Chiefs vs Broncos Prediction NFL Thursday Night 10/12
- Lm Tipster
- Oct 12, 2023, 7:09:53 AM
© Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports
Broncos vs. Chiefs - Game Analysis
Week 6 of the NFL schedule kicks off with an AFC West showdown as the Denver Broncos hit the road to take on the Kansas City Chiefs on Thursday Night Football. Denver is coming off a disappointing loss to the New York Jets, while Kansas City managed a close win over Minnesota in their previous contest.
In the all-time regular season series between these teams, the Chiefs hold a 71-54 advantage and have won the last 15 meetings, including a 27-24 victory at home in their most recent matchup on January 1, 2023.
Denver had a tough outing in their last game, falling to the New York Jets 31-21 as 2.5-point favorites. Quarterback Russell Wilson faced pressure, getting sacked four times, and the Broncos' offense struggled to gain momentum, finishing with just 308 total yards. Turnovers were a significant issue, with three fumbles, including a crucial one returned for a touchdown. Denver's time of possession has been below average, averaging 27:19 per game, ranking 26th in the league.
Defensively, the Broncos have struggled against the run, allowing 234 yards and 7.3 yards per carry against the Jets. Their 187.6 rushing yards allowed per game is the highest in the league. They need to address this weakness to stay competitive.
Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs are riding a four-game winning streak, with their most recent victory being a 27-20 win over Minnesota. However, they faced a scare when tight end Travis Kelce rolled his ankle and left the game in the second quarter. Fortunately, x-rays were negative, and he returned in the second half, making a significant impact with a touchdown catch.
Quarterback Patrick Mahomes has been performing well, ranking sixth in the league with 10 touchdown passes and being sacked only four times, the fewest among quarterbacks with five starts this season. The Chiefs' defense has improved, allowing an average of 14.8 points per game over the last four games.
Considering the potential absence of tight end Travis Kelce, the Kansas City Chiefs might face some challenges on offense. However, the Broncos' recent struggles, especially on defense against the run, make it likely that the Chiefs will still have the upper hand.
Our prediction is that the Broncos will cover the +10.5 points spread, but the Chiefs will secure the victory. Expect a competitive game with the Chiefs prevailing, even without Kelce, as their defense continues to show improvement and the Broncos grapple with defensive issues.
Pick: Broncos +10.5 -110