Ohio State Buckeyes vs Indiana Hoosiers Prediction, Pick and Preview, November 12 (11/12) NCAAF

Ohio State Buckeyes vs Indiana Hoosiers Prediction, Pick and Preview, November 12 (11/12) NCAAF

 

Odds

Time 12:00 p.m. EST
Indiana money line +1600
Indiana spread +40 (-110)
Ohio State money line -10000
Ohio State spread -40 (-110)
Over / under 60.5

 

2022 season stats

  Indiana Hoosiers Ohio State Buckeyes
Record 3-6 9-0
Road / home record 0-3 6-0
O/U 5-4 6-3
Points per game 23.7 45.8
Points allowed per game 32.8 15.7
Pass yards per game 250.7 290.3
Rush yards per game 78.0 193.3
Total yards per game 239.0 165.7
Total yards allowed per game 423.0 105.0

 

Preview

The #2 Ohio State Buckeyes return home to host the Indiana Hoosiers at the Ohio Stadium on Saturday. These teams faced each other last season and the Buckeyes destroyed the Hoosiers 54-7 covering the spread as -21 pts favorites on the road.

 

Indiana Hoosiers

The Hoosiers have lost 6 games in a row and get here with a 3-6 record after losing 45-14 against Penn State at home. True freshman Brendan Sorsby went three of six with 8 yards and one interception before he was relieved by Dexter Williams III, who finished four of 11 with 41 yards and two interceptions.  The Hoosiers ran 31 plays in the first half and 15 went for zero yards or negative yards.

Despite firing his offensive line coach and changing quarterbacks, coach Tom Allen's team has not responded and now they may have to use an unproven starter against No. 2 Ohio State.

 

Ohio State Buckeyes

The Buckeyes are 9-0 so far this season after beating the Northwestern Wildcats 21-7 on the road last Saturday. Miyan Williams ran for 111 yards and two touchdowns. Stroud, the Big Ten leader in yards passing, set a career low with 76. He completed just 10 of 26 passes in his only game this year without a touchdown throw. But he ran for 79 yards, a big number particularly for a quarterback with minus-4 yards rushing coming in.

Defensively, Ohio State is one of the best in the nation and allows just 105 yards on the rush per game and 165 passing yards ranking #10 in the country with 15.8 points per game but most of the scores they are allowing have been in garbage time.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Indiana are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games against Ohio State.

Indiana are 0-10 SU in their last 10 games against Ohio State.

Indiana are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on the road.

Indiana are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Ohio State.

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Ohio State's last 7 games.

Ohio State are 10-0 SU in their last 10 games.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ohio State's last 5 games against Indiana.

Ohio State are 12-0 SU in their last 12 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Hoosiers have struggled this season and are dealing with a lot of injuries. Connor Bazelak will start for this game but I don't see how that can make a difference against one of the toughest defenses in the league. The Buckeyes struggled a bit in their last game against Northwestern but the weather was a factor so I expect them to have a much better performance at home agianst a poor defense like Indiana. You might think this is a crazy high spread and there will be more money on the Hoosiers but I think the Buckeyes can cover this number at home. 

PICK: Ohio State -40 (-110)

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