Kansas City Chiefs vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction, Pick and Preview, January 21 (1/21) NFL
- Lm Tipster
- Jan 21, 2023, 8:34:36 AM
Odds
| Time | 4:30 p.m. EST |
| Jaguars money line | +395 |
| Jaguars spread | +9 (-110) |
| Chiefs money line | -500 |
| Chiefs spread | -9 (-110) |
| Over / under | 52.5 |
2022 season stats
| Jacksonville Jaguars | Kansas City Chiefs | |
| Record | 10-8 | 14-3 |
| Home / road record | 4-5 | 7-1 |
| Points per game | 24.5 | 29.8 |
| Points allowed per game | 21.1 | 21.7 |
| O/U | 9-9 | 8-9 |
| Pass yards per game | 235.5 | 297.0 |
| Rush yards per game | 124.0 | 115.5 |
| Total yards per game | 375.5 | 371.5 |
| Total yards allowed per game | 396.5 | 305.0 |
Preview
The AFC Champion Kansas City Chiefs will host the Jacksonville Jaguars on Saturday at the GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium to play the AFC Divisional Playoffs. These teams faced each other in the regular season at Kansas City where the Chiefs took the win 27-17.
Jacksonville Jaguars
The Jaguars get here with an 10-8 record overall and are 4-5 on the road after beating the Los Angeles Chargers in one of the greatest comebacks in NFL history. Jacksonville battled back from a 27-point deficit to win 31-30 thanks to four touchdowns from Trevor Lawrence. With the help of his four interceptions, the second-year pro was able to advance Jacksonville down the field on the game's final drive, setting up Riley Patterson's game-winning field goal.
Defensively they allow 352.5 yards per game, the 27th-highest average in the league. They are also giving up 20.5 points per game.
Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs have won their last 5 games and get here with a 14-3 record overall ranking 1st in the AFC West. Their only 3 losses came against the Colts, Bills and the Bengals. They led the NFL in both total offense (413.6 yards per game) and points scored (29.2 points on average). Mahomes threw for 5,250 yards, 41 touchdowns, and 12 interceptions. Isiah Pacheco rushed for 830 yards and five touchdowns. Travis Kelce led all receivers with 110 catches for 1,338 yards and 12 touchdowns.
The defense allows 21.7 points (16th) and 328.2 total yards (11th), with 107.2 rushing yards (8th) and 220.9 passing yards (18th). Its opponents convert 38.9 percent of their third downs (12th) and score touchdowns on 67.2 percent of their red zone attempts..
BETTING TRENDS
Jacksonville are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against Kansas City.
Jacksonville are 0-6 SU in their last 6 games against Kansas City.
Jacksonville are 4-16 SU in their last 20 games on the road.
Jacksonville are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City.
Kansas City are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games.
Kansas City are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games against Jacksonville.
Kansas City are 15-2 SU in their last 17 games at home.
Prediction
The Jaguars will get to this game with plenty of motivation after one of the craziest comebacks in History in the wild card game against the Chargers but they will visit Mahome and the Chiefs who already beat them earlier this season by 10 points. The Chiefs ranked #1 in offense in the league and only 3 teams were able to stop them. Mahomes has never lost in four starts in the divisional round, beating Indianapolis, Houston, Cleveland and Buffalo. All those games were played at Arrowhead Stadium and the Jaguars will need a lot more than just motivation to keep up with this powerful offense. Take the Chiefs.
PICK: Chiefs -9 (-110)
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