Buffalo Sabres vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, Pick and Preview, April 10 (4/10): NHL

Buffalo Sabres vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, Pick and Preview, April 10 (4/10): NHL

Credit: photo by Timothy T. Ludwig-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds:

Time 5:00 p.m. EST
Sabres money line +300
Sabres spread +1.5 (+125)
Lightning money line -395
Lightning spread -1.5 (-145)
Over / under 6.5

 

2021-2022 season stats

  Buffalo Sabres Tampa Bay Lightning
Record 26-36-11 43-20-8
Road / home record 12-19-5 21-7-6
Streak L2 L4
Goals per game 2.74 3.27
Goals allowed per game 3.51 2.80
Shots per game 29.5 30.6
Shots allowed per game 33.7 29.8
PP % 20.5% 21.6%
PK % 25.14% 18.55%
Over / under record 38-31-4 36-33-2

 

Preview

The TBuffalo Sabres continue on the road and will visit the Tampa Bay Lightning on Sunday. This is the third time these teams face off this season and they're tied 1-1. Buffalo are already eliminated and Tampa Bay are still in the fight for a place in the playoffs.

Buffalo Sabres

The Sabres have lost 3 of their last 5 games and are 12-24 on the road this season. They have a 26-36-11 record overall ranking 6th in the Atlantic division. The Sabres are 7-12-4 against the rest of their division. Buffalo averages just 3.2 penalties per game, the fewest in the league. Rasmus Dahlin leads them averaging 0.4.

Tage Thompson leads the Sabres with 58 points, scoring 32 goals and adding 26 assists. Jeff Skinner has six goals and six assists over the last 10 games for Buffalo.

In their last 10 games the Sabres are 4-6, averaging 3.5 goals, 5.8 assists, 1.9 penalties and 3.8 penalty minutes while allowing 3.6 goals per game with an .887 save percentage.

Tampa Bay Lightning

Tampa Bay have lost 4 games in a row are 21-13 at home so far this season. They have a 43-20-8 record overall ranking 4th in the Atlantic division. The Lightning are 24-14-5 against Eastern Conference opponents. Tampa Bay is 10th in the league averaging 3.3 goals per game, led by Steven Stamkos with 32.

Pierre-Edouard Bellemare leads the Lightning with a plus-22 in 70 games this season. Stamkos has five goals over the last 10 games for Tampa Bay.

In their last 10 games Lightning are 4-6, averaging 2.9 goals, five assists, 4.4 penalties and 10.1 penalty minutes while giving up 2.9 goals per game with a .906 save percentage.

BETTING TRENDS

Buffalo are 1-8 SU in their last 9 games against Tampa Bay.

Buffalo are 3-1 ATS in their last 4 games on the road.

Tampa Bay are 13-21 ATS at home.

Tampa Bay are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.

Prediction

The Sabres have nothing to play for as they're already eliminated but they've still covered the spread in 3 of their last 4 games on the road. The Lightning are struggling lately losing their last 4 games and haven't been profitable at home, covering the spread only the 38% of the time at home. The Lightning are clearly the better team here but the Sabres should keep it close enough to cover the puck line.

PICK: Sabres +1.5 (+125)

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