Falcons vs Texans Prediction NFL Picks Today 10/8

Falcons vs Texans Prediction NFL Picks Today 10/8

© Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

 

Texans vs. Falcons - Interconference Showdown

This Sunday, the Houston Texans (2-2) clash with the Atlanta Falcons (2-2) in an interconference matchup with plenty at stake. The Texans are riding high after a resounding victory over the Steelers, while the Falcons are looking to rebound from a tough loss to the Jaguars. The last time these teams met in 2019, the Texans emerged victorious with a score of 53-32.

 

Texans' Resurgence

The Houston Texans are on a quest for their third consecutive victory after a shaky start to the season. They began with two losses, falling to the Ravens on the road and the Colts at home. However, the Texans rebounded impressively, first as 7.5-point underdogs in a 37-17 road win against the Jaguars and then with a convincing 30-6 home victory over the Steelers, where they covered the spread for two straight games.

Emergence of C.J. Stroud

Rookie QB C.J. Stroud, the second overall pick in the draft, has been a revelation for the Texans. He has put up impressive numbers, surpassing 280 passing yards in three consecutive games and maintaining an excellent 6:0 TD to INT ratio. The good news for Stroud and the Texans is that OT Laremy Tunsil (knee) is expected to play, providing stability to the offensive line, along with guard Shaq Mason (ankle).

Offensive Balance

While the Texans haven't relied heavily on the run game, Dameon Pierce posted a season-best 81 rushing yards last week after struggling in the first three games. Nico Collins has been a standout with over 140 receiving yards in two of four games, accumulating 428 receiving yards. The Houston offense, notably the passing game, ranks fourth in the league, marking significant improvement from the previous season.

Stout Defense

The Texans' defense has been a notable strength. After a tough outing against the Colts in week three, they bounced back, holding the Jaguars to 17 points and allowing only six points on 225 yards against the Steelers. Their pass defense ranks 9th, while their rush defense is 19th. However, the pass rush has struggled, registering just seven sacks.

Statistical Overview

Houston averages 24 points per game (15th) and concedes 19.8 points (11th) on average.

 

Falcons' Homecoming

The Atlanta Falcons have reason to be optimistic as they return home. Their first two games at home resulted in victories against the Panthers and Packers. However, week three brought a 20-6 road loss to a strong Lions team, where the Falcons were three-point underdogs. In week four, Atlanta faced another three-point underdog scenario and suffered a 23-7 loss to the Jaguars in London, marking their only spread cover of the season.

Ridder's Challenge

Quarterback Desmond Ridder has faced difficulties in recent performances, completing just 55% of his passes against the Lions and mustering only 191 passing yards against the Jaguars. Ridder's season stats stand at 744 passing yards and a 3:3 TD-to-INT ratio. The Falcons will rely on him to step up in the coming game.

Robinson's Brilliance

Running back Bijan Robinson has been a bright spot for the Falcons, surpassing 100 rushing yards twice this season and accumulating 318 rushing yards at an impressive six yards per carry. Jonnu Smith leads the squad with 179 yards, while Drake London, though relatively quiet, has recorded 126 receiving yards.

Defensive Resilience

The Falcons' defense has been resilient in recent games, allowing a maximum of 24 points against the Packers. They held the Lions to 20 points and limited the Jaguars to just 287 total yards. However, their pass rush has been modest, with only five sacks. The pass defense is a standout, ranking 5th, while the rush defense ranks 17th.

Statistical Overview

Atlanta averages 15.5 points per game (25th) and concedes 19.3 points (10th) on average.

 

Prediction:

As the Texans have been on an upswing with two consecutive wins, including an impressive victory against the Steelers, they are well-positioned to cover the +2.5 points spread. C.J. Stroud's stellar performances at quarterback have injected newfound energy into the offense. With the Texans' improving form and the Falcons' recent struggles, the Texans are poised to not only cover the spread but also potentially secure a victory on the road.

While every game carries an element of uncertainty, the Texans' momentum and Stroud's consistency make them a solid bet against the spread. Their strong defense also adds to their case. However, it's essential to keep an eye on Desmond Ridder's performance for the Falcons, as he could be a game-changer. Nevertheless, the Texans, with their recent successes, appear to have the edge in this matchup.

 

Pick: Texans +2.5

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