Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat Prediction, Pick and Preview, March 9 (3/9): NBA

Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat Prediction, Pick and Preview, March 9 (3/9): NBA

Credit: photo by Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

Odds
Time 7:30 p.m. EST
Suns money line +285
Suns spread +7.5
Heat money line -350
Heat spread -7.5
Over / under 216.5
 

 

2021-2022 season stats
  Phoenix Suns Miami Heat
Record 51-13 44-22
Road / home record 23-6 23-7
Streak W1 W3
Points per game 113.8 109.7
Points allowed per game 106.1 104.6
Rebounds per game 45.3 44.4
Rebounds allowed per game 44.5 41.5
Over / under record 33-31 39-27
 
 
Preview

Miami Heat will meet Phoenix Suns on Wednesday in Miami, this will be the second encounter between both teams as the first game ended in Heat win 123-100. 

Phoenix Suns will be playing on a back to back after beating Orlando Magic 102-99 in a thrilling game that was decided in the last seconds but they didn't cover the ATS number which was -6 for the Suns. Cam Johnson is questionable and Devin Booker is still out for this game. Phoenix are 3-1 straight up last 4 games without Devin Booker and Chris Paul althought they have not been covering lately with only 1 cover in last 6 games.

Miami Heat have been playing really good basketball as of late which puts them as the first seed in the East for now, Miami have won 7 of their last 8 games only losing to Milwaukee Bucks by 1 point! Miami got Victor Oladipo back last game vs the Rockets after a long injury and he got 11 points in 15 minutes played and i expect him to add even more strenght to the Heat coming forward.

Miami Heat are 5-0 ATS last 5 games and 7-1 straight up last 8 games this season and they also are 17-3 straight up last 20 home games! the total has gone over in 7 of last 9 games between Miami Heat and Phoenic Suns. Miami are 8-3 ATS last 11 games when playing against an opponent in the western conference.

Phoenix Suns are 1-5 ATS last 6 games this season,but they are 16-4 straight up last 20 games. the Suns are 5-14 ATS last 19 games vs the Heat and 5-15 straight up last 20 games vs Miami. the total has gone over in 9 of last 13 games for the Suns.

Head to Head

Miami Heat are 6-4 straight up and ATS last 10 games vs Phoenix Suns, Miami also won the only game played vs the Suns so far this season. the O/U is 7-3 to the Over last 10 games with the Suns averaging 108 points and the Heat averaging 114.8 points a game.

Prediction

I like Miami here to get the win and Cover at home, the Heat have been playing really good lately covering last 5 games ATS and losing only 1 of their last 8 games this season. Phoenix Suns will be missing a lor of role players in this game and they struggled to beat the bad Orlando Magic team yesterday. Miami got Victor Oladipo back last game vs the Rockets and i expect him to add a lot of depth to this Miami team that have been struggling with injuries all season long.

Pick: Miami Heat -7.5 (-110)

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