Kingpin analysis
Bears vs Bengals Prediction NFL Preseason Week 2 Picks 8/17

© Sam Greene/The Enquirer via Imagn Content Services, LLC
Chicago Bears vs. Cincinnati Bengals Preseason Matchup: A Detailed Analysis
The NFL preseason is a crucial time for teams to fine-tune their strategies, evaluate new talent, and build momentum for the regular season. On August 17, 2024, the Chicago Bears will host the Cincinnati Bengals at Soldier Field in what promises to be an intriguing encounter. With the Bears off to a strong start with a 2-0 record and the Bengals looking to bounce back from an opening loss, this game is sure to provide valuable insights into both teams as they prepare for the upcoming NFL season.
Game Odds and Betting Lines
| Team | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Bengals (0-1) | +5 (-110) | o37.5 (-110) | +200 |
| Chicago Bears (2-0) | -5 (-110) | u37.5 (-110) | -240 |
The Chicago Bears enter this game as 5-point favorites, with the over/under set at 37.5 points. This spread reflects the Bears' strong performance in their first two preseason games, where they dominated their opponents. On the other hand, the Bengals are seen as underdogs, primarily due to their narrow loss in the opener and a few key injuries that might impact their performance.
Team Analysis
Cincinnati Bengals
The Cincinnati Bengals are coming off a 17-14 loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in their preseason opener. Despite the loss, the Bengals showed flashes of promise, particularly in their passing game. Logan Woodside, who completed 8 of 12 passes for 149 yards and a touchdown, was a bright spot for the Bengals. However, the team's rushing attack was underwhelming, with Chris Brown managing just 10 yards on 5 carries.
Offensive Overview
The Bengals' offense in the preseason is a work in progress. With star quarterback Joe Burrow likely to see limited action, the focus has been on the backups and younger players. Logan Woodside's performance in the opener was encouraging, but the team needs more consistency from its running game. The offensive line, which has been a point of concern in recent years, needs to show improvement, particularly in pass protection and run blocking.
Defensive Overview
Defensively, the Bengals have some work to do. They allowed 17 points to a Buccaneers team that played its backup quarterbacks for most of the game. The pass rush was inconsistent, and the secondary gave up a few big plays. The Bengals will need to tighten up their defensive schemes and improve their tackling if they want to slow down a Bears team that has been firing on all cylinders in the preseason.
Coaching Analysis
Head coach Zac Taylor is entering his fifth season with the Bengals. After leading the team to a Super Bowl appearance in the 2021 season, Taylor has been working on building a consistent contender. Preseason games are crucial for Taylor as he evaluates depth and decides on the final roster spots. His ability to prepare the team, despite some key injuries, will be under scrutiny in this game against the Bears.
Injury Impact
The Bengals are dealing with several injuries that could impact their performance in this game. Star wide receiver Ja'Marr Chase is questionable, and his absence would be a significant blow to the team's passing attack. Additionally, punter Brad Robbins, offensive tackle Amarius Mims, and wide receiver Charlie Jones are all listed as questionable. The Bengals will need their depth players to step up if these starters are unable to go.
Chicago Bears
The Chicago Bears have been one of the most impressive teams in the preseason so far, with a 2-0 record and convincing wins over the Buffalo Bills and Houston Texans. The Bears' offense has been clicking, led by quarterback Brett Rypien, who has thrown for 176 yards and three touchdowns. The running game has also been strong, with Khalil Herbert leading the way with 66 yards on 13 carries.
Offensive Overview
The Bears' offense has been a revelation in the preseason. Brett Rypien has been efficient and effective, spreading the ball around to a variety of receivers. Tight end Tommy Sweeney has been a key target, with five catches for 76 yards and a touchdown. The offensive line has also been solid, providing good protection and opening up lanes in the running game. The Bears will look to continue this balanced attack against the Bengals.
Defensive Overview
Chicago's defense has been stout, allowing just 23 points across two games. The pass rush has been particularly effective, generating pressure on opposing quarterbacks and forcing turnovers. The secondary has also been sharp, with solid coverage and a couple of interceptions. The Bears' defense will look to maintain its strong form and put pressure on the Bengals' quarterbacks.
Coaching Analysis
Head coach Matt Eberflus is in his second year with the Bears and is already showing signs of turning the team around. Known for his defensive expertise, Eberflus has the Bears playing with intensity and discipline. The preseason has been a good test for his new schemes, and the results have been promising so far. Eberflus will be looking for continued improvement as the regular season approaches, particularly in how his team handles adversity and closes out games.
Injury Impact
The Bears have a few injuries to monitor heading into this game. Guard Nate Davis and long snapper Patrick Scales are both questionable, and their absence could impact the Bears' offensive and special teams units. Offensive tackle Kiran Amegadjie is also out, which might force the Bears to shuffle their line. However, the Bears have shown good depth so far in the preseason, and they will look to continue that trend against the Bengals.
Recent Performance
Cincinnati Bengals
The Bengals have had a mixed bag of performances dating back to the end of the 2023 season. After finishing the regular season with a 12-5 record, Cincinnati's playoff hopes were dashed with a loss to the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC Championship Game. In their first preseason game of 2024, the Bengals lost a close contest to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 17-14. The game was a back-and-forth affair, with the Bengals taking an early lead before the Buccaneers rallied in the second half.
