NFL Best Bet for Denver Broncos vs Cincinnati Bengals: Analysis and Pick
Game Overview
The Denver Broncos (9-6) head to Paycor Stadium to face the Cincinnati Bengals (7-8) in a critical Week 17 showdown on December 28, 2024. Denver is in the hunt for a playoff spot, while Cincinnati looks to spoil their hopes.
Betting Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Broncos | +145 | +3.5 (-120) | o49.5 (-120) |
| Cincinnati Bengals | -170 | -3.5 (EVEN) | u49.5 (EVEN) |
While the Bengals are favored, the Broncos offer value as underdogs with a moneyline of +145.
Team Analysis
Denver Broncos
The Broncos have been strong on both sides of the ball, averaging 24.2 points per game while allowing just 18.7 points per game over their last five outings. Quarterback Bo Nix has been consistent with 3,235 passing yards, 22 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions. Running back Javonte Williams has added a balanced rushing attack, and wide receiver Courtland Sutton has been a key playmaker.
Denver’s defense ranks among the league's best in limiting big plays, which will be critical against Joe Burrow and the Bengals' high-powered offense. The Broncos also excel in generating pressure, tallying 38 sacks this season.
Cincinnati Bengals
Despite their 7-8 record, the Bengals remain dangerous, especially at home. Joe Burrow leads the league with 4,229 passing yards and 39 touchdowns, with Ja'Marr Chase being his primary target (1,510 receiving yards, 16 touchdowns). However, their rushing game has been inconsistent, with Chase Brown managing only 923 yards and 7 touchdowns on the ground.
The Bengals' defense has struggled recently, allowing an average of 28.2 points per game over their last five contests. This vulnerability could give Denver the edge.
Recent Performance
Denver Broncos
The Broncos have won three of their last five games, including dominant performances against Indianapolis (31-13) and Cleveland (41-32). Their only loss in that span came in a close game against the Chargers (34-27). Denver’s offense has been firing on all cylinders, averaging 33.2 points per game during this stretch.
Cincinnati Bengals
The Bengals are also 3-2 in their last five games, with recent wins over Cleveland (24-6) and Tennessee (37-27). However, their defense has been inconsistent, giving up 44 points to Pittsburgh and 34 to the Chargers in recent losses. Burrow's connection with Chase remains their biggest weapon.
Head-to-Head Matchup
The last time these two teams met, Denver edged Cincinnati in a close 27-24 game. Historically, the Broncos hold a slight advantage in this matchup, and their current form suggests they can replicate that success on the road.
Betting Trends
- The total has gone over in three of Denver's last five games.
- Cincinnati is 1-4 against the spread (ATS) in its last five home games.
- Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last five games.
- The Broncos are 3-2 ATS on the road this season.
Prediction
The Broncos’ balanced offense and solid defense should help them capitalize on Cincinnati’s defensive struggles. While Joe Burrow and Ja'Marr Chase are a formidable duo, Denver’s pass rush and secondary should limit explosive plays. This game also has potential for a high-scoring affair given the recent trends for both teams.
