Sun vs LIberty Game 3 Prediction WNBA Picks 9/29

Sun vs LIberty Game 3 Prediction WNBA Picks 9/29

© John Jones-USA TODAY Sports


WNBA Semifinals - Game 3: New York Liberty vs Connecticut Sun - Preview and Prediction



As the WNBA Semifinals heat up, the New York Liberty and the Connecticut Sun are set to face off in a decisive Game 3. With the series tied at 1-1, this matchup will be a crucial turning point in the race for the championship. Held at Connecticut's Mohegan Sun Arena, this is a game you won't want to miss. Our in-depth preview analyzes both teams and explains uor final prediction.


New York Liberty: The Eastern Titans

Season Performance

The New York Liberty have had an impressive 32-8 season, showcasing their strength, particularly on the road with a 17-3 away record. The Liberty are led by Breanna Stewart, who has been a scoring machine, averaging 23.0 PPG with a field goal percentage of 46.5% and an 85.1% free-throw rate.

Offensive Proficiency

New York has shown immense offensive prowess, scoring an average of 89.2 points per game and holding a 46.0% FG percentage. The team also excels in rebounding, averaging 37.9 rebounds per game, led by Stewart’s 9.3 RPG.

Defensive Capabilities

Defensively, the Liberty are equally impressive, allowing just 78.8 points per game. They average 4.5 blocks and 6.7 steals per game, disrupting the opponent's play consistently.

Recent Form

In their last five games, the Liberty have secured four wins. They have averaged 87.4 points, while their defense has restricted opponents to 79.9 points on average.


Connecticut Sun: The Home Advantage Challengers

Season Summary

Connecticut Sun, with a 27-13 record, has been formidable, particularly at home where they are 13-7. The Sun are led by DeWanna Bonner, who averages 17.4 PPG.

Offensive Stats

Connecticut averages 82.7 points per game with a 44.5% FG rate. They are not as effective in rebounding, averaging just 33.6 rebounds per game.

Defensive Side

On defense, the Sun hold their own, allowing just 72.8 points per game on average. They average 3.8 blocks and 8.1 steals per game.

Recent Form

The Sun are 3-2 in their last five games, and have an average score of 80.9 points, while allowing 76.4 points to their opponents.



New York’s offense, led by Stewart and complemented by Courtney Vandersloot, has more firepower and better efficiency than Connecticut's.

The Liberty’s defense has been more consistent and can disrupt Connecticut’s offensive rhythm, thanks to their higher block and steal averages.

New York is on a hot streak, winning four of their last five games, while Connecticut is 3-2. Moreover, the Sun will be without key players Bernadett Hatar and Brionna Jones due to injuries.

Given the offensive and defensive stats, recent form, and the absence of key players for the Sun, the New York Liberty not only have the upper hand to win but are also likely to cover the -4 points spread.


Pick: Liberty -4 -110

Upgrade to View Prediction
Winnings $119,188
last 30 days winnings $2,730
Yesterday winnings $0
Top Sport NBA
W-L-D 1434 - 1280 - 29
Winnings % 52%
Winnings $93,890
last 30 days winnings $9,170
Yesterday winnings ($3,000)
Top Sport MLB
W-L-D 593 - 360 - 10
Winnings % 61%