San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Pick and Preview, April 5 (4/5): NBA

Credit: photo by  Scott Wachter-USA TODAY Sports

Odds

2021-2022 season stats

Preview

The San Antonio Spurs hit the road and will visit the Denver Nuggets on Tuesday night. This is the fourth time these teams face off this season, the Nuggets have won 2 of the last 3 head to head games.

SAN ANTONIO SPURS

The Spurs have won 4 of their last 5 games and are 17-21 on the road so far this season with a 33-45 record overall ranking 3rd in the Southwest division. The Spurs are 23-25 against Western Conference opponents. San Antonio ranks second in the Western Conference scoring 53.5 points per game in the paint led by Jakob Poeltl averaging 11.8.

Dejounte Murray (out) is shooting 46.3% and averaging 21.2 points for the Spurs. Keldon Johnson is averaging 22.1 points over the last 10 games for San Antonio.

In their last 10 games the Spurs are 7-3, averaging 117.9 points, 45.8 rebounds, 28.0 assists, 7.6 steals and 4.9 blocks per game while shooting 46.2% from the field. Their opponents have averaged 113.5 points.

INJURIES: Murray is out

DENVER NUGGETS

The Nuggets have won 4 of their last 5 games and are 22-16 at home with a 47-32 record ranking first in the Northwest. The Nuggets are 28-21 against Western Conference opponents. Denver has an 8-3 record in one-possession games.

Nikola Jokic is averaging 26.8 points, 13.7 rebounds and eight assists for the Nuggets. Aaron Gordon is averaging 18.3 points over the last 10 games for Denver.

In their last 10 games, the Nuggets are 6-4, averaging 121.4 points, 43.3 rebounds, 30.9 assists, 6.7 steals and 3.5 blocks per game while shooting 52.1% from the field. Their opponents have averaged 119.5 points per game.

INJURIES: Zeke Nnaji: out (ankle), Vlatko Cancar: out (foot), Michael Porter Jr.: out (back).

BETTING TRENDS

San Antonio are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Antonio's last 8 games.

Denver are 5-10 ATS in their last 15 games.

Denver are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games at home.

Prediction

Both teams rank in the top 10 in offense. The Spurs are scoring an average of 117.9 ppg in their last 10 games but they'll be wihtout Murray again who's scoring 21.2 ppg. San Antonio is 3-8 this season playing without Murray. The Nuggets are even better offensively scoring 121.4 ppg in their last 10 games but they haven't been profitable covering the spread at home with a 14-24 record so far. However,  I think the Spurs don't have a chance without Murray so I'm going with the Nuggets wo get an easy win.

PICK: Nuggets -9 (-110)

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