Purdue vs Wisconsin Prediction NCAAF Picks 9/22

Purdue vs Wisconsin Prediction NCAAF Picks 9/22

© Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

 

Purdue vs Wisconsin: College Football Preview

A highly anticipated Big Ten matchup awaits as the Purdue Boilermakers clash with the Wisconsin Badgers. The Boilermakers, currently 1-2 for the season, face the 2-1 Badgers. Both teams are eager for their first conference victory. The Badgers have a strong historical advantage, winning 10 consecutive head-to-head meetings, including a 35-24 triumph last season. Wisconsin enters as a 6.5-point favorite. The game kicks off at 7:00 p.m. EDT at Rose-Ade Stadium in West Lafayette, Indiana.

 

Team Analysis

Wisconsin Badgers

Wisconsin solidified their 2-1 record with a comfortable 35-14 victory over Georgia Southern in their last outing. Although they initially fell behind 14-7 in the second half, the Badgers rallied, scoring four consecutive touchdowns to seize control. The game's turning point was turnovers, with Wisconsin securing 5 interceptions and a fumble recovery.

Quarterback Tanner Mordecai showcased his skills, going 19 for 30 for 236 yards and rushing for 36 yards, adding two scores. Braelon Allen contributed 94 rushing yards and two touchdowns. The Badgers are averaging 31.7 points per game, ranking 57th nationally. Their ground game is a force, averaging 203.7 yards per game (28th), while their passing game averages 237 yards per game (69th).

Defensively, the Badgers allow 20.7 points per game (57th) and excel against the run, giving up just 91.7 yards per game (26th). However, they are more vulnerable against the pass, allowing 276 yards per game through the air (115th).

The Badgers have some minor injury concerns with three tight ends and three receivers listed as day-to-day, though none are key starters. These missing players could test their depth. Additionally, three defensive players are also listed as day-to-day.

 

Purdue Boilermakers

The Purdue Boilermakers slipped below .500 with a 1-2 record after a 35-20 loss to Syracuse at home. Purdue, as two-point underdogs, failed to cover. Syracuse took control with a 21-7 halftime lead, and turnovers plagued Purdue as they coughed up the ball four times, losing three fumbles.

Quarterback Hudson Card had a productive game, passing for 323 yards, completing 32 of 46 attempts with a touchdown, despite an interception. Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen caught 10 passes for 114 yards. The Boilermakers average 26.3 points per game (81st) and shine in the passing game, averaging 275 yards per game (37th). However, their rushing offense lags, averaging just 122.7 yards per game (101st).

Defensively, the Boilermakers allow 30.3 points per game (105th) and have a tougher time against the pass, conceding 276.7 yards per game through the air (116th). Against the run, they give up 132.7 yards per game (77th).

Purdue's injury list is relatively minor with only three players listed as day-to-day.

 

Prediction

Wisconsin enters this game as a 6.5-point favorite, and there are strong reasons to believe they can not only win but also cover the spread.

The Badgers have a history of success against Purdue, winning 10 straight matchups. They've demonstrated offensive firepower, averaging over 31 points per game this season, with a potent rushing attack that could exploit Purdue's defense.

On the defensive side, Wisconsin's ability to create turnovers, as evidenced by their recent game, could disrupt Purdue's rhythm. Purdue, while strong in the passing game, may struggle to match the Badgers' balanced offense.

With these factors in mind, betting on Wisconsin to win and cover the -5.5 points spread appears to be a wise choice for those looking to wager on this Big Ten showdown.

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Pick: Wisconsin -5.5

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