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Panthers vs Jets Prediction NFL Preseason Odds and Picks

© Frank Becerra Jr./The Journal News / USA TODAY NETWORK
New York Jets vs. Carolina Panthers Preseason Game Analysis - August 17, 2024
The NFL preseason is an essential time for teams to evaluate their rosters, fine-tune their strategies, and prepare for the regular season. On August 17, 2024, the New York Jets will take on the Carolina Panthers at Bank of America Stadium. Both teams are looking to establish momentum, with the Jets coming off a victory and the Panthers seeking to bounce back after a disappointing loss. This in-depth analysis will cover the latest odds, team performances, coaching strategies, and provide a prediction for the game.
Game Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Over/Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York Jets | -3.5 (-105) | -195 | Over 31.5 (-110) |
| Carolina Panthers | +3.5 (-115) | +165 | Under 31.5 (-110) |
Team Analysis
New York Jets
The New York Jets are coming off a 20-17 victory over the Washington Commanders in their preseason opener, a game in which they showed promise on both sides of the ball. Quarterback Adrian Martinez led the Jets’ offense, completing 6-of-10 passes for 104 yards. Martinez displayed poise in the pocket and an ability to push the ball downfield, highlighted by a 50-yard completion to wide receiver B. Smith, who led the team with 70 receiving yards on just two catches.
The Jets’ ground game was equally impressive, with running back B. Allen rushing for 54 yards on six carries. Allen’s combination of speed and vision allowed him to break off several big runs, helping to set up scoring opportunities for the Jets. The offensive line also played a key role, providing solid protection for Martinez and creating lanes for the running game.
Defensively, the Jets were solid, particularly in the secondary, where they limited the Commanders to just 162 passing yards. The pass rush was effective as well, recording two sacks and consistently pressuring the quarterback. However, the Jets have some injury concerns, with wide receivers Mike Williams and Hamze El-Zayat both listed as questionable for this game. The Jets will need to rely on their depth, particularly at receiver, to maintain their offensive momentum.
Carolina Panthers
The Carolina Panthers, on the other hand, are looking to rebound after a 17-3 loss to the New England Patriots in their preseason opener. The Panthers’ offense struggled to find any rhythm, managing just 186 total yards and failing to score a touchdown. Quarterback Jack Plummer, who is competing for the backup role, completed 11-of-21 passes for 86 yards, but he struggled with accuracy and was unable to generate any big plays.
The Panthers’ running game was led by Mike Boone, who rushed for 34 yards on eight carries. Boone showed flashes of potential, but the Panthers’ offensive line struggled to open up consistent running lanes, limiting the effectiveness of the ground game. In the receiving corps, J. Matthews was the standout performer, catching three passes for 48 yards. However, the Panthers will need more production from their other receivers to support their struggling passing attack.
Defensively, the Panthers had some positive moments, particularly in the secondary, where they limited the Patriots to 173 passing yards. However, the run defense was less effective, allowing 152 rushing yards, which contributed to the Panthers’ inability to control the tempo of the game. The Panthers are also dealing with several injuries, with tight end Curtis Hodges and guard J.D. DiRenzo both listed as questionable. These injuries could further weaken an offense that is already struggling to find its identity.
Coaching Analysis
New York Jets - Robert Saleh
Robert Saleh, the head coach of the New York Jets, is known for his defensive expertise and leadership. Now in his fourth season with the Jets, Saleh has worked to instill a culture of toughness and accountability, which has been evident in the Jets’ improved defensive performances. In the preseason, Saleh’s focus has been on evaluating the depth of his roster and ensuring that his team is prepared for the rigors of the regular season.
Offensively, Saleh has entrusted Nathaniel Hackett, the Jets’ offensive coordinator, with the task of developing the team’s young quarterbacks and creating a balanced attack. Hackett’s ability to maximize the talents of players like Adrian Martinez and B. Allen will be crucial as the Jets look to build on their preseason success. The Jets will need to improve their consistency on offense, particularly in the red zone, to complement their strong defense.
