Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Texas Longhorns Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 24 (9/24) NCAAF

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Texas Longhorns Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 24 (9/24) NCAAF

 

Odds

Time 3:30 p.m. EST
Texas money line -280
Texas spread -6.5 (-110)
Texas Tech money line +230
Texas Tech spread +6.5 (-110)
Over / under 61

 

2022 season stats

  Texas Longhorns Texas Tech Red Raiders
Record 2-1 2-1
Road / home record 0-0 2-0
O/U 1-2 2-1
Points per game 37.3 36.7
Points allowed per game 16.7 22.3
Pass yards per game 234.0 373.3
Rush yards per game 170.0 101.7
Total yards per game 404.3 475.3
Total yards allowed per game 347.0 293.7

Preview

The Texas Tech Red Raiders will host the Texas Longhorns at the Jones AT&T Stadium on Saturday. The Longhorns have beat the Red Raiders in 4 consecutive years and last season they outscored them 70-35.

 

Texas Longhorns

The Longhorns get here with a 2-1 record after beating the UTSA Roadrunners 41-20. Texas started Hudson Card at quarterback in place of the injured Quinn Ewers. Card struggled with an ankle sprain during the week and wasn't named starter until game time. Despite this, he finished with 161 yards throwing and a 32-yard run in the fourth quarter. Ewers is expected to retun for the game vs Texas Tech.

The defense is playing pretty good and are allowing 16.7 points per game, 216.3 pass yards  and 130.7 rush yards. This defense held Alabama to only 20 pts who are one of the best offenses in the nation.

 

Texas Tech Red Raiders

The Red Raiders are 2-1 so far this season as they lost their last game against the NC State Wolfpack 27-14 last Saturday. The Red Raiders raised expectations for McGuire, whose team was picked to finish ninth in the 10-team Big 12 but upset a rated Houston squad last weekend. The defense made things difficult for the Wolfpack. But the club didn't get its offense going until it was down, and it lost a muffed punt along with three picks.

Defensively, the team has been good against the run allowing an average of only 82.7 yds per game as well as 211 pass yards and a total of 22.3 points per game. Linebacker Bryce Ramirez was carted off in the first quarter with a serious leg injury.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Texas are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games against Texas Tech.

Texas are 11-2 SU in their last 13 games against Texas Tech.

Texas are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on the road.

Texas are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Texas Tech.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas Tech's last 6 games.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas Tech's last 5 games against Texas.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas Tech's last 7 games at home

 

Prediction

The Texas Longhorns have been great offensively but they're also playing great defense allowing only 16.7 points per game and they will have their lead quarterback back in the game. Texas Tech is coming from a loss and have lost the last 6 games at home against the Longhorns. Donovan Smith has 5 interceptions already and will face a tough defense who will be all over him. The Longhorns are the better team and have dominated this rivalry. Take Texas.

PICK: Texas -6.5 (-110)

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