SMU vs North Texas Prediction NCAAF Picks 11/10

SMU vs North Texas Prediction NCAAF Picks 11/10

© Gregory Fisher-USA TODAY Sports


NCAAF Predictions: North Texas Mean Green vs. SMU Mustangs

Get ready for an electrifying NCAAF matchup as the North Texas Mean Green take on the SMU Mustangs. 

Game Information

This highly anticipated game is scheduled for November 10, 2023, at 7:00 PM, hosted at Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas, TX. ESPN2 will broadcast the game, and the weather is expected to be around 59 degrees. SMU enters as the favorites with a -17.0 points spread, while the over/under is set at 67.5 points.


North Texas Mean Green

Season Overview

The North Texas Mean Green have faced challenges this season, holding a 3-6 overall record and a 1-4 conference record. Quarterback C. Rogers has been impressive, throwing for 2,445 yards, 21 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. The Mean Green have shown offensive strength, but their defense has struggled.

Team Stats

North Texas averages 460.4 total yards per game, with 2,445 passing yards and 2,590 rushing yards. However, their defense allows an average of 36.4 points per game, which could be exploited by the potent SMU offense.

Recent Performance

North Texas is coming off a tough loss against UTSA, where they fell short by eight points. Their defensive vulnerabilities might be a significant factor against the high-scoring SMU Mustangs.


SMU Mustangs

Season Overview

The SMU Mustangs have had a stellar season, boasting a 7-2 overall record and a flawless 5-0 conference record. Quarterback P. Stone has thrown for 2,355 yards, 21 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. Running back J. Knighton has added 511 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns to the mix.

Team Stats

SMU averages 545.4 total yards per game, with 2,355 passing yards and 2,975 rushing yards. Their defense has been solid, allowing an average of 25.3 points per game.



Expect a dominant performance from the SMU Mustangs in this matchup. With an explosive offense led by quarterback P. Stone and a solid defense, SMU is well-positioned to secure a convincing victory against the struggling North Texas Mean Green. The North Texas defense ranks worst in running yards allowed and 44th in throwing yards allowed, but that's a misnomer because opponents prefer to run against such a porous Mean Green defense.

The -17.0 points spread is justified, considering the offensive firepower and defensive strength of the Mustangs. North Texas' defensive struggles will likely be exploited by SMU, leading to a substantial point differential.

Pick: SMU Wins and Covers -17.0 Points Spread

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