Kansas City Chiefs vs Cincinnati Bengals Prediction, Pick and Preview, January 29 (1/29) NFL
- Lm Tipster
- Jan 29, 2023, 8:09:15 PM
Odds
| Time | 6:30 p.m. EST |
| Bengals money line | +109 |
| Bengals spread | +1.5 (-110) |
| Chiefs money line | -125 |
| Chiefs spread | -1.5 (-110) |
| Over / under | 47.5 |
2022 season stats
| Cincinnati Bengals | Kansas City Chiefs | |
| Record | 14-4 | 15-3 |
| Home / road record | 7-3 | 8-1 |
| Points per game | 26.5 | 29.8 |
| Points allowed per game | 19.1 | 21.7 |
| O/U | 9-9 | 8-9 |
| Pass yards per game | 260.5 | 297.0 |
| Rush yards per game | 92.0 | 115.5 |
| Total yards per game | 352.5 | 371.5 |
| Total yards allowed per game | 336.5 | 305.0 |
Preview
The Kansas City Chiefs will host the Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday at the GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium to play the AFC Championship game. These teams faced each other in the regular season at Cincinnati where the Bengals took the win 27-24.
Cincinnati Bengals
The Bengals get here with a 14-4 record overall and 7-3 on the road so far this season ranking 1st in the AFC North. Last week the Bengals beat the Bills 27-10 on the road. In the victory, Joe Burrow completed 64 percent of his throws for 242 yards and two touchdowns. Ja'Marr Chase had five catches for 61 yards and one touchdown, while Joe Mixon had 20 carries for 105 yards and one score.
Defensively the Bengals have been playing well holding their opponents to 19.1 points per game and their strongest defense is by ground as they're allowing 92 rushing yards. They held the Bills to only 10 points in the playoff game.
Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs have won their last 6 games and get here with a 15-3 record overall ranking 1st in the AFC West. Their only 3 losses came against the Colts, Bills and the Bengals. Last week they beat the Jaguars 27-20 at home. Mahomes completed 22 of his 30 passes for 195 yards and two touchdowns, but in the second quarter, he injured his ankle. While Patrick Mahomes was having negative X-rays on his ankle, Chad Henne entered the room and tossed a touchdown throw. Travis Kelce caught 14 passes for 98 yards and two touchdowns. Isiah Pacheco set the pace with a 95-yard sprint.
The defense allows 21.7 points (16th) and 328.2 total yards (11th), with 107.2 rushing yards (8th) and 220.9 passing yards (18th). Its opponents convert 38.9 percent of their third downs (12th) and score touchdowns on 67.2 percent of their red zone attempts..
BETTING TRENDS
Cincinnati are 10-0 SU in their last 10 games.
Cincinnati are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against Kansas City.
Cincinnati are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games against Kansas City.
Cincinnati are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 8 games when playing on the road against Kansas City.
Kansas City are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games.
Kansas City are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Kansas City's last 14 games against Cincinnati.
Prediction
The Bengals will get to this game with plenty of motivation after beating one of the toughest teams in the league in their home field, the Bills. They held that power offense to only 10 points in the game and have beat the Chiefs the last 3 games with Burrow leading the offense. The Chiefs ranked #1 in offense in the league and only 3 teams were able to stop them but one of them were the Bengals. Howeve, all of those losses were by only 3 points and 2 were in Cincinnati so I expect another close game and with the home field advantage I think the Chiefs will win.
PICK: Chiefs -1.5 (-110)
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