Texas A&M vs Alabama NCAAB Preview and Prediction 3/04/23

Texas A&M vs Alabama NCAAB Preview and Prediction 3/04/23

 

Odds

Time 12:00 p.m. EST
Aggies money line -125
Aggies spread -2 (-110)
Crimson Tide money line +100
Crimson Tide spread +2 (-110)
Over / under 150

 

2022-2023 season stats

  Texas A&M Aggies Alabama Crimson Tide
Record 22-8 26-4
Road / home record 14-1 9-2
Streak L1 W3
Points per game 73.00 83.00
Points allowed per game 65.00 68.00
Rebounds per game 35.00 44.00
Rebounds allowed per game 32.00 34.00
Over / under record 16-13 15-14-1
 

Preview

SEC regular season action is set to conclude with an exciting matchup between the #2 Alabama Crimson Tide and the #24 Texas A&M Aggies. This game is crucial for Alabama as they look to maintain their projected top overall seed in the upcoming NCAA Tournament. On the other hand, Texas A&M is aiming to finish their regular season with a bang, celebrating their seniors in a noon tipoff against the top team in the conference. This is the only meeting between these two teams this season, and tipoff is scheduled for 12:00 ET and can be found on CBS.

 

Texas A&M Aggies

The Texas A&M Aggies have put together a strong season and are set to finish 2nd in conference play. Despite not receiving as much attention as other teams in the conference, they have quietly put together a 14-3 run in the SEC. With a noon tipoff against the top team in the conference, the Aggies will celebrate their seniors and aim to finish their regular season with a victory. Wade Taylor IV leads the team in points and assists with 15.9 PPG and 4.2 APG, and Tyrece Radford, a senior guard who will be playing his last home game, adds 13.0 PPG and 5.4 RPG. Henry Coleman III, a 6'8 post player, also contributes with 9.5 PPG and 5.6 RPG. Texas A&M is currently ranked 23rd overall by KenPom, which is 5th best in the SEC despite being in 2nd in the standings. They rank 25th in adjusted offensive efficiency and 45th in defensive efficiency. The Aggies are projected to be an 8-seed in the NCAA Tournament.

One of the key strengths of the Texas A&M Aggies is their ability to score points. They are averaging 72.1 points per game, which is solid but not exceptional. However, they have several players who can score in double digits, which makes them difficult to defend. Junior forward J. Broome is their leading scorer, averaging 14.1 points per game, and is shooting an impressive 61.5% from the field. Freshman guard W. Green Jr. is another player to watch, as he is averaging 12.1 points per game and 4.2 assists per game.

Defensively, the Aggies have been solid but not spectacular. They are allowing an average of 65.9 points per game, which is a respectable number, but they will need to step up their defense if they hope to compete with Alabama. Junior forward J. Broome is their leading rebounder, averaging 8.6 rebounds per game, and is also a strong defender with 1.6 blocks per game.

Texas A&M's recent loss to Kentucky exposed some of their weaknesses, including their inability to shoot the ball effectively from beyond the arc. They shot just 15.4% from three-point range in that game, which is well below their season average of 33.4%. If they are unable to find their shooting touch against Alabama, it could be a long night for the Aggies.

 

Alabama Crimson Tide

The Alabama Crimson Tide have been one of the most impressive teams in college basketball this season, with a record of 25-4 overall and 15-1 in the conference. They are currently ranked #2 in the SEC and have won their last three games in a row, including a hard-fought 86-83 victory over Arkansas.

Alabama is coming off a huge comeback win over Auburn, winning 95-90 in OT as 9.5-point favorites. This impressive victory has only fueled their momentum, but a loss to Texas A&M and a poor performance in the SEC Tournament could put their 1-seed in jeopardy. Brandon Miller leads the conference in scoring with 19.6 PPG as a 6'9 freshman, but Mark Sears and Noah Clowney are also key players on the team, adding 13.5 and 10.0 PPG respectively. Alabama ranks 3rd overall by KenPom and is 19th in adjusted offensive efficiency and 5th in defensive efficiency. With four consecutive wins in conference play, the Crimson Tide will be a tough opponent to beat.

One of the key strengths of the Alabama Crimson Tide is their ability to score points. They are averaging an impressive 83.3 points per game, which is one of the highest averages in all of college basketball. Senior forward B. Miller is their leading scorer, averaging 19.7 points per game, and is shooting an impressive 46.8% from the field. Junior guard J. Quinerly is another player to watch, as he is averaging 14.2 points per game and 3.6 assists per game.

Defensively, the Crimson Tide have also been very strong this season. They are allowing an average of just 69.1 points per game, which is one of the best defensive records in the SEC. Junior forward N. Clowney is their leading rebounder, averaging 8.2 rebounds per game, and is also a strong defender with 1.6 blocks per game.

One of the key strengths of the Alabama Crimson Tide is their depth. They have several players who can contribute on both ends of the court, which makes them difficult to defend. They also have a strong team chemistry, which has been a key factor in their success this season.

Alabama's recent victory over Arkansas showcased some of their weaknesses, including their tendency to turn the ball over. They had 19 turnovers in that game, which is well above their season average of 13.2. If they are unable to limit their turnovers against Texas A&M, it could give the Aggies an opportunity to capitalize on their mistakes.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Texas A&M are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas A&M's last 5 games.

Texas A&M are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games.

Texas A&M are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games on the road.

The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Texas A&M's last 13 games when playing on the road against Alabama.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Alabama's last 6 games.

Alabama are 16-2 SU in their last 18 games.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Alabama's last 6 games against Texas A&M.

Alabama are 10-0 SU in their last 10 games at home.

The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Alabama's last 13 games when playing at home against Texas A&M.

 

Prediction

Based on recent performances and team statistics, the Texas A&M Aggies are likely to win and cover the -2 points spread against the Alabama Crimson Tide. While Alabama has impressive offensive and defensive efficiency, Texas A&M has put together a strong season and will aim to celebrate their seniors with a win. Wade Taylor IV and Tyrece Radford will likely play a significant role in securing a victory for the Aggies. Henry Coleman III could also step up and contribute offensively to help his team finish their regular season with a win.

Alabama doesn't really care about this game as they already secured the #1 seed in the NCAA Tournament so expect them to rest their key players for this game which will give the Aggies a huge advantage,

 

PICK: Texas A&M -2 (-110)

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