Avalanche vs. Flames: Expert Pick, Odds, and Analysis, February 25, 2023

Avalanche vs. Flames: Expert Pick, Odds, and Analysis, February 25, 2023

 

Odds

Time 2:00 p.m. EST
Avalanche money line -116
Avalanche spread -1.5 (+195)
Flames money line +105
Flames spread +1.5 (-225)
Over / under 6

 

2021-2022 season stats

  Colorado Avalanche Calgary Flames
Record 29-19-5 26-25-3
Road / home record 16-10-1 13-12-2
Streak W1 W3
Goals per game 3.00 3.00
Goals allowed per game 2.76 3.58
Shots per game 35.5 34.7
Shots allowed per game 26.5 26.2
PP % 20.6% 18.10%
PK % 18.22% 20.80%
Over / under record 19-32-2 32-16-6
 

Preview

On February 25, 2023, the Calgary Flames will visit the Colorado Avalanche at the Ball Arena in Denver for an exciting NHL matchup. The Avalanche, sitting fourth in the Central Division, will attempt to extend their four-game win streak against the Flames, currently fifth in the Pacific Division. The puck will drop at 10 p.m. EST.

The Avalanche come into the matchup with a 31-19-5 record, while the Flames have a record of 27-20-12. Although the Avalanche are favored to win at -133, the Flames are still a tough team to beat, and their recent performances have shown that they are capable of upsetting the odds. Nevertheless, the Avalanche are the stronger team and have been in excellent form in recent games.

 

Colorado Avalanche

The Avalanche have been one of the most dominant teams in the NHL this season, boasting a powerful offense and solid goaltending. They are currently in fourth place in the Central Division, and with just a few games left in the regular season, they will be looking to finish strong and secure a spot in the playoffs.

Offensively, the Avalanche are a force to be reckoned with, boasting an impressive lineup that includes Nathan MacKinnon, Mikko Rantanen, and Cale Makar. MacKinnon has been one of the team's standout players this season, with 19 goals and 48 assists. Rantanen has also been impressive, with 29 goals and 31 assists. Makar has been sidelined with a concussion, but he is expected to return soon, and his return will provide a massive boost to the team's defense.

Defensively, the Avalanche have been a solid unit this season, ranking 11th in goals allowed per game. They have also been one of the top penalty-killing teams in the league, with a success rate of 83.9%. Philipp Grubauer has been a key player for the Avalanche this season, with a record of 24-12-3, a 2.25 goals-against average, and a .923 save percentage. With Grubauer's solid play in the net, the Avalanche have a good chance of limiting the Flames' offensive production.

The Colorado Avalanche currently sit at third place in the Central Division, and with their talented roster, they are poised to make a significant run in the season's final stretch. As the defending Stanley Cup Champions, the team is no stranger to success, and it would not be surprising to see the Avalanche catch up to the Stars and take the division lead. Although they trail Dallas by eight points, the team's strong offense and solid goaltending make them a formidable opponent for any team in the league.

In summary, the Colorado Avalanche have been performing well lately, with their offense steadily improving and their goaltending proving to be a significant asset. With the likes of Nathan MacKinnon, Mikko Rantanen, and Cale Makar leading the way, the Avalanche have the talent and skill to make a deep playoff run this season. 

Calgary Flames

The Flames have had an up-and-down season so far, with a record of 27-20-12. They have struggled to find consistency on the road, with a record of 12-9-10 away from home. The Flames' offense has been their strong suit this season, with Tyler Toffoli leading the way with 24 goals and 27 assists. Mikael Backlund has also been impressive, with five goals and nine assists in the past 10 games.

However, the Flames' defense has been a cause for concern this season, ranking 24th in goals allowed per game. Their penalty killing has also been subpar, with a success rate of just 77.3%. In order to defeat the Avalanche, the Flames will need to tighten up defensively and limit the Avalanche's chances.

Elias Lindholm has been the Flames' best player this season, with 16 goals and 33 assists. However, they have also been relying on Tyler Toffoli, who has been in good form recently, scoring six goals and adding three assists in the last ten games. The Flames have the offensive firepower to put up goals, but they will need to be more disciplined and avoid giving away too many penalties if they are to come away with a win in this game.

The Flames have given up an average of 3.3 goals per game in their last ten games, which is not ideal. They will need to tighten up defensively and avoid giving the Coyotes too many scoring opportunities. The Flames' penalty kill has also been struggling this season, with a success rate of just 76.7%. They will need to improve their penalty kill if they are to come away with a win in this game.

Despite the Flames' struggles, they have been able to stay competitive this season due to their depth and experience. They have a number of players who can step up and make a difference, including Lindholm, Toffoli, and Johnny Gaudreau. The Flames will need their secondary scorers to step up and provide offensive support for their top players.

 

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Calgary's last 7 games.

Calgary are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games.

Calgary are 3-9 SU in their last 12 games against Colorado.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games on the road.

Calgary are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Colorado.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games.

Colorado are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Colorado's last 8 games at home.

Colorado are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Calgary.

 

Prediction

Although the Flames have been playing well recently, they have struggled on the road this season, and that could be a significant factor in this matchup against the Avalanche. The Avalanche have been in excellent form recently, and their solid offense and defense make them a tough team to beat. The Flames' defense has been a significant weakness this season, and the Avalanche's potent offense could exploit that weakness.

Ultimately, the Avalanche's recent form and home-ice advantage give them the edge in this matchup. With Nathan MacKinnon leading the way and Philipp Grubauer playing well in the net, the Avalanche should be able to secure the win and extend their win streak to five games. The Flames will need to improve defensively if they want to keep up with the Avalanche's offensive firepower, and their subpar record on the road suggests that they may struggle in this matchup.

Furthermore, the Avalanche have been excellent when scoring three or more goals this season, boasting an impressive record of 27-7-3 in those games. On the other hand, the Flames have a 27-3-10 record when scoring at least three goals. However, their defensive issues could prevent them from taking advantage of the Avalanche's weaknesses.

Although the Flames won the previous matchup between these two teams, the Avalanche are a much stronger team overall, and they should be able to exact revenge on the Flames in this matchup. The Flames have struggled on the road this season, and that weakness could be their undoing in this game.

 

PICK: Avalanche ML (-116)

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