TCU vs South Alabama Prediction NCAAB Picks Today 12/16

- Lm Tipster
- Dec 16, 2024, 5:16:52 AM
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South Alabama Jaguars vs. TCU Horned Frogs - NCAAB Game Analysis and Prediction
On December 16, 2024, the South Alabama Jaguars (7-3) travel to Fort Worth to face the TCU Horned Frogs (5-4) at Schollmaier Arena. TCU boasts an unbeaten home record this season but faces a feisty South Alabama squad riding a three-game winning streak. The Jaguars are looking to build momentum in non-conference play, while TCU aims to rebound after a loss to Vanderbilt.
Odds Table
| Outcome | Odds |
|---|---|
| South Alabama Jaguars | +12.5 (-110) |
| TCU Horned Frogs | -12.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | South Alabama +600, TCU -1000 |
| Total (Over/Under) | 137.5 (-110) |
TCU is a heavy 12.5-point favorite at home, but the Jaguars have the firepower to make this a competitive contest.
Team Comparison
| Category | South Alabama | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Points Per Game (PPG) | 73.4 | 69.0 |
| Points Allowed Per Game (PAPG) | 66.1 | 68.3 |
| Field Goal Percentage (FG%) | 43.8% | 42.4% |
| Rebounds Per Game (RPG) | 35.3 | 33.8 |
| Assists Per Game (APG) | 15.3 | 13.1 |
Key Players
South Alabama Jaguars
- Michael Corey: The team's leading scorer with 18.4 points per game, Corey is the offensive catalyst, also contributing 4.7 assists per game.
- Johni Broome: A dominant presence in the paint, averaging 6.8 rebounds and providing a strong defensive anchor.
TCU Horned Frogs
- Emmanuel Udeh Jr.: Leads the team in rebounding with 8.0 boards per game, crucial for controlling the glass.
- Frank Collins: The top scorer and playmaker for TCU, averaging 11.2 points and 4.4 assists per game.
Recent Form
South Alabama Jaguars
The Jaguars are 4-1 in their last five games, showing resilience in close matchups and excelling on defense:
- 12/8: Defeated Jacksonville State 76-74
- 11/29: Defeated Alcorn State 74-65 (OT)
- 11/26: Lost to Western Illinois 64-63
- 11/25: Defeated Incarnate Word 84-63
- 11/18: Defeated Spring Hill 95-61
TCU Horned Frogs
The Horned Frogs are 2-3 in their last five games, struggling to maintain consistency:
- 12/8: Lost to Vanderbilt 83-74
- 12/5: Defeated Xavier 76-72
- 11/29: Lost to Colorado State 76-72 (OT)
- 11/28: Lost to Santa Clara 69-52
- 11/19: Defeated Alcorn State 71-48
Key Trends
South Alabama
- 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
- The total has gone under in three of their last five games.
- 7-3 overall this season.
TCU
- 5-0 straight up at home this season.
- 2-3 ATS in their last five games.
- The total has gone over in three of their last five games.
Prediction
South Alabama has the offensive firepower and defensive discipline to compete with TCU, despite being a significant underdog. Michael Corey’s scoring ability and Johni Broome’s presence in the paint provide the Jaguars with a balanced attack. Meanwhile, TCU's home dominance cannot be ignored, but their recent struggles against quality opposition raise questions about their ability to cover the large spread.


