Buffalo Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Pick and Preview, April 12 (4/12): NHL
- Lm Tipster
- Apr 12, 2022, 1:13:50 AM
Credit: photo by Dan Hamilton-USA TODAY Sports
Odds:
| Time | 7:00 p.m. EST |
| Sabres money line | +330 |
| Sabres spread | +1.5 (+140) |
| Maple Leafs money line | -445 |
| Maple Leafs spread | -1.5 (-165) |
| Over / under | 6.5 |
2021-2022 season stats
| Buffalo Sabres | Toronto Maple Leafs | |
| Record | 26-37-11 | 47-19-6 |
| Road / home record | 12-20-5 | 26-7-2 |
| Streak | L3 | W2 |
| Goals per game | 2.70 | 3.82 |
| Goals allowed per game | 3.53 | 3.06 |
| Shots per game | 29.5 | 34.8 |
| Shots allowed per game | 33.6 | 30.7 |
| PP % | 20.3% | 29.4% |
| PK % | 24.86% | 16.50% |
| Over / under record | 38-32-4 | 41-28-3 |
Preview
The Buffalo Sabres continue on the road and will visit the Toronto Mape Leafs on Tuesday. This is the fourth and last time these teams face off this season and the Sabres have the lead 2-1. Toronto has already clinched the playoff berth while the Sabres are eliminated.
Buffalo Sabres
The Sabres have lost 4 of their last 5 games and are 12-25 on the road this season. They have a 26-37-11 record overall ranking 6th in the Atlantic division. The Sabres are 12-22-10 in conference play. Buffalo averages 3.1 penalties per game, the fewest in the league. Rasmus Dahlin leads them averaging 0.4.
Dahlin leads the Sabres with 35 total assists and has 44 points. Jeff Skinner has 11 points over the last 10 games for Buffalo
In their last 10 games the Sabres are 3-7, averaging 3.2 goals, 5.4 assists, 1.9 penalties and 3.8 penalty minutes while allowing 3.8 goals per game with an .881 save percentage.
Toronto Maple Leafs
The Maple Leafs have won 4 of their last 5 games and are 26-9 at home this season. They have a 47-19-6 record overall ranking second in the Atlantic division. The Maple Leafs are 27-10-3 in Eastern Conference games. Toronto ranks fourth in the NHL with 34.8 shots per game and is averaging 3.8 goals.
Auston Matthews leads the Maple Leafs with 58 goals and has 99 points. Mitch Marner has five goals and 17 assists over the last 10 games for Toronto
In their last 10 games Toronto are 8-2, averaging 4.8 goals, 7.7 assists, 4.2 penalties and 10.8 penalty minutes while giving up 3.1 goals per game with an .892 save percentage.
BETTING TRENDS
Buffalo are 4-8 SU in their last 12 games against Toronto.
Buffalo are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games.
Toronto are 15-20 ATS at home.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games.
Prediction
The Sabres have nothing to play for as they're already eliminated but they've still covered the spread in 7 of their last 10 games. The Maple Leafs are on fire right now winning 8 of their last 10 games and scoring 4.8 goals per game in their last 10 games. Toronto haven't been profitable ATS at home this season so I think the play here is the over. the over has cashed in 6 of the last 7 games for the Maple Leafs and in 3 if the last 5 games for the Sabres.
PICK: Over 6.5 (-110)
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