Alabama vs Missouri Prediction, March 11, 2023

Odds

2022-2023 season stats

Preview

On Saturday, college basketball fans are in for an exciting matchup as the fourth-seeded Missouri Tigers face off against the first-seeded Alabama Crimson Tide in the first semifinal of the SEC Tournament. After an impressive win over the fifth-seeded Tennessee on Friday afternoon, the Missouri Tigers are eager to continue their winning streak and secure a spot in the championship game. Meanwhile, the Alabama Crimson Tide showcased their dominance on the court by effortlessly handling Mississippi State in their previous game, setting the stage for what promises to be a highly competitive semifinal. The game is set to tip-off at 1:00 PM EST, and fans are eagerly anticipating a thrilling display of basketball skills and strategy from both teams.

Missouri Tigers

The first semifinal game saw the fourth-seeded Tigers take on the fifth-seeded Tennessee Volunteers in what was expected to be a close and competitive matchup. And that’s exactly what it was, with Missouri overcoming a three-point deficit at halftime to secure a 79-71 victory over Tennessee.

One of the keys to Missouri's success was their ability to dismantle the Tennessee defense. The Tigers shot an impressive 53% from the field overall, with a 39% success rate from beyond the arc. Despite the constant pressure from Tennessee, the Tigers committed just 11 turnovers in the game, a testament to their ball-handling skills and composure under pressure.

Leading the charge for Missouri was D'moi Hodge, who scored an impressive 26 points, including 4-of-9 from 3pt range. Kobe Brown also had a standout performance, contributing 24 points and nine rebounds in the game. The Missouri bench played a crucial role as well, outscoring Tennessee’s bench by a significant margin.

While the Tigers' victory was a welcome one, they know that they will face an even tougher challenge in the semifinal game against the top-seeded Alabama Crimson Tide. The two teams met just once this season, with Alabama dominating Missouri 85-64 at Missouri. The Tigers' high-powered offense, which is ranked first in the SEC in scoring and field goal percentage, was held to just 33% shooting in that game, with a dismal 11% success rate from 3pt range.

One of the keys to Missouri's success against Alabama will be their ability to keep the Crimson Tide off the glass. Missouri finished 14th in the SEC in total rebounding, and will need to improve significantly in this area to stand a chance against the dominant Alabama frontcourt.

Despite the challenges they face, the Missouri Tigers remain confident heading into the game against Alabama. With their offense firing on all cylinders and their players showing great resilience and determination, they believe that they have what it takes to take down the top seed and advance to the championship game.

Alabama Crimson Tide

The Alabama Crimson Tide have been a force to be reckoned with throughout the NCAA basketball season, and they continued their winning ways in the quarterfinal game against Mississippi State. The Crimson Tide put on a dominant performance, blowing out the Bulldogs 72-49. Despite shooting just 40% from the field, Alabama knocked down an impressive 13 triples in the game. Defensively, the Crimson Tide held Mississippi State to just 31% shooting from the field and a paltry 8% from beyond the arc.

One of the keys to Alabama's success was their balanced offensive attack, with four Crimson Tide players scoring in double digits. Brandon Miller led the way with 18 points, nine rebounds, and five assists. Alabama's defense was equally impressive, with their stifling play causing problems for Mississippi State throughout the game.

With their 27th win of the season, the Crimson Tide have now tied the program record for most wins in a season. It's clear that this Alabama team is firing on all cylinders, and they will be looking to continue their winning ways in the semifinal game against Missouri.

Earlier this season, Alabama easily defeated Missouri on the road by a margin of 21 points. The Crimson Tide dominated the Tigers in the paint, leading 21-7 in second-chance points. They also outrebounded Missouri by a significant margin, grabbing 53 boards in the game. Noah Clowney and Jaden Bradley led the way for Alabama, both scoring 17 points in the game.

Despite their previous victory over Missouri, Alabama knows that they cannot take the Tigers lightly. Missouri boasts the top offense in the SEC, and their high-scoring attack will pose a significant challenge for the Crimson Tide's defense. Alabama will need to remain disciplined and focused on both ends of the court if they hope to secure a spot in the championship game.

Of course, with the talent and depth that Alabama possesses, they will undoubtedly be confident heading into the semifinal game. Their dominant defense, balanced offense, and impressive record this season make them one of the favorites to win the tournament. However, they know that they cannot afford to underestimate any team, especially one as talented as Missouri.

BETTING TRENDS

Missouri Tigers are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.

Missouri Tigers are 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games.

Alabama Crimson Tide are 18-3 SU in their last 21 games.

Alabama Crimson Tide are 17-2 SU in their last 19 games against an opponent in the Southeastern conference.

Prediction

Although Missouri has been playing well lately, winning their last five games, they will be facing a tough opponent in the Crimson Tide. Alabama has been one of the best teams in the country this season, with a record of 27-5 and an impressive 16-2 record in conference play. They have also been dominant on the defensive end, allowing just 68 points per game.

Alabama's victory over Missouri earlier this season is also a significant factor to consider. The Crimson Tide won by a margin of 21 points, and they dominated the Tigers in several key areas, including rebounding and second-chance points. They have also been successful in shutting down Missouri's high-powered offense, holding them to just 33% shooting in the previous matchup.

Furthermore, Alabama has been performing well against the spread this season, with a record of 15-14-1. In contrast, Missouri has struggled against the spread, with a record of 16-13. With a -9.5 points spread in favor of Alabama, it is likely that they will cover it based on their impressive record this season and their previous victory over Missouri.

In conclusion, although Missouri is a talented team, it is likely that Alabama will come out on top in this semifinal game and cover the -9.5 points spread. Their dominant defense and balanced offensive attack, combined with their success against Missouri earlier this season, make them a strong contender for the SEC Tournament championship. However, as with any game, there is always the possibility of an upset, and Missouri should not be underestimated.

PICK: Alabama -9.5 (-110)

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