 penalties and 8.4 penalty minutes while allowing 3.8 goals per game with an .879 save percentage.

TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS

The Maple Leafs have won 3 games in a row and are 19-6 at home so far this season. Toronto is 35-14-4 overall and ranks third in the Atlantic.

Matthews leads the Maple Leafs with 68 points, scoring 37 goals and adding 31 assists. Michael Bunting has six goals and six assists over the last 10 games for Toronto.

In their last 10 games Toronto is 5-5, averaging 4 goals, 7.4 assists, four penalties and eight penalty minutes while giving up 3.6 goals per game with an .882 save percentage.

BETTING TRENDS

Buffalo are 0-6 SU in their last 6 games.

Buffalo are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games on the road.

Buffalo are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on the road.

Toronto are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games at home.

Toronto are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo.

Prediction

The Sabres have been really bad on the road, they're winning only the 28% of the time and the 25% as road underdogs. They've also failed to cover the spread in 5 of their last 6 games on the road. Toronto is 19-6 as home favorites and although they're only 10-15 ATS at home I think they will destroy the Sabres. Take the Maple Leafs and the over.

PICK: Maple Leafs -1.5 (-160) and Over 6.5 (-110)

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