Miami Dolphins vs Houston Texans Prediction, Pick and Preview, November 27 (11/27) NFL

Miami Dolphins vs Houston Texans Prediction, Pick and Preview, November 27 (11/27) NFL

 

Odds

Time 1:00 p.m. EST
Texans money line +600
Texans spread +14 (-110)
Dolphins money line -950
Dolphins spread -14 (-110)
Over / under 47.5

 

2022 season stats

  Houston Texans Miami Dolphins
Record 1-8-1 6-3
Road / home record 1-4 4-1
Points per game 16.0 25.7
Points allowed per game 23.9 24.9
O/U 5-2-1 4-5
Pass yards per game 232.3 306.0
Rush yards per game 164.0 86.5
Total yards per game 397.5 393.5
Total yards allowed per game 347.5 376.0

 

Preview

The Miami Dolphins return home and will host the Houston Texans on Sunday at the Hard Rock Stadium. These teams faced each other last season and the Marlins beat the Texans 17-9 at home.

 

Houston Texans

The Texans get here with an awful 1-8-1 record after losing last week 17-10 against the Tennessee Titans at home. Mills was 17 of 29 for 152 yards with an interception and a touchdown, struggling more than usual with top receiver Nico Collins out with an injury.

This offense ranks 28th in the league scoring only 16.6 points per game. Davis Mills has completed 149-236 passes for 1502 yards, 8 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. Dameon Pierce leads the team in rushing yards with 539 in 121 carries and 3 touchdowns while B. Cooks is leading in receiving yards with 354.

They have struggled on defense all season, and their performance last week was their worst of the season. In the loss to Tennessee, Houston allowed 314 yards rushing, despite Derrick Henry's 219-yard outburst.

 

Miami Dolphins

The Dolphins have won 3 of their last 5 games and are 4-1 at home ranking 3rd in the AFC East. In their last game, they beat the Bears 35-32 on the road. Tagovailoa threw for three touchdowns and completed 21 of 30 passes for 302 yards without an interception and posted a 135.7 rating. Tyreek Hill had 143 yards receiving and caught seven passes, including a 3-yard touchdown in the second quarter.

The Dolphins defense struggled to stop the Bears offense allowing 32 points in the game.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Houston are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games.

Houston are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games against Miami.

Houston are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games against Miami.

Houston are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games on the road.

Miami are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games.

Miami are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.

Miami are 10-1 SU in their last 11 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Dolphins have won 4 games in a row since Tua returned with the team and are 4-1 at home so far this season. The Texans are the worst team in the league as they have won only one game so far and are 1-5 in their last 6 games on road. These teams are heading in opposite directions and the Dolphins are by far a better team so they should win this game easy.

PICK: Dolphins -14 (-110)

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