One area of concern for the Bengals has been their run defense, which allowed over 100 yards in their loss to Tampa Bay. Additionally, the Bengals struggled on third down, converting just 3 of 10 opportunities. These are areas that the team will need to address if they hope to compete with a Bears team that has been very efficient in those aspects of the game.
Chicago Bears
The Bears have been dominant in their preseason games, outscoring their opponents 54-23. In their most recent game, they blew out the Buffalo Bills 33-6, thanks to a strong defensive performance and an efficient offensive showing. Brett Rypien was the star of the game, throwing for 176 yards and three touchdowns, while the Bears' defense forced three turnovers and held the Bills to just six points.
Chicago's ability to control the game on both sides of the ball has been impressive. The Bears have been effective in converting on third downs, and their defense has been able to get off the field quickly. This balanced approach will be key against the Bengals, who have struggled in these areas so far in the preseason.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The Bears and Bengals last met in the regular season in 2021, with the Bears coming out on top in a 20-17 victory. However, preseason matchups are a different beast, as teams are more focused on evaluating talent and testing new schemes than winning the game. That said, the Bears have had the upper hand in recent preseason matchups, with a deeper roster and a more consistent performance in the early stages of the season.
In terms of roster depth, the Bears appear to have the advantage, particularly on defense. Chicago's pass rush has been relentless, and their secondary has shown good coverage skills. The Bengals, meanwhile, are still trying to sort out their depth chart, particularly on the offensive line and in the secondary. This could be a deciding factor in this game, as the Bears' depth may allow them to sustain their performance throughout the game.
ATS Records and Betting Trends
The Bengals have struggled against the spread (ATS) in recent preseason games, going 1-3 in their last four. They have also struggled on the road in the preseason, covering the spread in just 2 of their last 7 road games. The Bengals' defense has also been an issue, with the team hitting the over in 4 of their last 5 preseason games.
The Bears, on the other hand, have been a strong ATS team in the preseason, covering in 5 of their last 6 games. They have also been solid at home, covering the spread in 4 of their last 5 home preseason games. The Bears' games have tended to go under the total, with the under hitting in 3 of their last 5 preseason contests.
Betting Stats and Trends
Looking at the betting trends, the Bears have been a reliable team in the preseason, both straight up and against the spread. Their defense has been particularly strong, and their ability to control the game has led to low-scoring affairs. This has made the under a popular bet in Bears' games.
For the Bengals, the opposite has been true. Their games have tended to be higher-scoring, particularly due to defensive lapses. This has made the over a popular bet in Bengals' games. However, their struggles on the road and against the spread make them a risky proposition in this matchup.
Player Spotlight
Cincinnati Bengals: Logan Woodside
With Joe Burrow likely to see limited action, Logan Woodside will be a player to watch for the Bengals. Woodside had a solid performance in the opener, throwing for 149 yards and a touchdown. He will need to build on that performance if the Bengals hope to keep up with the Bears. Woodside has a strong arm and good accuracy, but he needs to improve his decision-making under pressure.
Chicago Bears: Brett Rypien
Brett Rypien has been the standout player for the Bears in the preseason, throwing for 176 yards and three touchdowns in their last game. Rypien has shown good command of the offense and has been able to make plays downfield. If he continues his strong play, he could cement his place as the backup quarterback heading into the regular season.
Injury Impact
Injuries could play a significant role in this game, particularly for the Bengals. The possible absence of Ja'Marr Chase would be a huge blow to the Bengals' passing attack, as Chase is one of the most dynamic receivers in the league. Without him, the Bengals may struggle to move the ball through the air.
The Bears are also dealing with some injuries, particularly on the offensive line. If Nate Davis and Patrick Scales are unable to play, it could disrupt the Bears' offensive rhythm. However, the Bears have shown good depth so far in the preseason, which should help mitigate the impact of these injuries.
Weather and Venue Impact
Soldier Field is known for its tough playing conditions, particularly as the weather begins to cool later in the season. However, with a game-time temperature expected to be around 78 degrees, weather should not be a major factor in this game. The warm conditions should favor both teams' passing games, particularly if the wind stays calm.
That said, Soldier Field's grass surface can be tricky, especially for visiting teams who are not used to it. The Bengals will need to adjust quickly to the playing surface, which could affect their timing on offense and their footing on defense.
Prediction
The Bears have been one of the most impressive teams in the preseason so far, with a balanced attack on both offense and defense. Their depth and execution have been top-notch, and they seem to have the momentum heading into this game. The Bengals, on the other hand, are still trying to find their rhythm, particularly on defense. With the Bears playing at home and having the edge in depth and recent performance, they are the safer bet in this matchup.
Pick: Chicago Bears -5
Kingpin PRO
Get ranked cards for this game in the app
Tracked experts, Edge scores, and alerts on iPhone and Android.
Simulated results. Entertainment only. Gambling involves risk.Methodology and disclosure
Historical Kingpin articles preserve original body copy, authors, and publication dates. Structured pick or odds modules appear only when the source article provides them.
Kingpin PRO
Continue in the Kingpin app
Transparent simulated records. Entertainment only.
Simulated results. Entertainment only. Gambling involves risk.Simulated results for entertainment. Gambling involves risk. Bet only where legal.