Carolina Panthers - Frank Reich
Frank Reich, the head coach of the Carolina Panthers, is entering his second season with the team, and he has the challenge of turning around a franchise that has struggled in recent years. Reich, known for his offensive creativity and ability to develop quarterbacks, has been working to implement his system and build a cohesive offensive unit. However, the Panthers’ struggles in their preseason opener highlighted the work that still needs to be done.
Reich’s primary focus in this game will be on improving the Panthers’ offensive execution, particularly in the passing game, where the team struggled mightily against the Patriots. Defensively, Reich has relied on defensive coordinator Ejiro Evero to develop a unit that can consistently stop the run and create turnovers. The Panthers will need a more disciplined and physical performance on both sides of the ball to bounce back against the Jets.
Recent Performance
New York Jets
The New York Jets have had a mixed bag of results over their last five games, including both the regular season and the preseason. After finishing the 2023 season with three wins in their last four games, the Jets started the 2024 preseason with a close victory over the Commanders. The Jets’ defense has been the foundation of their recent success, consistently shutting down opposing offenses and creating turnovers. However, the offense has been more inconsistent, particularly in the passing game.
The Jets’ ability to control the tempo of the game with their defense and make timely plays on offense has been key to their recent success. With a deep roster and a strong coaching staff, the Jets are well-positioned to continue their winning ways in this preseason matchup against the Panthers. The focus will be on maintaining their defensive dominance while finding more consistency on offense.
Carolina Panthers
The Carolina Panthers have had a tough stretch, losing four of their last five games, including their preseason opener against the Patriots. The Panthers’ offense has struggled mightily, particularly in the passing game, where they have been unable to generate big plays or sustain drives. The defense has shown flashes of potential, particularly in the secondary, but has been inconsistent, particularly against the run.
The Panthers’ ability to control the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball has been a key factor in their struggles. However, with a new coaching staff in place, the Panthers are still adjusting to new systems on both offense and defense, making this game an important step in their development process. The focus will be on improving their offensive execution and maintaining a disciplined defensive effort as they prepare for the regular season.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The New York Jets and Carolina Panthers have faced each other infrequently in recent years, with their last regular-season meeting coming in 2021, a game the Panthers won 19-14. Historically, the Panthers have had the upper hand in the series, winning three of the last five meetings. However, preseason games are less about historical records and more about evaluating current rosters and schemes.
In this matchup, the Jets appear to have the edge, particularly on defense, where they have shown more consistency and playmaking ability. The Panthers will need a strong performance from their offense to keep up with the Jets, particularly in the passing game, where they have struggled. Both teams have areas of concern, particularly in the passing game, making this an intriguing and closely contested matchup.
ATS Records
In the 2023 regular season, the New York Jets were 9-8 against the spread (ATS), including a 5-3 ATS record on the road. The Jets have been a reliable team to bet on, particularly in close games where their defense has kept them in contention. Their preseason opener against the Commanders was another strong showing, as they covered the spread with a narrow victory.
The Carolina Panthers were 7-10 ATS in the 2023 season, including a 3-5 ATS record at home. The Panthers have been more inconsistent against the spread, particularly in games where they have been underdogs. However, their preseason opener against the Patriots was a disappointment, as they failed to cover the spread and struggled to generate any offense. The spread for this game, with the Jets favored by 3.5 points, reflects the challenges the Panthers are facing as they look to rebound from their opening loss.
Betting Stats and Trends
New York Jets
- The Jets are 1-0 ATS in the 2024 preseason, covering the spread against the Washington Commanders.
- New York is 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall, including the regular season.
- The total has gone under in three of the Jets' last five games, including preseason and regular season.
- The Jets have covered the spread in five of their last six games as a favorite.
