TCU vs South Alabama Prediction NCAAB Picks Today 12/16
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TCU vs South Alabama Prediction NCAAB Picks Today 12/16

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South Alabama Jaguars vs. TCU Horned Frogs - NCAAB Game Analysis and Prediction

On December 16, 2024, the South Alabama Jaguars (7-3) travel to Fort Worth to face the TCU Horned Frogs (5-4) at Schollmaier Arena. TCU boasts an unbeaten home record this season but faces a feisty South Alabama squad riding a three-game winning streak. The Jaguars are looking to build momentum in non-conference play, while TCU aims to rebound after a loss to Vanderbilt.

Odds Table

Outcome Odds
South Alabama Jaguars +12.5 (-110)
TCU Horned Frogs -12.5 (-110)
Moneyline South Alabama +600, TCU -1000
Total (Over/Under) 137.5 (-110)

TCU is a heavy 12.5-point favorite at home, but the Jaguars have the firepower to make this a competitive contest.

Team Comparison

Category South Alabama TCU
Points Per Game (PPG) 73.4 69.0
Points Allowed Per Game (PAPG) 66.1 68.3
Field Goal Percentage (FG%) 43.8% 42.4%
Rebounds Per Game (RPG) 35.3 33.8
Assists Per Game (APG) 15.3 13.1

Key Players

South Alabama Jaguars

  • Michael Corey: The team's leading scorer with 18.4 points per game, Corey is the offensive catalyst, also contributing 4.7 assists per game.
  • Johni Broome: A dominant presence in the paint, averaging 6.8 rebounds and providing a strong defensive anchor.

TCU Horned Frogs

  • Emmanuel Udeh Jr.: Leads the team in rebounding with 8.0 boards per game, crucial for controlling the glass.
  • Frank Collins: The top scorer and playmaker for TCU, averaging 11.2 points and 4.4 assists per game.

Recent Form

South Alabama Jaguars

The Jaguars are 4-1 in their last five games, showing resilience in close matchups and excelling on defense:

  • 12/8: Defeated Jacksonville State 76-74
  • 11/29: Defeated Alcorn State 74-65 (OT)
  • 11/26: Lost to Western Illinois 64-63
  • 11/25: Defeated Incarnate Word 84-63
  • 11/18: Defeated Spring Hill 95-61

TCU Horned Frogs

The Horned Frogs are 2-3 in their last five games, struggling to maintain consistency:

  • 12/8: Lost to Vanderbilt 83-74
  • 12/5: Defeated Xavier 76-72
  • 11/29: Lost to Colorado State 76-72 (OT)
  • 11/28: Lost to Santa Clara 69-52
  • 11/19: Defeated Alcorn State 71-48

Key Trends

South Alabama

  • 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
  • The total has gone under in three of their last five games.
  • 7-3 overall this season.

TCU

  • 5-0 straight up at home this season.
  • 2-3 ATS in their last five games.
  • The total has gone over in three of their last five games.

Prediction

South Alabama has the offensive firepower and defensive discipline to compete with TCU, despite being a significant underdog. Michael Corey’s scoring ability and Johni Broome’s presence in the paint provide the Jaguars with a balanced attack. Meanwhile, TCU's home dominance cannot be ignored, but their recent struggles against quality opposition raise questions about their ability to cover the large spread.

Pick: South Alabama +12.5 (-110)

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