NFL SNF Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Dallas Cowboys – Week 5 Prediction

On October 6, 2024, the Pittsburgh Steelers (3-1) host the Dallas Cowboys (2-2) at Acrisure Stadium in a highly anticipated prime-time showdown. Both teams are battling injuries, but the Steelers have maintained a strong start to the season, led by a defense that has been dominant at times. The Cowboys, on the other hand, have been inconsistent, and they'll face a tough test on the road in Pittsburgh.

As the #1 NFL expert at KingPin Pro, I’ll break down this matchup and provide my expert pick. For further analysis, check out our related article on this game.

Team Overview

Pittsburgh Steelers Overview

The Steelers are off to a 3-1 start, with their only loss coming last week against the Indianapolis Colts in a narrow 27-24 defeat. Quarterback Justin Fields has been solid, throwing for 830 yards and 3 touchdowns, while the defense has been the key to Pittsburgh's success, allowing just 53 points in 4 games.

Najee Harris has been effective on the ground, rushing for 228 yards, and wide receiver George Pickens has emerged as Fields’ top target with 284 receiving yards. Pittsburgh’s defense, led by T.J. Watt and Minkah Fitzpatrick, has been a nightmare for opposing offenses, and they'll look to pressure Dak Prescott and the Cowboys’ offense.

Dallas Cowboys Overview

The Cowboys come into this game at 2-2 after a narrow 20-15 win over the New York Giants in Week 4. Dak Prescott has been efficient, throwing for 1,072 yards with 6 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, but the offense has struggled to find consistency. Running back Rico Dowdle leads the team with just 134 rushing yards, and with injuries to key players like Micah Parsons and Trevon Diggs, the Cowboys’ defense has also had its share of ups and downs.

CeeDee Lamb has been the focal point of the Cowboys’ passing attack, with 316 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, but the offense will face a tough challenge against a Steelers defense that has been lights-out at home.

Odds Table

Team	Spread	Moneyline	Total
Dallas Cowboys	+2.5 (EVEN)	+130	Over 43.5 (-115)
Pittsburgh Steelers	-2.5 (-120)	-150	Under 43.5 (-105)

Prediction

The Steelers have been the more consistent team this season, with their defense ranking among the league’s best. With Dallas missing key pieces on both sides of the ball, Pittsburgh should be able to exploit those weaknesses, especially in front of their home crowd. Justin Fields has managed the game well, and Najee Harris should find success on the ground against a banged-up Cowboys defense.

While Dak Prescott and CeeDee Lamb are capable of making big plays, the Steelers’ pass rush, led by T.J. Watt, will likely be too much for Dallas to handle. Expect Pittsburgh to control the game on defense and do enough on offense to cover the 2.5-point spread.

Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers -2.5 (-120)

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Historical Kingpin articles preserve original body copy, authors, and publication dates. Structured pick or odds modules appear only when the source article provides them.

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