NCAAB Chat

Tenn -5 cont -undervalued because of their weak ATS record. Some of that was due to early success and some was bad matchups for a team built for the tourney in the up and down regular season. But Tenn has to live this matchup as their strengths on def go right at the Owls strengthens and their strengths on Offense expose FAUs biggest weaknesses. The Vols should control this one fromt the jump and impose their size and prodding deliberate style, and force FAU into rushed possessions/contestd 3’s

UCONN -3.5.  No team looked better in the first two rounds of the 2023 NCAA tournament.  I had Uconn going to the final 4 in my bracket, and the only thing I’m rethinking is maybe I didn’t hBe then going far enough.  Giving up -4 here to a tough defensive minded Arkansas team is actually better than the alternative, and that would have been facing a Kansas team that’s a much tougher matchup.  Arkansas plays D but struggles to score from time to time and nobody has an answer for UCONN in the post

TENN -5.  Strongest play of the tournament so far.  Max bet this one.  The Vols held Duke to just 52 points in RD 2 and Duke was playing maybe the best ball in the country the last 5 weeks.  FAU comes in getting 25% of all their offensive output from behind the 3pt line. They have one of the highest 3pa% accounting for 44% of all their shots. They are only shooting 29% in first 2 games. And it’s not gonna get easier as Tenn leads the country in 3pt% def & Def efficiency. The way you beat Tenn -

Tenn -5 cont-  way you beat Tenn is get to the line. But FAU is 311th out of 362 in offensive point distribution from the charity stripe, basically they don’t get to the free throw line that often and nearly not as much as you would think watching them play. And if that isn’t enough numbers going against the Owls consider the size of these two teams as FAU is the smallest team left in the Tourney while Tenn is the biggest team in all of Div 1. Tenn is being undervalued by many because of their

Xavier +4.5.

Princeton +10. underdog Friday

man I watched Xavier a lot this year.   they were a LEGIT final 4 team and Title contender until they lost their second best scorer Zach Freemantle.  a 6'9" wing.  dude avg 15.2 pts 8.1reb 3asst  58% fg.    and 34% from 3.  now just imagine if Xavier still had him?   would be Uconn/Xavier Title to lose.  sucks man he hurt his ankle in the 22nd game

UCONN -2.  Nobody and I mean nobody has looked aas good as UConn thru 3 rounds.   3 games 3 blowouts for the Huskies as Danny Hurleys UConn team comes rolling into the elite 8. Nobody with exception of FAU is deeper and Nobody including FAU can go big or small and run a team out the gym with great guard play or go big and pound teams inside. Nobody has an inside and out tandem in 6’5” Soph G J Hawkins & F A Sonoco. Timme will be too busy on defense to repeat the 36pt 8reb GM vs a small UCLA

West Virginia has the potential to give Kansas a tough fight, especially if they can tighten up their offense and take advantage of their second-chance opportunities. However, Kansas has a more talented and consistent roster overall, which should give them the edge in the game.

TCU.+2. Handle your shit. Boy

Montana St +7.5.  This is an upset. Sorry K State.  Adios.

OKC +6.5.  Awfully big number for the Thunder. We will take it and smile as the Thunder have been beating down the spread all season long with a 41-25-3 ATS. Yes you read that right.  And they are being gifted 6.5. OKC with the points.

Den -14.  Now isn’t Januaries Denver. This isn’t even march 1st Denver and true they are the only loss I’ve had in 11 games.  But they didn’t forget how to play ball.  Look at the opponent tonite who has 4 guys on 10 day contracts.  And with only weeks til the playoffs I’m betting the Nuggets get sshit turned around here in a major way mayne.     Leaving in a 4th bet tonite. Stay tuned as if I get some info and decide to play it i will drop it here first annd as always for free courtesy of the Kingpin app. Tell your friends

Richmond ML [-120] 🔒

10-1 in L11 NBA games. With 3 more strong games tonite.  3-0 in college today, sending bookies to an early retirement.   Get down and take the books for what you can cuz it’s only a matter of time before we are banned from another book for “professional Play” aka winning too much.  Might have to start losing a game here and there on purpose. To keep the heat off