Wisconsin vs Liberty Expert Prediction, 03/19

Photo Credit: © Stephen Lew-USA TODAY Sports

Preview

The NIT matchup between the Wisconsin Badgers and the Liberty Flames promises to be an exciting game as both teams battle for a spot in the quarterfinals. Wisconsin, who finished 9-11 in the Big Ten conference, will host the Flames on their home court in Madison, Wisconsin. Liberty, on the other hand, finished 27-8 with a 15-3 record in the ASUN conference. The game is scheduled for Sunday, March 20, at 12:00 PM EDT.

In this article, we will take an extensive look at both teams and provide expert predictions for the game so get ready for more March Madness picks.

Wisconsin Badgers

The Wisconsin Badgers had a mixed season, finishing with a 18-14 record overall and a 9-11 record in the Big Ten conference. The team struggled at times during conference play, but they showed promise during non-conference play with a 9-3 record. Wisconsin ranks fifth in the Big Ten in team defense, giving up 63.8 points while holding opponents to 44.4% shooting.

The Badgers are led by Connor Essegian, who averages 12.0 points per game and shoots 37.1% from beyond the arc. Steven Crowl has been a consistent performer, shooting 51.5% and averaging 12.7 points over the past 10 games. During their last 10 games, the Badgers have averaged 67.6 points per game while their opponents have averaged 66.0 points per game.

Liberty Flames

The Liberty Flames finished the season with an impressive 27-8 record, including a 15-3 record in the ASUN conference. The team had a dominant season, winning 24 games by 10 or more points. Liberty has been on a roll lately, winning eight of their last ten games while averaging 75.4 points per game and shooting 47.3% from the field. Their opponents have averaged just 64.9 points per game during this stretch.

The Flames are led by Darius McGhee, who averages 22.6 points per game and shoots 39.8% from beyond the arc. Kyle Rode has also been a consistent performer, shooting 48.4% and averaging 12.4 points over the past 10 games.

Betting Trends

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Liberty's last 9 games.

Liberty are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games.

Liberty are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on the road.

Liberty are 0-6 SU in their last 6 games against an opponent in the Big Ten conference.

Liberty are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games played in March.

Wisconsin are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Wisconsin's last 8 games at home.

Wisconsin are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games against an opponent in the Atlantic Sun conference.

Wisconsin are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games played in March.

Prediction

Despite Wisconsin's strong defensive record and home-court advantage, we expect Liberty to keep the game close and cover the +3.5 point spread. The Flames have been on a roll lately and have been dominant in their wins, while the Badgers have been inconsistent at times.

Liberty's strong offensive performance, led by McGhee and Rode, will be a challenge for Wisconsin's defense. While the Badgers have a strong defensive record, they have struggled at times during conference play and may struggle to contain Liberty's potent offense.

Furthermore, the +3.5 point spread gives Liberty a cushion, making it a more favorable bet. Even if Wisconsin wins the game, it may not be by more than 3 points, allowing Liberty to cover the spread.

In addition, Liberty has been a strong team on the road this season, with a 12-5 record away from home. While playing on Wisconsin's home court will be a challenge, the Flames have shown that they can perform well on the road.

Another factor to consider is that Wisconsin's offense has struggled at times this season, averaging just 67.6 points per game during their last 10 games. If they struggle to score against Liberty's defense, it could be a low-scoring game that could go either way.

Overall, we expect Liberty to keep the game close and potentially pull off the upset. While Wisconsin has the home-court advantage and a strong defensive record, Liberty's dominant offense and solid performance on the road make them a strong contender. We recommend taking Liberty to cover the +3.5 point spread and potentially even win the game outright.

PICK: Liberty +3.5 (-110)

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