Carolina Panthers
- The Panthers are 0-1 ATS in the 2024 preseason, failing to cover the spread against the New England Patriots.
- Carolina is 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall, including the regular season.
- The total has gone under in four of the Panthers' last five games, including preseason and regular season.
- The Panthers have covered the spread in just two of their last six games as an underdog.
Player Spotlight
New York Jets - Adrian Martinez
Adrian Martinez, the Jets’ backup quarterback, had a solid performance in the preseason opener, throwing for 104 yards on 6-of-10 passing. Martinez’s ability to push the ball downfield and make plays with his arm will be crucial as the Jets look to continue their winning ways. With the Jets’ running game providing balance, Martinez will need to manage the game effectively and avoid turnovers to ensure a successful outing against the Panthers.
Carolina Panthers - Mike Boone
Mike Boone, the Panthers’ running back, was one of the few bright spots in their preseason opener, rushing for 34 yards on eight carries. Boone’s ability to find holes and gain yards after contact makes him a key player to watch in this game. With the Panthers’ passing game struggling, Boone could see an increased workload as the team looks to establish the run and control the clock.
Injury Impact
Injuries could play a significant role in this game, particularly for the New York Jets, who have several key players listed as questionable. Wide receivers Mike Williams and Hamze El-Zayat are both important contributors, and their absence could impact the Jets on both sides of the ball. Without Williams and El-Zayat, the Jets’ passing game could be less effective, particularly in stretching the field and creating big plays.
The Carolina Panthers are also dealing with injuries, particularly on the offensive line, where guard J.D. DiRenzo is questionable. DiRenzo’s absence could weaken the Panthers’ ability to protect the quarterback and open up running lanes, which would further complicate an already struggling offense. Additionally, tight end Curtis Hodges is questionable, which could limit the Panthers’ options in the passing game. The coaching staff will need to make adjustments and rely on their depth to maintain their competitive edge.
Weather and Venue Impact
The weather for this game is expected to be warm and humid, with temperatures around 84 degrees in Charlotte, NC. Bank of America Stadium, home of the Carolina Panthers, is an outdoor venue, and the heat could be a factor, particularly for players who are not accustomed to such conditions. The Panthers, who are used to playing in warm weather, may have an advantage in this regard, as the Jets will need to stay hydrated and manage their conditioning to avoid fatigue.
Bank of America Stadium is known for its passionate fan base, and even during the preseason, the atmosphere can be challenging for visiting teams. The Panthers will look to use their home-field advantage to build momentum and put on a strong performance for their fans. The Jets, meanwhile, will need to stay focused and execute their game plan despite the challenging conditions and the hostile crowd.
Historical Context
The New York Jets and Carolina Panthers have a relatively limited history, with just a handful of regular-season meetings over the years. The most recent meeting came in 2021, a game the Panthers won 19-14 in a closely contested battle. Historically, the Panthers have had the edge in the series, winning three of the last five meetings, but the Jets have been competitive in most of these matchups.
This preseason game provides both teams with an opportunity to evaluate their rosters and build momentum for the regular season. While the outcome of the game may not carry the same weight as a regular-season matchup, the performances in this game could have implications for future meetings. Both teams will be looking to gain an edge as they prepare for the challenges ahead in the 2024 season.
Prediction
This preseason matchup between the New York Jets and Carolina Panthers is expected to be a closely contested game, with both teams looking to build on their success in their preseason openers. The Jets have shown strong defensive consistency and have the ability to make big plays on offense, while the Panthers feature a dynamic playmaker in Malik Willis and a solid running game.
The key to this game will be the performance of the quarterbacks, particularly Sam Howell for the Seahawks and Malik Willis for the Titans. If Howell can manage the game effectively and the Seahawks’ defense continues to perform at a high level, Seattle has a good chance to pull out a win. However, the Titans’ home-field advantage and Willis’ dual-threat ability give them a slight edge in what should be a tightly contested game.
Pick: New York Jets -3.5
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